TubeRank
XRPBullpending
Stock MoeStock Moe

Target Range

$151$152

I am expecting it to retest the 50 EMA here within the next, I'd say, week or two. That's 151 152.

Thesis at the time

Bullish

Stock Moe remains bullish on XRP despite it sitting well below its 2018 high, pointing to the weekly candle structure and an expected retest of the 50 EMA. He acknowledges regulatory uncertainty around the Clarity Act as a risk but says the ledger upgrade bringing native lending keeps his bullish stance intact.

Key arguments

  • Weekly candle crossing the 5/13 consolidation and pushing toward the 50 EMA
  • Ledger upgrade v3.4.0 brings a native lending protocol pending validator voting
  • SEC/CFTC now dictating direction after Clarity Act stalled

Counter-arguments acknowledged

  • Washington DC could still change everything - it's not dead, but it's stalled
  • Clarity Act failed and amendments are only open for validator voting, not active yet

Hedges and caveats (from the video)

  • Acknowledges regulatory uncertainty with Clarity Act failure
  • States 'I don't know' regarding weekly candle closure
  • Notes market often reverses expectations
  • Mentions SEC and CFTC regulatory control ahead
  • Describes analysis as technical observation rather than guaranteed outcome

The call

Date said
Sep 19, 2026
Timeframe
within the next week or two
Price at prediction
$1.42
Current price (live)
$1.61$149.89 below target
Confidence
medium
Specificity
specific

How it resolved

Status
pending

Confidence Reasoning

He states a clear directional expectation with a specific price range and short timeframe, but softens it slightly with 'I'd say' and 'I'm not going to be shocked' hedging language.