Ticker archive
What was said about iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
This is the TubeRank file on TLT. Price calls from finance YouTube are kept here with the original quote, then checked against the market once their window closes. Read it the way you would a research notebook.
TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
$81.75as of 10h ago
The record, in brief
6 calls from 3 channels are on file for TLT. None have resolved yet, so there is no hit rate to report. None are still pending. Direction is mixed: 3 bullish and 3 bearish.
- On file
- 6
- Hit rate
- —
- Pending
- 0
- Channels
- 3
recorded calls
nothing resolved yet
none waiting
3 bullish · 3 bearish
No chart in this file yet
Plotting needs at least two calls that each have a price target and a video date. What we do have is listed below.
Calls, by channel
Grouped by who said it. The latest thesis is written out; open a channel for the calls we kept, newest first.
Michael Tyler3 callsBearishThe host argues 10-year Treasury yields are breaking out to a 19-year high near 5% and that nothing the Treasury is doing is working to bring yields down, implying continued pressure on long-duration bond prices. He says only an economic crack, an AI trade slowdown, or an end to the Iran war could bring yields down.
The host argues 10-year Treasury yields are breaking out to a 19-year high near 5% and that nothing the Treasury is doing is working to bring yields down, implying continued pressure on long-duration bond prices. He says only an economic crack, an AI trade slowdown, or an end to the Iran war could bring yields down.
Earlier theses (2)
The host expects long-term Treasury yields to decline after an anticipated Fed rate hike on Wednesday, which would imply bond price strength, though he frames this within a broader uncertain rate-hiking cycle narrative.
The host expects long-term Treasury yields to rise due to renewed Canada tariffs and lingering inflation concerns, which implies falling long-duration bond prices. He frames this as a headwind for both bonds and equities.
“He's trying to get bond yields lower. It's just not working.”
“When the Fed hikes rates on Wednesday, you probably get 10, 20, 30-year Treasury yields that come down in yield.”
“These tariffs on Canada will raise inflation expectations, it will raise the Treasury yield curve, right? 10, 20, 30-year bonds, they're go…”
Meet Kevin2 callsBullishKevin argues that despite a near-term Fed rate hike, disinflationary forces from AI productivity, normalizing labor participation, and the fading Iran conflict will bring rates down over time, with him betting on the lowest rates ever by 2032. He also believes markets are currently pricing in too many future hikes, which he expects to be walked back as inflation cools.
Kevin argues that despite a near-term Fed rate hike, disinflationary forces from AI productivity, normalizing labor participation, and the fading Iran conflict will bring rates down over time, with him betting on the lowest rates ever by 2032. He also believes markets are currently pricing in too many future hikes, which he expects to be walked back as inflation cools.
Randy Kirk1 callMixedThe speaker discusses the 10-year yield approaching 5% and is uncertain whether it will breach that level, doubting it will go 'much over five' before buyers step back in, implying limited further downside for bond prices from here.
The speaker discusses the 10-year yield approaching 5% and is uncertain whether it will breach that level, doubting it will go 'much over five' before buyers step back in, implying limited further downside for bond prices from here.