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UnusualMachines (UMAC)

Asset spotlight

What was said about Unusual Machines

Creator calls, with the evidence to check them.

UMAC · latest price

$11.90

as of 20h ago

The YouTube conversation

What are creators saying?

Selected calls on file
Recorded calls
1
YouTube channels
1
Pending outcomes
0
  • 1 bullish
  • 0 bearish

30 / 90 days · price direction

Directional track record

Did price move in the direction of the call?

Separate from forecast accuracy.

30-day window

Direction matched: Not enough observations

1 matched

of 1 observed call

Rate appears from 10 observations

0 waiting for the window

0 missing price evidence

Inspect the calls
Matched
1
Moved opposite
0
Flat
0
Waiting for the window
0
Missing price evidence
0
Average direction-adjusted move
+2.0%
Published calls on file
1
Excluded from this measurement
0
Additional calls grouped
0

One observation per creator, asset and UTC publication day. Conflicting directions on the same day are excluded. Flat observations stay in the denominator. Waiting windows and missing evidence are unknown outcomes.

Example measured calls

  • Randy Kirk · UMACDirection matched

    Bullish call · published Jul 31, 2026

    Entry close · Aug 3, 2026
    $23.08
    End close · Sep 2, 2026
    $23.55

    Price change +2.0% · Direction-adjusted +2.0%

90-day window

Direction matched: Not enough observations

0 matched

of 1 observed call

Rate appears from 10 observations

0 waiting for the window

0 missing price evidence

Inspect the calls
Matched
0
Moved opposite
1
Flat
0
Waiting for the window
0
Missing price evidence
0
Average direction-adjusted move
-38.2%
Published calls on file
1
Excluded from this measurement
0
Additional calls grouped
0

One observation per creator, asset and UTC publication day. Conflicting directions on the same day are excluded. Flat observations stay in the denominator. Waiting windows and missing evidence are unknown outcomes.

Example measured calls

  • Randy Kirk · UMACMoved opposite

    Bullish call · published Jul 31, 2026

    Entry close · Aug 3, 2026
    $23.08
    End close · Nov 2, 2026
    $14.27

    Price change -38.2% · Direction-adjusted -38.2%

How to read this

Direction is extracted by AI and may need correction. These fixed windows do not evaluate the creator’s own target or deadline. The entry is the first full market session after the source’s UTC publication date; we compare its close with the close 30 or 90 calendar days later, rolling a non-trading endpoint forward. Bullish calls match a rise; bearish calls match a fall. This is a price comparison, not a trading return.

How directional measurements work

Updated Nov 7, 2026

Forecast accuracy

Creators’ own targets and deadlines

—

nothing resolved yet

1 call from 1 channel is on file for UMAC. It has not resolved yet, so there is no hit rate to report. None are still pending. The record leans bullish: 1 bullish and 0 bearish.

This is the weighted hit rate: a partial counts as half. It uses resolved forecasts, not the 30/90-day directional observations above.

How hit rates work

Email me when UMAC calls resolve

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Used only for these updates. Privacy

Price & targets

Compare one creator’s call at a time.

  • Daily close
$10$15$21$26May 11Aug 8Nov 6
Recent daily closes through Nov 6, 2026. Price history is incomplete; gaps remain open.

No comparable price targets with a source date are on file. Read the calls below.

About this view

Price window: May 11, 2026–Nov 6, 2026. Yahoo Finance · daily closes. Prices and targets use split-adjusted units.

92 trading sessions are missing from this window. Lines break across missing sessions; one observation appears as a dot.

The recorded outcome follows the call’s original target, deadline and conditions. The price line shows daily closing observations.

1 call lacks a comparable target or source date. Find calls without targets in the creator archive.

Calls, by channel

Choose a creator to read their calls and source evidence.

Randy Kirk1 callStrongly Bullish

The guest, who discloses his fund owns roughly 3% of the company, argued that Wall Street's revenue estimates for Unusual Machines are dramatically too low, projecting next year's revenue in the $250-300 million range versus consensus of about $60 million. He based this on the company's own guidance that revenue can be predicted from its planned employee headcount growth, tied to strong demand for US-made drone parts amid bans on Chinese drone components.

Most recent thesisJul 31, 2026Source video

The guest, who discloses his fund owns roughly 3% of the company, argued that Wall Street's revenue estimates for Unusual Machines are dramatically too low, projecting next year's revenue in the $250-300 million range versus consensus of about $60 million. He based this on the company's own guidance that revenue can be predicted from its planned employee headcount growth, tied to strong demand for US-made drone parts amid bans on Chinese drone components.