XRPBearpending
Stock MoeTarget Range
$0.80–$0.88
“if they raise rates, I'm absolutely expecting this to break and to bottom. And I'll say it again, down here around 80 88 cents is where I have it.”
Thesis at the time
MixedStock Moe sees XRP holding a critical $1 support level after bouncing off 99 cents, but warns that a Fed rate hike in September could crush riskier assets including XRP down toward the 80-88 cent range. He also notes ongoing Ripple token releases are adding supply pressure without matching demand.
Key arguments
- XRP is holding the $1 line 'tooth and nail' after bouncing off 99 cents
- Monthly Ripple token releases add supply without corresponding demand increase, pressuring price
- A Fed rate hike would hit riskier assets like XRP hard based on past rate-hike selloffs
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- He admits he is 'not sure' whether the Fed will actually raise rates
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- Video contains promotional content for paid membership services
- Technical analysis based on short-term candle patterns (60-second timeframes)
- Predictions are conditional on support level holds
- Day trading examples shown are not guaranteed to replicate
- SpaceX mentioned in title but not substantively discussed in transcript excerpt
The call
- Date said
- Aug 11, 2026
- Price at prediction
- $11.40
- Current price (live)
- $1.61$0.77 above target
- Confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- pending
Confidence Reasoning
Conditional on a Fed rate hike, plus an explicit admission of uncertainty ('I'm not sure though'), offsets the strong 'absolutely expecting' language.