Behind the video
SPACEX STOCK ‼️ EVERYTHING JUST CHANGED 🚨 SPCX STOCK PRICE PREDICTION
Overall Thesis
The host expects SpaceX shares to rise ahead of index inclusion as anticipated ETF purchases support demand, with additional support from the reported US–Iran agreement. He expects selling after inclusion and potential August lockup expiration, while also identifying near-term upside in Rocket Lab and valuation upside in EchoStar.
Narratives
The host considers Rocket Lab's recent decline unwarranted and expects the stock to recover through Thursday ahead of inclusion. He is considering a share-based swing trade with a stop loss, while acknowledging that market behavior may contradict the thesis.
Key Arguments
- The recent sharp selloff appears unwarranted to the host.
- Upcoming inclusion should provide buying demand.
- The stock has begun moving higher.
Risks acknowledged
- Recent price action has been volatile.
- Expected catalysts do not guarantee a rise.
- The proposed swing trade remains tentative and would include a stop loss.
Predictions (1)
SPCXSpaceXThe host is strongly bullish on SpaceX ahead of index inclusion, citing mandatory ETF purchases, technical momentum and limited selling. His outlook reverses after those purchases conclude, and he anticipates further downside if additional shares unlock following August earnings.
Key Arguments
- Anticipated index inclusion should create mandatory ETF buying and upward price pressure.
- A bullish crossover and strong closing candle support the next trading session's outlook.
- The reported US–Iran agreement provides another positive catalyst.
- Limited available shares and holders' reluctance to sell could amplify demand.
- Completed index purchases could remove a major source of demand.
- An additional share unlock following August earnings could increase selling pressure.
Risks acknowledged
- The host has not established exact dates for the separate index inclusion events.
- Profit-taking and weaker demand could produce a sell-the-news decline.
- The additional share unlock depends on the specified post-IPO price condition.
- The host says he will continue watching developments before refining his outlook.
Predictions (4)
The host sees EchoStar as undervalued relative to SpaceX's valuation and reiterates a substantially higher share-price range. He highlights considerable upside potential while expressing frustration with the stock's intraday volatility.
Key Arguments
- The host believes SpaceX's valuation supports an EchoStar share price of $140–$160.
- The quoted price near $120 leaves substantial upside to that valuation range.
Risks acknowledged
- The stock experiences substantial intraday volatility.
- No catalyst deadline or detailed valuation calculation is provided.
Hedges & Caveats
- Index inclusion dates remain to be clarified; Russell and Nasdaq inclusion are separate events.
- The host expects demand to weaken after index inclusion.
- Additional shares becoming eligible for sale after August earnings could pressure SpaceX shares.
- The reported peace agreement still faces implementation and geopolitical uncertainty.
- Market outcomes can diverge from expectations.
- The proposed Rocket Lab swing trade is tentative and would use an approximately 8%–10% stop loss.