TSLABullpending
Jo BhakdiTarget Price
$420
“I pointed out very likely it's bottoming and it's time to get back to where it actually belongs 420 or somewhere above 400 even without cyber cap scaling.”@ 0:13 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Thesis at the time
Strongly BullishTesla is significantly undervalued at current levels and should recover to $400+ even without major catalysts, as the company has made tremendous progress with CyberCab ramping production and FSD improvements. The stock has fallen too much relative to its fundamentals and progress, trading at $370-380 when it was at $490 just 5 months ago on a weaker company.
Key arguments
- CyberCab production is ramping with dozens being produced daily at Giga Texas
- CyberCabs are being deployed and tested across multiple states including Kansas, LA, Florida, Chicago, Boston, and New York
- FSD 14.3 shows 20% improved reaction time and faster iteration cycles
- FSD has been officially approved and launched in Europe starting with Netherlands
- Tesla's market share is increasing while other EV makers are declining
- Stock is undervalued - was at $490 in December on a weaker company, now at $370-380
- Tesla is hiring more employees for robotaxi operations nationwide
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- FSD 14.3 was somewhat disappointing as it wasn't the 10x larger model expected
- Unsupervised robotaxi rollout timeline remains uncertain
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- Cybercab deployment still requires safety drivers and steering wheels (not yet unsupervised)
- FSD 14.3 was described as 'disappointing' and only incremental rather than the expected 10x larger model
- Timeline for unsupervised robo taxi operations remains unclear
- Creator acknowledges initial market disappointment about the pace of Cybercab rollout
The call
- Date said
- Apr 14, 2026
- Price at prediction
- $364.20
- Current price (live)
- $378.90$41.10 below target
- Confidence
- high
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- pending
Confidence Reasoning
Speaker uses definitive language about where stock 'belongs' and references prior correct prediction