Behind the video
Why I BOUGHT More Lucid Stock │ Points Investors Might be OVERLOOKING
The thesis, the calls, and the words behind them. Play a quote to hear it in the original video.
Overall SentimentBullishStrength: 55%
Overall Thesis
The speaker bought more Lucid at $2.62 because all the bad news (dilution, revenue miss) is fully priced in, big money was buying aggressively in after-hours Friday, and the risk/reward has shifted favorably ahead of Q3 earnings.
Narratives
LCIDLucid MotorsThe speaker purchased 500 additional Lucid shares at $2.62 because the stock has now priced in all negatives: the 21% revenue miss, the $1.67B dilution at a 21% discount. Big money was buying aggressively in after-hours Friday (including a $20M transaction). The speaker plans to hedge aggressively with options. The key catalyst is Q3 earnings November 7 — if Gravity talk is positive and results beat the now-lowered bar, a significant move higher is possible.
Key Arguments
- All the bad news — revenue miss, dilution at 21% discount — is now priced into the $2.63 stock price
- Large after-hours buying on Friday including a $20M transaction signals smart money accumulating
- Speaker bought 500 shares at $2.62 — first time below $3 — sees more upside than downside from here
- Q3 earnings bar is now very low (analysts expect -$0.32 EPS, $193.75M revenue) — beat likely if Gravity is on track
- Aggressive options hedging strategy to protect against further downside
Risks acknowledged
- 21% discount on dilution signals desperation — worse than typical 10% discount for a capital raise
- Continued dilution expected until profitability in 2027-2028
- CFO team has consistently missed their own forecasts — 'smoking crack' per speaker
- Catching a falling knife risk acknowledged
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