Behind the video
Lucid SELLOFF - Justified? │ What the CURRENT DATA is Saying ⚠️⚠️ NEW Lucid Analyst Rating
Overall Thesis
Lucid is down 13% post-Q1 earnings with no near-term catalysts identified until Gravity reservations open at end of 2024, while Stifel's $4 price target and extreme short levels suggest eventual upside but institutions are not buying the dip.
Narratives
LCIDLucid MotorsLucid is selling off 13% post-earnings with no clear catalyst until the Gravity SUV reservation opening at end of 2024. Stifel raised a $4 price target while Needham reiterated hold. CEO Peter Rawlinson emphasized the PIF long-term relationship and $69,900 Air pricing enabled by battery efficiency, but the speaker is unsatisfied with his vague answer on future PIF investment. Short utilization is at 100% with only 250K shares available to borrow, limiting further short attacks but also not prompting a squeeze.
Key Arguments
- Stifel $4 price target is significantly above current levels (~$2.65)
- Shorts at 100% utilization with only 250K shares available — limited downside ammunition
- Peter emphasized PIF's long-term commitment to Lucid as core of Vision 2030
- Lucid Air record delivery improvement: 40% QoQ and 37% YoY despite Tesla price wars
- No Catalyst until Gravity reservations/production at end of 2024 — institutions waiting
Risks acknowledged
- Big money is not buying the dip — only 3 institutional transactions, none were buys
- Peter's answer on future PIF investment was vague — did not commit to future rounds
- Elliott Wave technicals had projected $1.90-$2.11 downside if below $3.33