SPXBullunverifiable
Meet Kevin“You can see on the bull bear scale right now I'm sitting at about a 7.1 10 being allin margin buy everything one or zero basically being a sell everything.”
Thesis at the time
BullishKevin places his personal 'bull-bear scale' at 7.1 out of 10, indicating he is leaning long on stocks overall despite the Iran-related futures dip, while keeping dry powder in reserve. He says he continues to buy dips in stocks even amid the geopolitical uncertainty.
Key arguments
- Bull-bear scale sits at 7.1/10, leaning long
- Continues buying the dip in stocks despite futures being down on the news
- Maintains dry powder rather than going all-in
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Futures turned red and Dow/Nasdaq were down on the initial news
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- Conflicting reports on damage from Iranian missile strikes (US vs IRGC claims)
- Uncertainty about future escalation trajectory
- Oil price movements described as 'relatively stable' despite geopolitical risk
- Previous month of relative quiet suggests volatility could shift either direction
The call
- Date said
- Aug 31, 2026
- Confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- vague
How it resolved
- Status
- unverifiable
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.
Confidence Reasoning
General bullish leaning stated with a specific self-rated conviction score, but no price target or asset-specific timeframe.
Source
The US & Iran Strikes | War Resumes & The Problem w/ GOLD.
Said on Aug 31, 2026Open on YouTube ↗