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Behind the video

SPY Breakdown Alert: The Simple Inverse ETF Trade

The thesis, the calls, and the words behind them. Play a quote to hear it in the original video.
Wicked StocksWicked StocksMar 13, 2026Watch on YouTube
Overall SentimentBearishStrength: 75%

Overall Thesis

If SPY closes below 660.87 this week, expect a 2-3 month selloff to 609-613, which can be profited from by buying the inverse ETF SH.

Narratives

SPYSPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Bearish

SPY is at a critical technical level at 660.87, which represents a 6-month channel bottom. A close below this level would trigger a classic sell signal leading to a 2-3 month collapse to the 609-613 area.

Key Arguments

  • Critical support at 660.87 represents 6-month channel bottom
  • Close below 660.87 would be classic sell signal
  • Target decline to 609-613 area which is December 2024 to February 2025 high zone

Risks acknowledged

  • Above 660.87 structure remains stable and even bullish into later 2026
SHProShares Short S&P 500
Bullish

SH is positioned at a 6-month channel top at 37.40 and would benefit from SPY weakness. If SPY closes below 660.87, SH should rally approximately 8% to the 40.83 area.

Key Arguments

  • Inverse relationship to SPY provides downside protection
  • Currently at 6-month channel top
  • Target rally to 40.83 represents about 8% gain

Hedges & Caveats

  • Prediction is conditional on SPY closing below 660.87 this week
  • Technical analysis based on chart patterns and support/resistance levels
  • Timeframe is speculative (2-3 months)
  • Analysis presented as one trader's view, not guaranteed outcome
Analyzed with claude-sonnet-4-20250514 | Extraction v1.0.0 | Cost: $0.03