QQQBearhit
Meet KevinTarget Price
$617
“I wouldn't be surprised to see the Q's retest 617 today. We'll see by market close.”@ 1:13 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Thesis at the time
BearishThe YouTuber expects QQQ to retest 617 today due to the pattern of rallies in the first 90 minutes getting sold off, with major catalysts coming in the next few days creating caution.
Key arguments
- Pattern of early rallies getting sold
- Major catalysts coming up
- Reversal of yesterday's enthusiasm
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- Acknowledges uncertainty in Bitcoin direction despite convergence breakout
- Notes pattern of early rally selling in Nasdaq
- Expresses caution due to upcoming catalysts
- Describes Tesla prediction as probabilistic ('probably going to roundtrip')
The call
- Date said
- Jan 6, 2026
- Timeframe
- by market close
- Deadline
- Jan 6, 2026
- Price at prediction
- $623.42
- Confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- hit
- Resolution price
- $614.31
- Return
- 0.0%
- Notes
- Target ≤$617 reached. Price: $614.31. Return: 0.0%.
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Rule that fired
Target ≤$617 reached. Price: $614.31. Return: 0.0%.
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.
Confidence Reasoning
Based on observed pattern but hedged with 'wouldn't be surprised'