Jo Bhakdi on QQQ
Every thesis Jo Bhakdi has voiced on QQQ — 11 in all, newest first, with the arguments and risks behind each. Reads as the evolution of their view: the bottom is where they started, the top is where they landed.
NeutralHow the Midterm Will Impact AI Stocks: SPCX, TSLA, MU, NVDA, METANov 2, 2026
Open source video →QQQ is mentioned as a contemporaneous measure of the selloff. The host does not give a distinct forecast for the ETF, and his generic market recovery comments do not establish a QQQ-specific call.
Key arguments
- Reported decline illustrates broad selling pressure
MixedWhat Led to Today's FAKE Micron, Nvidia and Tesla Stock SelloffOct 8, 2026
Open source video →The host uses an explicitly identified QQQ model to frame the possibility of a near-term market correction followed by a year-end rally. He endorses increased caution but treats the historical chart pattern and correction timing as uncertain.
Key arguments
- The displayed historical QQQ model appears to track current price action.
- The host considers October and the fourth quarter seasonally volatile.
- He believes a correction may precede rather than follow the midterm elections.
- He plans to reduce leverage while maintaining core long-term positions.
Risks acknowledged
- The historical model does not establish that the pattern will repeat.
- The market could rally directly into Christmas.
- The host says markets cannot be predicted with certainty.
- Correction timing could extend into late November.
3 predictions from this thesis
BearishCould Tesla Stock Really CRASH 60% From Here?!Apr 6, 2026
Open source video →The NASDAQ faces significant downside risk due to Iran war escalation not being properly priced in by the market. The speaker believes the market has priced in 100% probability that the war is over, but sees close to 50% chance of escalation.
Key arguments
- Iran war poses significant threat with 12-15% of global trade going through Red Sea
- Market has only dropped 5-6% from all-time highs, suggesting war resolution is fully priced in
- Supply chain disruptions from delayed ships will hit markets in coming weeks
- Iran is not agreeing to ceasefire despite Trump's pressure
Risks acknowledged
- Trump has huge incentive to avoid escalation
- Some ships are now getting through as countries make deals with Iran
1 prediction from this thesis
BullishWhy I am Getting READY for Tesla Stock (and the Market) to EXPLODE UPWARDSApr 1, 2026
Open source video →The NASDAQ is in the midst of the biggest bull market ever driven by AI transformation and productivity gains. Current 6-month downtrend is purely due to Iran war concerns, creating a 'coiled spring' setup for massive rally once geopolitical issues resolve.
Key arguments
- AI driving unprecedented productivity boost and economic transformation
- In biggest bull market probably ever since 2023
- Only down 4% over 6 months despite underlying fundamental strength
- Market sitting on 'increasingly coiled spring' due to Iran war
- 75-80% probability Trump announces end to war tonight
Risks acknowledged
- 25% tail risk of war escalation leading to market crash
BullishWhy Tesla And Nvidia Stock are Setting Up to RALLYMar 31, 2026
Open source video →The NASDAQ is up 3.24% in the best day of the year, driven by hopes that Trump will stop the Iran conflict and potential Fed rate cuts. Despite being down 7.64% year-to-date, the market represents a coiled spring ready for a significant rally if geopolitical risks subside.
Key arguments
- Best day of the year with 3.24% gain
- Trump increasingly likely to stop Iran conflict
- Fed signaling potential rate cuts by year-end
- AI revolution progressing faster than ever
- Market is coiled spring ready for rally
Risks acknowledged
- Down 7.64% year-to-date
- Iran situation still ongoing creating tail risk
- 25% chance of escalation could be catastrophic
BearishHow Tesla Stock Can BEAT the Market in April (w/ Pioneer Alpha Update)Mar 29, 2026
Open source video →The NASDAQ is in correction territory, down 10% year-to-date due to Iran conflict escalation and oil price impacts. The speaker expects continued weakness unless the geopolitical situation resolves, with technical analysis being less relevant than macro factors.
Key arguments
- NASDAQ down 10% year-to-date in correction territory
- Oil futures curve indicating market expects short-term damage from Iran conflict
- Geopolitical escalation driving market weakness more than technical factors
Risks acknowledged
- Market may have already priced in significant damage
- Quick resolution of conflict could lead to rapid recovery
NeutralWhy Bitcoin and $MSTR are CRASHING again?Mar 21, 2026
Open source video →The Nasdaq has been going sideways for 6 months and recently fell 700 points due to Iran escalation concerns. While fundamentally strong due to AGI transformation, geopolitical risks are creating near-term headwinds.
Key arguments
- Underlying AGI explosion and transformation supporting fundamentals
- Companies like Nvidia, Google showing crazy revenue growth
- Money printing will continue supporting markets
Risks acknowledged
- Iran escalation creating market jitters
- Recent 700 point decline from geopolitical concerns
- Sideways movement for 6 months
BearishTesla Stock is CRASHING - Time to Sell?Mar 20, 2026
Open source video →The NASDAQ is experiencing volatility due to escalating Iran conflict and geopolitical uncertainty. The market showed initial weakness but had some recovery, though overall sentiment remains negative due to ongoing geopolitical risks.
Key arguments
- Market is losing faith due to escalating Iran war
- Geopolitical uncertainty creating market volatility
- Oil price movements affecting market sentiment
Risks acknowledged
- Market showed some recovery during the day
- Oil prices dropped unexpectedly providing some relief
BullishWhy is Tesla Stock CRASHING Again?Feb 23, 2026
Open source video →The speaker expects to dramatically outperform the NASDAQ this year despite current lagging, driven by the same AGI and productivity themes benefiting Tesla. The NASDAQ is viewed as setting up for a very big rally despite recent selloffs.
Key arguments
- AGI productivity gains will drive market performance
- Market selloffs since November are not working
- Living in age of AGI creates tremendous upside potential
- Historical outperformance gives confidence in future beats
Risks acknowledged
- Currently lagging NASDAQ year-to-date
- March could be problematic month
1 prediction from this thesis
NeutralWhy Tesla And The Stock Market Are DROPPING (And What Comes NEXT)Feb 4, 2026
Open source video →NASDAQ is in a healthy consolidation phase after running ahead of itself, taking a breather while traditional stocks catch up. This is not a crash but a rotation from AI stocks to broader market.
Key arguments
- NASDAQ up 16% year-over-year which is above historical norms
- Healthy rotation from overextended AI stocks to traditional Dow Jones stocks
- AI fundamentals remain strong with continued massive investments
- Market is flatlining and waiting, not crashing
Risks acknowledged
- Could drop another 800 points to October lows
- May take a few months before back on rally track
1 prediction from this thesis
BullishTesla Stock RECOVERS From Fake $NVIDA News - What Happens NEXT? (Weekly Recap + Outlook)Jan 11, 2026
Open source video →Expects sideways to slightly bullish movement for the Nasdaq, supported by AGI developments and stable macro environment.
Key arguments
- AGI developments providing positive catalyst
- Stable macro environment expected
Risks acknowledged
- Underperformed Nasdaq in recent week
