TubeRank
XRPBearpending
Stock MoeStock Moe

Target Price

$1.20

“I still would expect the worst case scenario 120.”

Thesis at the time

Bullish

Stock Moe remains structurally bullish on XRP, citing nine straight days of ETF inflows, $380 million in whale accumulation, and a 654% surge in active addresses, but is cautious short-term after XRP's rapid 70% rally cooled off and it lost its 5-day EMA. He is watching the 13-day EMA and 200-day EMA as key support and views upcoming catalysts (Jackson Hole, the September 15th Clarity Act vote, and the September 16th FOMC decision) as pivotal for the next directional move.

Key arguments

  • XRP-linked ETFs have taken in money for nine consecutive sessions despite the pullback
  • Large holders (whales) added roughly $380 million in one week and have not sold back
  • Active addresses on the XRP ledger surged 654%
  • The EMA stack (5/13/50/200) remains intact, which he says defines the uptrend
  • MACD is still above its signal line and on-balance volume still favors buyers

Counter-arguments acknowledged

  • The rally was built on leverage and could unwind fast as bears pile in
  • The Clarity Act vote reportedly has only about a 22% chance of passing
  • Losing the 13 EMA would be a bearish signal that could send price toward $1.20 or lower

Hedges and caveats (from the video)

  • Content is for entertainment only
  • Advised taking profits along the way
  • Cautioned about overbought RSI conditions (85-90)
  • Emphasized need to watch how today and tomorrow close before confirming direction
  • Noted that losing the 13 EMA would be problematic ('gets ugly')
  • Stated uncertainty about bounce confirmation pending price action

The call

Date said
Aug 26, 2026
Current price (live)
$1.61$0.41 above target
Confidence
low
Specificity
specific

How it resolved

Status
pending

Confidence Reasoning

Framed as a 'worst case scenario' contingent on reading candles a certain way, which is a hedged, conditional forecast rather than a firm call.

Source

XRP 🚨 EVERYTHING JUST CHANGED!
Said on Aug 26, 2026Open on YouTube ↗
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