TubeRank
PLTRBullunverifiable
Meet KevinMeet Kevin
I don't mind buying more though at this price.

Thesis at the time

Bullish

Kevin pushes back on Karp's doom-and-gloom framing about AI companies needing nationalization, calling it marketing hype to sell Palantir's platform, but he still believes Palantir itself is fundamentally strong and undervalued based on its growth, cash flow, and pricing power. He argues the stock could be worth around $250 using a more reasonable PEG ratio, and says he continues to buy shares at current levels.

Key arguments

  • Palantir has ~$9.4 billion of free cash flow after paying bills of about $500 million
  • Revenue is up ~92% while costs are up only 53%, showing strong pricing power
  • Growth rate is stable around 47%, giving a PEG ratio of about 23 at current PE of 109
  • A more reasonable 3 PEG ratio would justify a stock price closer to $250
  • Karp's nationalization/liability fear-mongering is seen as a marketing tactic to sell Palantir's 'sovereign AI' platform

Counter-arguments acknowledged

  • The stock is not fully priced just based on PE ratio alone
  • Some of Karp's argument about liability risk to AI companies may be legitimate marketing but also partly true
  • Kevin admits it's a bit of a marketing play by Karp

Hedges and caveats (from the video)

  • Host characterizes Karp's statements as 'unhinged'
  • Discussion centers on speculative liability scenarios rather than current financial performance
  • No specific price targets or directional calls on PLTR stock provided
  • Analysis is interpretive commentary on CEO statements rather than fundamental analysis

The call

Date said
Sep 17, 2026
Price at prediction
$174.34
Confidence
medium
Specificity
vague

How it resolved

Status
unverifiable
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Reference price
$174.34 (anchored at quote date)
Target used
Deadline source
None — neither explicit nor horizon-derived
Age at resolution
0.2 months(from publish date)

Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.

Confidence Reasoning

Personal stake (buying more) signals conviction, but no specific price target or timeframe is given.