METABullhit
Meet KevinTarget Price
$700
“Meta, my goal is we get to 700 by next week. Okay, we closed at 666, the devil's number.”
Thesis at the time
BullishKevin set a short-term price target for Meta of $700, noting it closed at $666 and remaining optimistic it would reach that level soon. He also separately notes Meta's ad business fully funds its AI chip capex, reducing downside risk even without immediate AI ROI.
Key arguments
- Meta's advertising revenue pays for its AI chip spending, so the capex is 'covered' regardless of AI ROI
- Short-term technical target of $700 following a bounce
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- Presenter acknowledges past misses in alpha report (e.g., Tuesday calls)
- Mixed sentiment on certain days due to Fed uncertainty
- Specific warning against Open Door as potential 'bag holder'
- Content includes promotional material for paid membership service
- Past performance claims ('we crushed it') do not guarantee future results
The call
- Date said
- Sep 19, 2026
- Timeframe
- by next week
- Price at prediction
- $682.31
- Confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- hit
- Resolution price
- $741.25
- Return
- +8.6%
- Notes
- Target ≥$700 reached on 2026-09-22. Price: $741.25. Return: +8.6%.
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Rule that fired
Target ≥$700 reached on 2026-09-22. Price: $741.25. Return: +8.6%.
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.
Confidence Reasoning
Specific price and near-term timeframe increase confidence, but hedge language ('my goal', 'we'll see') softens conviction.
Source
are we f**k'd
Said on Sep 19, 2026Open on YouTube ↗