XRPBearpending
Stock MoeTarget Price
$0.88
“88 cents. That's where I think we're going, but we'll I said we get there before uh by October, November.”
Thesis at the time
MixedStock Moe frames XRP as sitting at a critical dollar-level support with both a clear bear case (collapsing ETF inflows, thin volume, delayed Clarity Act vote) and a bull case (record-low exchange supply, tightened Ripple escrow, tokenization narrative). He expects further short-term weakness toward the high-80-cent range before a potential rebound if the Clarity Act passes in the fall.
Key arguments
- ETF flows collapsed 96% from peak, with 11 of 22 July trading days seeing $0 inflows
- The dollar level is the only demand zone bulls have defended all year, with resistance at 1.18-1.20 and 1.45
- Exchange supply of XRP hit a seven-year low, meaning thin sell-side supply that could cause a fast rip higher
- Ripple cut net escrow release to 300 million while price tests the dollar, reducing supply pressure
- Clarity Act vote pushed to September, removing the regulatory catalyst expected to carry XRP through August
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- If the Clarity Act passes this fall, the August weakness could become an entry opportunity
- Thin supply cuts both ways — it can fall fast, but also rip higher quickly
- RSI is weak (38-41) but not yet at capitulation levels seen in real bottoms
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- Acknowledges both bull and bear cases
- States 'you just never know how this is going to go'
- Notes that politicians and industry control the outcome, not retail investors
- Recognizes uncertainty around Clarity Act passage despite September return
- Mentions price could be lower or higher by viewing time
The call
- Date said
- Aug 11, 2026
- Timeframe
- by October, November
- Deadline
- Nov 30, 2026
- Price at prediction
- $11.40
- Current price (live)
- $1.63$0.75 above target
- Confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- pending
Confidence Reasoning
Specific price and timeframe given with direct personal conviction ('that's what I think it's going to happen'), but softened by repeated 'we'll see' hedges.
Source
XRP $1.00 IS HERE 🚨 YOU NEED TO KNOW THIS NOW ‼️
Said on Aug 11, 2026Open on YouTube ↗