Tesla remains the host's second-ranked buy behind SpaceX, with an anticipated merger providing an investment tailwind. He views the election-related punishment as excessive while acknowledging regulatory and political uncertainty.
The host recommends buying Tesla and expects favorable election results could drive an immediate rally. He remains positive on the long-term thesis but says his synthetic leverage is excessive and should be reduced ahead of election uncertainty.
Strongly BullishNov 2, 2026Source Tesla is a preferred investment because of its leadership, AI opportunities and relative price strength during the selloff. The host remains slightly leveraged but recognizes election and geopolitical downside, with a rapid upside scenario if those risks recede.
Host views Tesla as a resilient long-term holding, expecting a rally driven by rising cyber cab pre-order counts, and separately discusses a potential SpaceX-Tesla merger with a premium for Tesla shareholders.
Strongly BullishOct 30, 2026Source The host views Tesla as undervalued and supported by Cybercab scaling and anticipated disruption. His stock-direction claim comes from explicitly forecasting appreciation for the named group that includes Tesla.
Strongly BullishOct 29, 2026Source The host expects Tesla to reach all-time highs by year-end and describes it as his most confident eight-week investment view. He attributes prospective upside to an anticipated merger premium and accelerating autonomy deployment.
Strongly BullishOct 27, 2026Source The host argues that accelerating Cybercab deployment will eventually double Tesla's total earnings and produce a historic upward repricing. The year-end registration forecast is operational context, not a stock-price target.
Strongly BullishOct 27, 2026Source The host argues Tesla is materially undervalued before autonomous transport reaches scale, with deployment momentum and a prospective merger providing catalysts. He is adding bullish exposure, retaining his core position, and discouraging premature shorts or covered calls while allowing for pauses and a later identifiable ceiling.
Strongly BullishOct 25, 2026Source The host expects Tesla to rally toward $500 by year-end, supported by accelerating Cybercab registrations and an anticipated merger premium. He also projects much higher prices over longer horizons, while acknowledging political risk and possible near-term selling.
Strongly BullishOct 23, 2026Source Jo expects merger discussions to lift Tesla shares and believes a transaction would require a premium of at least 30% over the prevailing stock price. He also expects large-scale Cybercab deployment to drive a substantial stock reaction, with energy storage and distributed inference representing additional speculative business opportunities.
BullishOct 22, 2026Source Tesla remains the host's largest position, and he expects Cybercab deployment to drive future stock appreciation. His prediction of new all-time highs is explicitly conditional on the deployment counter reaching 20,000, while he remains uncertain about the near-term rollout pace.
The host expects approximately 2% downside around earnings, with support around $370 and a stronger floor near $350–360. He remains bullish beyond earnings, targeting $500 as robotaxis scale and recommending continued ownership.
BullishOct 20, 2026Source The host sees meaningful Tesla upside this year and considers an all-time high possible if Cyber Cap deployment reaches 2,000. His immediate earnings outlook is more restrained, with a small decline the most likely outcome and no major operational surprise expected.
BullishOct 19, 2026Source The host sees Tesla's relative market strength and Optimus developments as supportive of its investment outlook. He is approximately neutral about the immediate earnings reaction but expects $500 and all-time highs if the discussed Cybercab deployment milestone is reached.
Strongly BullishOct 18, 2026Source The host remains strongly bullish on Tesla despite substantial near-term earnings and macro uncertainty. He links upside to the scaling of the vehicle fleet described in the transcript and a speculative merger premium, while allowing for a temporary decline to $300 in a market crash.
Strongly BullishOct 16, 2026Source The host views the Roadster as an effective brand investment whose publicity and engineering halo could benefit Tesla's broader vehicle lineup despite limited direct profitability. He also predicts a strong positive trading day because the demonstration exceeded low expectations.
BullishOct 15, 2026Source A sufficiently impressive Roadster unveiling could provide a marketing halo for Tesla and create a positive surprise for its shares. The host distinguishes this potential brand and stock benefit from the Roadster's limited direct revenue and profit potential, and explicitly declines to bet on the outcome.
Strongly BullishOct 14, 2026Source The host sees Tesla's weak annual performance and relative strength during the selloff as an accumulation opportunity. He expects a return to record prices if autonomous Cybercab deployment exceeds 1,000, while acknowledging that a broader correction could push shares substantially lower first.
BullishOct 13, 2026Source The host expects Tesla to rebound toward 380 in the near term and reach new highs later in the year as robotaxi deployment approaches a scale that investors recognize. He sees limited expectations around the Roadster event, while warning that a market correction could delay the rally and break tactical support.
Strongly BullishOct 12, 2026Source The host expects accelerating Cybercap deployment to force Tesla shares above $500 and remains heavily exposed to the stock. He anticipates all-time highs during 2026 while acknowledging possible interim technical weakness and macro-driven declines.
Strongly BullishOct 11, 2026Source The host sees rapid Texas Cybercab deployment as the beginning of a fundamental earnings inflection that will force investors to reassess Tesla's valuation. He expects Tesla to rise near term and reach roughly $500 by year-end, while recognizing regulatory dependency, uncertain robotaxi economics, and a possible market-driven drawdown.
Strongly BullishOct 8, 2026Source The host remains strategically long Tesla and expects Cybercab expansion to support a rally and potentially a move above $500. He plans to reduce options leverage because a broader correction could cause a disproportionate Tesla decline.
The host maintains a large bullish Tesla position through core shares and short puts and expects a sustained breakout above $380. He views potential German driving-assistance approval and autonomous-driving progress favorably, while reserving judgment on trading the upcoming event.
Strongly BullishOct 6, 2026Source The host believes Tesla is dramatically undervalued because the market has not recognized the accelerating Cybercab rollout and its potential earnings contribution. He expects deployment at scale to force a repricing, with near-term technical upside and substantially higher prices as the fleet grows.
Strongly BullishOct 5, 2026Source The host calls Tesla an exceptional bargain and expects its shares to break resistance and advance toward $500. Robotaxi scaling, associated infrastructure revenue, and a possible acquisition premium underpin his thesis.
Strongly BullishOct 4, 2026Source The host expects Tesla to return to all-time highs this year and exceed $500 as Cybercab scaling demonstrates the economics of autonomous vehicles. International FSD adoption, internal Optimus deployment, and a possible merger premium provide additional upside, although regulatory delays, production-versus-deployment uncertainty, and market volatility remain material caveats.
Strongly BullishOct 2, 2026Source The host views Tesla's recent selloff as unjustified and argues that delivery strength, improving FSD, and Cybercab deployment support higher valuation. He expects a move toward $380, sees substantial upside from commercial robotaxi scale, and anticipates a potential acquisition premium.
Strongly BullishOct 2, 2026Source The host argues that Tesla's delivery-related selloff has priced in disappointment and that its valuation understates opportunities from FSD, Cybercab and Optimus. He anticipates a cautious near-term recovery and a return toward $500 this year, with additional conditional upside from Cybercab scaling or a speculative SpaceX acquisition.
Strongly BullishOct 1, 2026Source The speaker argues that Tesla is substantially undervalued and has limited room to fall from current levels. He connects this view to reported growth in Cybercab deployment, while making the outlook dependent on broader market conditions.
BullishSep 30, 2026Source In the video's Cybercab context, the speaker sees affordable robotaxis as a substitute for personal car ownership, especially among consumers burdened by upfront costs. This is a bullish adoption thesis for Tesla's robotaxi offering, without an explicit forecast for Tesla shares.
Strongly BullishSep 29, 2026Source The host identifies Tesla as his favorite investment by a substantial margin and describes it as extremely undervalued. He argues that expanding Cybercab and robotaxi deployment makes significant further downside unlikely, provided the broader market remains stable.
Strongly BullishSep 28, 2026Source The host argues that Tesla is dramatically undervalued because the market focuses on vehicle deliveries while overlooking autonomous transport cash flows and future Optimus earnings. He sees expanding driverless deployments as a forcing function for recognition of those earnings and recommends increasing exposure ahead of a year-end rally.
Strongly BullishSep 27, 2026Source Accelerating Cybercab registrations and deployments are evidence, in the host's view, that autonomous transport is approaching commercial scale. He expects investors to price in its economics before earnings materially reflect the business, driving Tesla above prior highs and potentially above $500 this year.
BearishSep 24, 2026Source The speaker expects Tesla Semi production to remain limited because scarce 4680 cells are more profitably allocated to Model Y and Cybercab. His bearish outlook concerns Semi's ability to scale, rather than an explicit forecast for Tesla shares.
Joe argues today's Tesla rally was mostly a market-wide relief rally (driven by no Iran strike, a bounce in oil, crypto, and semis) rather than Tesla-specific strength, since Tesla underperformed its historical beta relative to the NASDAQ move. He remains structurally very bullish long-term, but says the stock cannot make a real run to new highs until Cybercab production scales and NHTSA regulatory hurdles are resolved.
BullishSep 18, 2026Source The host believes Tesla is the leading embodied/physical AI company and will benefit from the broader AI compute buildout he sees accelerating into 2027. He has a large personal options position betting Tesla holds above the 350-360 range, though he expresses lower conviction about a near-term move to 400.
BullishSep 17, 2026Source Jo argues that the AI extinction warnings from Altman, Amodei, and Musk actually confirm AI is overdelivering on capability expectations, which is bullish for Tesla's robotaxi and FSD ambitions since the greatest risk to Tesla is whether its self-driving AI scales in time. He also frames Tesla as technically in an uptrend with strong support near $360 and expects a return to the $380 area soon.
BullishSep 16, 2026Source The speaker argues that Tesla's battery supply (the 4680 cell) is the true bottleneck constraining production, and that Tesla is rationally allocating that scarce battery capacity toward the more profitable Cybercab rather than the Semi. He frames the Semi's slow scaling as a deliberate and financially sound trade-off rather than a failure, and believes this dynamic ultimately benefits shareholders as Cybercab scales.
Strongly BullishSep 15, 2026Source The host is Tesla's largest core position and believes robotaxi/Cybercab scaling is not priced into the stock, arguing that a million robotaxis could generate massive earnings that would justify a much higher share price. He also states plainly that he expects Tesla stock to rise more than SpaceX going forward.
Strongly BullishSep 14, 2026Source Joe views Tesla as dramatically undervalued despite recent weakness, citing depressed sentiment, an unpriced Cybercab scaling catalyst, and a belief the stock will reclaim all-time highs this year. He describes increasing his Tesla exposure and endorsing a move out of Nvidia into Tesla.
Strongly BullishSep 13, 2026Source The speaker believes Tesla is dramatically undervalued relative to what he calls its true intrinsic value, citing a de-risked, stronger company than a year ago. He describes himself as extremely long the stock and expects it to have a hard time dropping strategically, though he acknowledges near-term volatility from broader AI market turmoil.
BullishSep 12, 2026Source The host expresses strong personal bullishness on Tesla, agreeing with a viewer that the stock will reach $1,000 a share and asserting confidence the company will not fail. These statements are informal, chat-driven affirmations rather than detailed analysis.
Joe believes Tesla and SpaceX will largely be spared from the market fallout he expects once AI-doom fears about ASI regulation intensify by 2029, but he acknowledges Tesla could fall sharply to $140 or even $100 in adverse scenarios like a broad market crash. He frames these downside numbers explicitly as conditional 'ifs' rather than his base case.
Strongly BullishSep 2, 2026Source The host frames the September 3rd Cybercab commercial launch as a historic milestone for autonomous vehicles and argues Tesla is dramatically undervalued given the pace of robotaxi production ramp. He believes near-term stock reaction is highly uncertain but skews more likely to the upside than downside, while his core long-term conviction remains that Tesla will see explosive growth over the next year.
Joe is tactically cautious in the very short term due to Fed rate-hike risk and the uncertainty of the Thursday Cybercab robotaxi launch, having recently taken profits and only partially re-entered. However, he remains extremely bullish long-term, citing VIN-number evidence of 2,000+ deployed Cybercabs and a belief that the market underestimates the robotaxi/Optimus rollout.
Strongly BullishAug 27, 2026Source The speaker built a DCF-based robotaxi valuation model showing that Tesla's Cybercab/robotaxi division alone could be worth roughly $440 per share, more than the entire current market value of Tesla. He argues the stock is deeply undervalued because the market has not priced in the robotaxi ramp, and expects a return to all-time highs once the earnings trajectory becomes visible to Wall Street.
Strongly BullishAug 25, 2026Source The speaker believes Tesla is dramatically undervalued given its combined businesses (core auto, energy, robotaxi/Cybercab, and Optimus). He argues Optimus is a secretly-progressing, potentially massive catalyst that the market has not yet priced in, with a 10-million-unit factory build-out signaling serious commercial intent.
Strongly BullishAug 24, 2026Source The host views Tesla's sell-off around the Chinese recall as an overreaction ahead of the September 3rd Cyber Cab launch, which he calls a potentially transformational catalyst. He also highlights a new German pilot program (Brandenburg autonomous shuttles) as evidence that robotaxi total addressable market is being massively underestimated by the market.
Strongly BullishAug 23, 2026Source Jo believes Tesla is dramatically undervalued heading into the Cybercab commercial launch in Austin, citing years of tracked FSD/robotaxi progress, regulatory approvals in states like Nevada, and Waymo's inferior cost structure. He is running a highly leveraged short-put options strategy into the launch event while acknowledging macro risks (bonds, Iran, Fed) could disrupt the trade.
Strongly BullishAug 18, 2026Source The host argues Tesla is in a 'Goldilocks moment' where the imminent commercial Cybercab launch is a near-certain positive catalyst while the stock remains cheap after a post-earnings selloff and broader macro-driven market panic. He believes the combination of an oversold stock and a robotaxi rollout catalyst makes a short-term rally highly likely, while cautioning that a 'sell the news' event could follow once Cybercab actually launches.
BullishAug 17, 2026Source Jo briefly mentions renewed bullishness on Tesla, describing it as an underrated stock he's returning to favor. No specific price target or timeframe is given.
Strongly BullishAug 16, 2026Source The speaker reduced Tesla holdings tactically before disappointing July 2026 earnings, correctly avoided the crash to $300, and has now re-entered fully around $325-$340. He remains extremely bullish long-term, arguing the stock is undervalued relative to progress in energy, automotive, Optimus and Cybercab, and expects a near-term recovery toward prior highs as institutional buyers accumulate shares.
Strongly BullishJul 31, 2026Source After a brutal sell-off tied to forced liquidations and Fed-day panic, the host says he is going back to a full core Tesla position because he believes the broader market is bottoming and Tesla will ride the recovery. He acknowledges robotaxi deployment will likely be delayed a few months but says that does not change his high conviction on the stock.
BullishJul 29, 2026Source Jo remains a long-term bull on Tesla, arguing it is 'insanely cheap' but currently moving in lockstep with the broader tech/AI selloff rather than on its own fundamentals. He believes once the broader market panic subsides, Tesla will rally sharply alongside peers like Nvidia and Palantir.
BullishJul 28, 2026Source Joe considers Tesla a 'ridiculous buy' long-term, citing Optimus progress and unpriced optionality in robotics, even though the stock has stagnated for years. He believes any robotaxi/Cybercab delay is inconsequential to the broader thesis.
Strongly BullishApr 24, 2026Source Q1 a Goldilocks earnings: 19.2% auto gross margin (vs 17.5% est) in an industry-wide bloodbath validates manufacturing supremacy; capex jump $20B → $25B is bullish in the AI singularity era — exact same pattern Meta and Amazon went through, both of which fully recovered to all-time highs after their capex-shock selloffs. Optimus production starts July (90 days) which should drive a re-rating to $500. Near-term: $400 'in no time' as the irrational capex selloff reverses.
Strongly BullishApr 24, 2026Source Q1 was a Goldilocks moment — auto gross margin 19.2% vs 17.5% est confirms Tesla's manufacturing-powerhouse thesis; delivery growth recovering across Europe/APAC/SA/NA; cyber cab production OFFICIALLY started at Giga Texas (conveyor-belt scale, not hand-build). FSD miles grew 90% while subscriptions grew 16% — existing users driving much more on FSD, an adoption-depth inflection. 25B capex is bullish (low end for Mag 7 ex-Apple) and Tesla is the only Mag 7 doing hard physical manufacturing. Optimus production starts Q2/Q3 — a soft catalyst likely to re-rate the stock.
BullishApr 22, 2026Source The speaker views Tesla's current earnings miss as largely irrelevant compared to the massive potential of robotaxi deployment. He argues that just 66,000 robotaxis in operation would double Tesla's entire net income, making small quarterly misses insignificant in the long-term context. The market has already priced in disappointment, creating an attractive risk-reward setup.
Strongly BullishApr 20, 2026Source Tesla's new AI5 chip represents a fundamental breakthrough that will make Tesla one of the world's largest chip manufacturers. The chip delivers 5x the compute power of current AI4 chips at dramatically lower costs than Nvidia alternatives, positioning Tesla to dominate space compute and robotics markets.
Strongly BullishApr 16, 2026Source Tesla's robotaxi technology will benefit from Waymo's regulatory groundwork and safety data showing autonomous vehicles are dramatically safer than human drivers. The speaker believes FSD is nearly ready and regulatory approval will accelerate rapidly due to safety arguments that put politicians on the defensive.
Strongly BullishApr 15, 2026Source Tesla is positioned as the most attractive AI stock globally with unique capabilities in robotaxi technology, Optimus robots, and AI chip manufacturing. The company has made tremendous progress since December with Cybercab launching on time and FSD 14.3 rolling out, positioning it to capture multi-trillion dollar margin streams.
Strongly BullishApr 14, 2026Source Tesla is significantly undervalued at current levels and should recover to $400+ even without major catalysts, as the company has made tremendous progress with CyberCab ramping production and FSD improvements. The stock has fallen too much relative to its fundamentals and progress, trading at $370-380 when it was at $490 just 5 months ago on a weaker company.
BullishApr 13, 2026Source Tesla is forming a bottom around current levels and is well-positioned to capture AI upside with its robotaxi and Optimus robot businesses having no serious competition. The speaker has doubled their Tesla position and believes the downside is very limited at current levels.
BullishApr 12, 2026Source The YouTuber believes Tesla has bottomed out around current levels and expects upward movement. He sees the current negative sentiment as a contrarian indicator and plans to double down on his position.
The YouTuber views Tesla as fundamentally strong and sees the Iran ceasefire as removing a major risk factor that was suppressing the stock. He believes Tesla is positioned for significant upside as geopolitical tensions ease and the market enters 'bull territory'.
Tesla is the speaker's biggest core position and anchor stock to capture AGI upside, with the strongest midterm upside potential among the Magnificent 7. Despite current Iran-related weakness, Tesla will rally dramatically once geopolitical risks subside, with robo taxi developments providing additional catalysts.
Tesla is fundamentally a technology leader in full self-driving and robotaxi deployment, not just an auto company. The speaker believes FSD and robotaxi will launch this year and start scaling commercial operations into tens of thousands of deployed vehicles, which could drive the stock above $1,000.
Strongly BullishApr 2, 2026Source Tesla's 5% drop due to missing Q1 delivery expectations by 14,000 units is a massive overreaction that creates a buying opportunity. The YouTuber argues that robotaxi deployment will generate $50,000 in annual margin per vehicle, making the equivalent of just 168 robotaxis equal to the entire quarterly miss impact.
Tesla is positioned for a significant rally if geopolitical tensions resolve, with the stock having fallen from $450 in February to current levels despite no fundamental deterioration. The speaker sees Tesla benefiting from both market recovery and company-specific catalysts including FSD 14.3 rollout and Cybercab manufacturing ramp.
BullishMar 31, 2026Source Tesla is positioned for a potential major repricing in Q2 2026 driven by the rollout of full autonomy, Cyber Cab production ramping, and FSD version 14.3. Despite being down 18% year-to-date, the speaker believes Q2 could be an absolute game-changer that initiates the great repricing of the stock.
Tesla is showing relative strength compared to the broader market despite the geopolitical turmoil, potentially due to upcoming April events and Q2 catalysts. The speaker sees Tesla as fundamentally strong but is concerned about macro headwinds from the Iran conflict affecting oil prices and broader markets.
BullishMar 24, 2026Source The speaker is extremely confident Tesla will be over $800 by end of 2027 and sees significant long-term upside potential. However, he warns of a specific tail risk from a potential SpaceX-Tesla merger that could negatively impact LEAP options holders.
Strongly BullishMar 23, 2026Source The YouTuber believes Tesla/SpaceX is on the verge of a massive breakthrough with AI satellites in space that will create infinite scalability and cash flows. He argues this space-based AI infrastructure will be ready much sooner than the market expects, creating a major investment opportunity.
BullishMar 20, 2026Source Despite current weakness and geopolitical turmoil, Tesla is positioned for a major inflection point with Cyber Cap production starting in April/May 2026. The speaker believes autonomous transportation infrastructure rollout will drive significant stock appreciation regardless of short-term market volatility.
Strongly BullishMar 18, 2026Source The YouTuber believes Tesla's robotaxi deployment will be accelerated by US government support, with Secretary of Transportation Sean Duffy prioritizing autonomous vehicle development as a national security issue. He expects the Cybercab production ramp to trigger a major stock repricing when Tesla reaches thousands of units deployed.
Strongly BullishMar 15, 2026Source Tesla is positioned for a massive repricing once Cybertruck production scales and robotaxi deployment reaches tens of thousands of units. The speaker believes regulatory concerns are overblown given strong government support for autonomous vehicles as a national security priority.
Strongly BullishMar 13, 2026Source The YouTuber believes Tesla's Cybercab mass production starting in April will be a major repricing catalyst, with the potential for 100% or more stock appreciation. He argues that Tesla is already deploying hundreds of Cybercabs for testing and will rapidly scale to thousands per month, leading to unsupervised robotaxi deployment.
Tesla is approaching a major inflection point with Cybercab production starting in April, which could massively derisk the stock. The YouTuber believes Tesla can mitigate risks by selling Cybercabs to investors like Chamath who would deploy them as fleets, providing a relief valve if full-scale robotaxi deployment is delayed.
Tesla faces a critical inflection point in April-May 2025 around Cyber Cab deployment and robotaxi scaling. The YouTuber sees March as weak but views April-May as decisive for the stock's direction, with binary outcomes possible.
BullishFeb 25, 2026Source Tesla remains the number one position in the speaker's portfolio as the central stock for embodied AI. However, Tesla is in a 'deflating balloon' phase until an expected inflection point in April-May, with risk of dropping below $400 in March if broader market sentiment remains poor.
Strongly BullishFeb 25, 2026Source Tesla is massively undervalued if it reaches the inflection point of deploying robotaxis at scale. The YouTuber models that 2,000 fully commercial robotaxis would generate 5% of Tesla's 2024 free cash flow, creating a forcing function for mainstream investors to reprice the stock. Each robotaxi would generate approximately $93,000 in annual margin, equivalent to selling 12 Model Y vehicles per year.
BullishFeb 23, 2026Source Tesla is setting up for a major rally despite current weakness, with the speaker expecting the stock to move from sideways trading to explosive upward moves of 50-100% when the inflection point arrives. The current selloffs are viewed as fake and temporary, with fundamental progress continuing through robotaxi deployment and AGI-driven productivity gains.
Strongly BullishFeb 22, 2026Source Tesla has begun production of Cybercab robotaxis on their final production line, marking a historic moment that will revolutionize human transport. The YouTuber believes Tesla will deploy tens of thousands of robotaxis by December 2026, while Wall Street has underestimated this timeline.
BullishFeb 21, 2026Source Tesla's robotaxi fleet growth is approaching an inflection point that will drive significant stock appreciation. The YouTuber believes Tesla is preparing to submit data for driverless approval in California and expects rapid fleet expansion to create a forcing function for the stock price.
BullishFeb 20, 2026Source Tesla is in a limbo zone before a major inflection point expected in April 2026, driven by robotaxi deployment reaching 1,800 units. The stock is currently deflating like a balloon losing air slowly, but this downtrend will reverse once robotaxi growth reaches critical mass.
Strongly BullishFeb 18, 2026Source Tesla is positioned for massive growth through multiple exponential curves converging - Cybercab production ramping, robotaxi scaling in California, and AI tools accelerating development. The speaker believes Tesla will produce tens of thousands of Cybercabs this year, with robotaxis potentially going unsupervised by April.
Strongly BullishFeb 17, 2026Source Tesla's Cybercab production launch represents a massive validation of their robotaxi strategy and autonomous driving capabilities. The production line start at Giga Texas signals that Tesla is committed to scaling autonomous vehicles, which will force rapid development of FSD technology and create a compelling investment opportunity.
Strongly BullishFeb 16, 2026Source Tesla is on track for a major inflection point in April 2026 with CyberCab production launch, which will deploy as robotaxis without steering wheels. The YouTuber believes this represents a massive business model shift where each CyberCab generates $30,000 in annual margin, equivalent to four Model Y sales per year.
BullishFeb 12, 2026Source Tesla's current selloff is completely irrational and presents a buying opportunity. The speaker believes Tesla will double in a very short period once an April inflection point is hit, viewing current weakness as part of a broader market base-building phase.
Strongly BullishFeb 12, 2026Source Tesla is positioned for a major inflection point likely in April 2026, driven by robotaxi progress, Optimus development, and Tesla's transition from being viewed as a car company to an AI-driven platform and robotics company. The speaker believes Tesla will be repriced significantly higher once these paradigm shifts become obvious and undeniable in the real world with cash flow impact.
Strongly BullishFeb 10, 2026Source Tesla is at an inflection point in 2026 with the Cybercab production launch in April serving as a forcing function that indicates high confidence in robotaxi scaling. The company has committed billions to Cybercab manufacturing infrastructure, creating a situation where they must succeed or face massive losses, suggesting FSD technology is ready for deployment.
Tesla shareholders should support a potential SpaceX merger despite 50% dilution because SpaceX's space-based data centers could generate massive cash flows starting in 2027-2028. The merger would be justified if SpaceX can match or exceed Tesla's discounted cash flow potential through strategic partnerships with Nvidia and the Department of Defense.
Strongly BullishFeb 7, 2026Source Tesla is building a transformative future with robotaxi coming online and Optimus robots, with April being a key inflection point. The speaker believes Tesla is completely undervalued despite conventional metrics suggesting overvaluation.
Tesla is currently in a consolidation phase until the robotaxi inflection point hits in April, when thousands of driverless robotaxis will prove commercial viability and drive massive cash flows. The stock will likely underperform until this catalyst materializes.
Strongly BullishFeb 3, 2026Source The SpaceX and X.AI merger creates the most transformative economic opportunity in human history, establishing a vertically integrated system that will convert unlimited energy into unlimited intelligence through space-based data centers. This represents the beginning of humanity's path to becoming a Kardashev Type 2 civilization, with Tesla positioned to benefit from this astronomical transformation.
Strongly BullishFeb 1, 2026Source Tesla is at the precipice of massive growth driven by robotaxi deployment scaling rapidly to 1,800 units by April, which would generate 5% of Tesla's 2024 free cash flow and trigger a forcing function for analysts to recognize the exponential growth potential. The speaker believes FSD has been solved and Tesla is now focused on operational infrastructure, positioning for 100% free cash flow growth trajectory once the inflection point hits.
Strongly BullishJan 31, 2026Source Tesla is positioned as a once-in-a-generation compounding asset that can provide career-replacing income through active capital management. The speaker advocates treating Tesla stock as an income-generating vehicle by strategically selling shares when they exceed target appreciation rates, rather than waiting for dividends.
Strongly BullishJan 30, 2026Source Tesla is positioned to benefit massively from potential mergers with SpaceX and XAI, creating an integrated AI empire that will dominate space-based intelligence infrastructure. The combined entity would leverage Tesla's embodied AI capabilities with SpaceX's orbital lift capacity to build AI data centers in space at 60% lower costs than terrestrial alternatives.
Strongly BullishJan 29, 2026Source Tesla demonstrated exceptional execution with automotive margins increasing from 15.4% to 17.9% despite intense competition, while achieving 1.1 million FSD subscribers and maintaining over 20% gross margins. The company is positioned as the only viable robotaxi player with superior operational infrastructure and is betting heavily on unsupervised FSD launch in April 2026.
Strongly BullishJan 27, 2026Source Tesla is positioned for a major breakout in April-May 2026 due to the Cybercab launch and robotaxi scaling. The company's commitment to manufacturing infrastructure for autonomous vehicles demonstrates complete confidence in their timeline.
BullishJan 26, 2026Source Tesla is positioned as the ultimate AGI stock with robo taxi, humanoid robots, and connections to XAI and SpaceX. The speaker expects an inflection point in April when Tesla reaches 1,800-2,000 robo taxis, which could generate 5% of Tesla's free cash flow and lead to major stock repricing.
Strongly BullishJan 24, 2026Source Tesla is positioned to benefit massively from the AGI-driven deflationary boom, with autonomous vehicle launches and Optimus robots coming online. The company will thrive in an environment of falling interest rates, economic hypergrowth, and technological disruption.
Strongly BullishJan 22, 2026Source Tesla is positioned for massive growth across multiple fronts including solar energy production, Optimus humanoid robots, and robo taxi deployment. The YouTuber believes Tesla will achieve widespread robo taxi deployment by end of 2025 and sees this as a major inflection point that will drive the stock above $1,000.
BullishJan 20, 2026Source The YouTuber sees Tesla as showing relative strength during the selloff and believes it's a good tactical buying opportunity. He's implementing options strategies betting on recovery and stability through earnings, with growing optimism about robotaxi progress.
BullishJan 19, 2026Source Tesla is expected to face sideways movement in Q1 but will see a major inflection point around April when robotaxi deployment scales to 2,000 units from current 230. The key opportunity is predicting the robotaxi scaling inflection point before the market realizes it, which could generate significant alpha.
Strongly BullishJan 16, 2026Source Tesla's massive stock option package for Tom Zhu demonstrates Elon's strategic thinking to lock down key execution talent for the company's robotics and robo-taxi revolution. The speaker believes Tesla will achieve massive value creation through Optimus robots and robo-taxis, with operational excellence being more important than just technology leadership.
Strongly BullishJan 14, 2026Source Tesla Optimus leads the world in humanoid robotic development and will dominate over specialized robots due to superior resource allocation and economies of scale. The humanoid form factor allows Tesla to pool massive R&D budgets, talent, and computational power more effectively than developing specialized robots with smaller individual budgets.
Strongly BullishJan 12, 2026Source Tesla is positioned for a breakthrough in robotaxi/cybercab technology in 2026, which will trigger explosive stock growth. The speaker believes Tesla has the right technological approach with end-to-end neural networks, unlike competitors like Waymo who rely on limited mapping and remote operators.
Tesla faces downside pressure in the near term due to lack of catalysts and running on 'hopium', but expects major upside once FSD reaches 10 billion miles inflection point around July. The stock is likely to trade in a sideways channel between $400-500 until the hard catalyst arrives.
Strongly BullishJan 7, 2026Source Tesla maintains an insurmountable lead in robotaxis and humanoid robots through complete vertical integration from AI models to hardware. Hyundai's Atlas robot announcement is not a serious threat due to their reliance on partnerships with Nvidia and Google, which creates dependencies and slows iteration cycles.
Strongly BullishJan 5, 2026Source Tesla is building a revolutionary global autonomous transportation infrastructure that will blur the lines between car ownership, rentals, ride-sharing, and trucking into one seamless marketplace. This will create a massive competitive advantage by offering AI-optimized pricing and immediate access to transportation solutions across all segments.
Tesla faces potential air pockets in Q1 2026 due to anticipation being priced in without corresponding ground-level robotaxi deployment. The stock has priced in robotaxi excitement since September but lacks the hard catalyst of scaling to cash flow relevant regions (1,800 deployed full-time robotaxis).
Strongly BullishJan 3, 2026Source Tesla's robotaxi scaling will be fundamentally different from Waymo's linear approach, moving from gradual deployment to 'opening the floodgates' once FSD reaches acceptable safety levels. The speaker believes Tesla will hit this inflection point in 2026 with extremely high probability, leading to massive production scaling.
Strongly BullishDec 30, 2025Source Tesla is positioned for massive disruption through autonomous transport with Robotaxi launching and scaling in 2026. The company's end-to-end neural networks provide true world understanding unlike competitors' makeshift solutions, and Tesla will supply chips for SpaceX's space-based data centers.
Jo is extremely bullish on Tesla long-term but concerned about Q1 performance due to lack of immediate cash flows from robotaxi operations. He believes Tesla is currently trading on 'fumes and hopes' rather than fundamentals, with the real inflection point coming in April when robotaxis could generate meaningful revenue.
Strongly BullishDec 25, 2025Source Tesla is at the forefront of the artificial general intelligence revolution with self-driving cars that demonstrate consciousness-like behavior. The company will benefit from the transformation of everything through AI and will deliver infinite returns to investors as it helps turn humans into reality engineers.
Strongly BullishDec 24, 2025Source A 1,000-share Tesla position held from Christmas 2025 will be worth around $6.3 million by Christmas 2030, driven by robotaxi and Optimus exploding from ~$13B EBITDA today to $112B by 2029. The speaker's model pegs fair value at $575 today (vs ~$490 market), $1,033 by end of 2026, and $6,394 per share by 2030.
Strongly BullishDec 18, 2025Source Tesla hit an all-time high of 490 on December 17 before a two-day roller coaster on Oracle fears. Jo sees Tesla reaching his 520 price target by end of year if the NASDAQ rallies another 5% given Tesla's beta of 2, with more robotaxi catalysts likely in the next four weeks.
Strongly BullishDec 9, 2025Source Tesla is positioned for a transformative 2026 with five major catalysts: robotaxi launch, Optimus commercial deployment, energy business expansion, Tesla Semi production, and FSD driving core car sales. The YouTuber believes 2026 will be a pivotal year where Tesla reaches inflection points across multiple business lines.
Strongly BullishDec 5, 2025Source Tesla is positioned for explosive growth driven by robotaxi deployment and Optimus robot scaling, with earnings per share projected to grow from $2.10 to $144 by 2030. The YouTuber believes these new business lines will create massive margin expansion through service-based revenue models.
Strongly BullishDec 1, 2025Source Tesla's high forward PE is explained by massive EPS growth projected at 70-137% annually from 2026 to 2031 driven by robotaxi and Optimus scaling. Jo's model fair value is 894 for 2026 with EPS rising from 2.10 today to 143 in 2031. Robotaxi deploys to 40,000 units by end of 2026, Optimus ramps to a million units per year by 2030.
BullishNov 30, 2025Source Q4 deliveries are already expected weak (Kalshi at 364,000), so no downside surprise risk, while the Fed lowering rates sets up a year-end rally potentially reaching 500. Jo plans to roll leaps back into stock starting at 450-460, expecting a Q1 2026 air pocket before April-May robotaxi scaling catalysts.
Strongly BullishNov 21, 2025Source Tesla's robotaxi rollout is crossing forcing-function thresholds: iOS app opened to all users in Austin, Arizona state-wide approval, and validation vehicles spotted in rural Temple TX and Inola PA suggest statewide rather than metro-only coverage. Bhakdi expects two repricing events: first when robotaxi cash flow hits 5% of Tesla (doubling FCF), second when 30-40k robotaxis deploy. He is pulling his inflection-point date earlier and maintains his 2,000+ stock target.
Strongly BullishNov 10, 2025Source Tesla is entering a new phase with three major verticals (EVs/energy, robotaxis, and Optimus humanoid robots) that will create massive value. The robotaxi business will overtake the core business by 2028, while Optimus will scale to enormous proportions in the 2030s.
BullishOct 28, 2025Source Tesla is experiencing a narrative-driven uptrend after Q3 earnings confirmed Optimus Q1 2026 reveal and robo-taxi safety-driver removal by year-end, but the real hard catalyst is robo-taxi cash flow in May 2026.
BullishOct 27, 2025Source The pay package vote is a near-certain pass given the 73% baseline from 2024 plus Musk's now-includable 13% voting stake, making Tesla a bullish long-term story while Elon retains control for Optimus and autonomy.
NeutralOct 26, 2025Source Tesla is in a sideways channel through end of 2025 with no near-term catalysts since Optimus reveal has been pushed to Q1 2026 and robo-taxi safety driver removal is already priced in; long-term remains bullish.
Strongly BullishOct 25, 2025Source Tesla is production-ready on Optimus V3 and deliberately delaying the reveal to protect IP from Chinese and 1X/Figure competitors, setting up a massive 2026 acceleration in the humanoid robot business.
Strongly BullishOct 23, 2025Source Tesla's Q3 earnings confirmed the full long-term roadmap with $41B cash, Optimus V3 mass-production demo in Q1 2026, robo-taxi scaling, and cybercab mass production end of 2026, supporting targets of $500-600 by April 2026, $700 by October 2026, and $1,000+ by Q1 2027.
BullishOct 21, 2025Source Tesla is set up with three bullish catalysts going into Q3 earnings: strong 497K deliveries, an improving European/Chinese outlook that mitigates Q4 cliff fears, and the November 6 shareholder meeting that will serve as an upward magnet with potential Optimus V3 reveals.
Strongly BullishOct 16, 2025Source Tesla DCF fair value is $700 by end-2025 and $7,000 by 2030 based on three verticals: affordable EV expansion, robo-taxi driving 1.4B free cash flow in 2026 scaling massively, and Optimus reaching 1M units by 2030 and 1.6B by 2040.
The post-deliveries drop is noise from a sell-the-news pattern after the delivery leak; the affordable Model Y launch around October 16 remains the key catalyst that could push the stock to 460.
Tesla has a very high chance of hitting 480 in October driven by the affordable Model Y launch expanding TAM 3-8x and the combination of strong deliveries, with risk concentrated in the October 29 Fed meeting after earnings.
BullishSep 30, 2025Source The affordable Model Y launch in October at potentially $32K will expand Tesla's TAM 3-8x and drive the stock to a $480 magnet by earnings; the mid-October launch scenario is most likely based on tax credit expiration and PR timing.
Strongly BullishSep 29, 2025Source The affordable Model Y was strategically delayed to October 2025 to avoid launching during a Q3 tax-credit pull-forward, setting Tesla up for a surprise Q4 catalyst that could massively expand its TAM and lift the stock.
Strongly BullishSep 26, 2025Source DCF-based fair future value is materially above current price, with robo-taxi scaling in 2026 and Optimus ramp in 2028 acting as forcing functions for major repricing.
Long-term bull thesis intact with $850 fair future value by end-2025, but near-term technicals and statistics suggest TSLA is on thin ice above $440 and more likely to pull back to around $400 before a renewed push toward $500-600.
Strongly BullishSep 14, 2025Source Tesla Q3 is setting a record, the affordable Model Y launches October 1 to offset tax-credit pull-forward, and robo-taxi hitting 5% of free cash flow in April-May 2026 drives the stock to 1,000.
Strongly BullishSep 9, 2025Source Tesla DCF-based fair value is roughly 680 today and 850 by December 2025, far above Wall Street targets which are anchored by career-incentive ranges rather than first principles.
Strongly BullishSep 5, 2025Source The 1T comp plan is massively bullish: Elon pays nothing if he fails and shareholders gain 5-6x value if he succeeds. Host's DCF model puts fair cap at 2.7T today and 11T by 2028, implying 8.5T milestones are likely hit well ahead of the 2035 deadline.
Tesla is fundamentally undervalued and approaching a 12-month inflection point driven by robotaxi critical mass and the 5% free cash flow hurdle expected in April-May 2026, with a potential near-term correction serving as a perfect setup for a subsequent 100% rally.
Strongly BullishAug 22, 2025Source Tesla is entering a forcing function of robotaxi scale, Optimus humanoid deployment, and AI6 chip ramp with Samsung, which justifies a reset valuation model where even the bear case ($1,877) still represents a solid multiple and the base case projects $8,000 per share by 2030.
BullishAug 19, 2025Source Tesla's fundamentals support a fair value near $844 with a gut-feel year-end target of $580 driven by 10-city robotaxi rollout, but a likely September-October market correction could drive TSLA below $300 on beta-2 correlation, providing a tactical buying opportunity.
BullishAug 15, 2025Source Tesla's discounted-cash-flow fair value as of August 2025 is $713 per share versus a trading price near $360, implying a 50% discount and approximately 98% upside based on modeled future revenue streams from Optimus humanoid robots and the robotaxi fleet.
BullishJul 29, 2025Source Tesla's new broad-but-slow robotaxi rollout strategy will unlock ~50% of the US population by end of 2025 and cross the 5% free-cash-flow forcing function in May 2026, creating a surprise acceleration that should drive the stock higher.
BullishJul 14, 2025Source Tesla is likely to 10x from $1 trillion to $10 trillion market cap over the next three years, translating to roughly $3,190 per share, and should invest in XAI at a fair valuation to combine robotaxi/Optimus real-world data streams with XAI's frontier brain.
Strongly BullishJul 11, 2025Source Tesla robotaxi's faster-than-expected expansion puts it on the fast-lane trajectory to cross the 5% free-cash-flow forcing function in November 2025, which could drive the stock to $600-$1,000 this year with asymmetric upside via out-of-the-money call options.
Tesla is trading at the lower end of its range near $316 and is likely to bounce back to $360-$400 quickly on upcoming robotaxi scaling and affordable-model catalysts, with a larger forcing-function rally awaiting the 1,800-2,000 robotaxi threshold.
Strongly BullishJul 1, 2025Source The Trump-Elon feud is theatrical drama not genuine hostility, and paired with weak Q2 deliveries (~350K expected) it creates a buying opportunity ahead of the real 12-month forcing function that should catapult TSLA toward $1,000 when robotaxi crosses 2,000 deployed units.
Strongly BullishJun 10, 2025Source Tesla is massively undervalued on a 90-day basis with fair value at $616 today and $711 by September, implying an immediate 95% upside and 125% upside by September as the Austin robotaxi launch acts as the catalyst.
Robotaxi deployment will trigger a forcing function at 5% of 2024 free cash flow, driving the stock towards $1,000 in late 2025 or early 2026. Short term, he expects a runup to around $400 in July and potentially sells some leaps into it due to macro risks in Q3-Q4.
Strongly BullishJun 2, 2025Source Gary Black's sale of all Tesla on P/E grounds is a fundamental misunderstanding — P/E cannot capture a company about to unlock massive new cash flow streams from robotaxi and Optimus. Bhakdi's DCF model gives fair share prices of $1,000 in 2025 and $1,700 in 2026.
Strongly BullishMay 30, 2025Source Tesla's DCF fair value reaches $4,599 by 2028 as robotaxi and Optimus revenue streams dominate EBITDA by 2027, making traditional PE analysis meaningless. The core business becomes a rounding error by 2029.
Strongly BullishMay 21, 2025Source Robotaxi launch in June is a structurally positive catalyst that Wall Street has not priced in; EBITDA from robotaxi alone could double company profit by 2027 under fast scenarios, and FSD is a solvable type-three reality engineering problem rather than a fundamental invention problem.
BullishMay 13, 2025Source Tesla is likely to revisit prior all-time highs around $480-500 by summer if robotaxi rollout works; avoiding mid-2026 expirations and favoring shorter or longer-dated LEAPS maximizes risk-adjusted returns.
Strongly BullishApr 30, 2025Source Three simultaneous wins - federal FSD framework, affordable Model Y launch, and tariff exemption via 85% domestic content - structurally lift Tesla's margins, TAM, and political moat, supporting a $10,000+ long-term target.
Strongly BullishApr 23, 2025Source Post-earnings model update increases near-term targets: $1,000 by end-2025 and $2,000 for 2026 assuming June robotaxi launch succeeds, with Austin ride-hail market destroyed in Q4 2025 and FSD autopay adoption driving an EBITDA jump.
Strongly BullishApr 21, 2025Source Robotaxi (June 2025) and Optimus Gen 3 (Q4 2025) are converging catalysts with 90%+ joint probability of delivering transformational news by mid-2026, supporting DCF fair values of $620 (June 2025), $1,113 (June 2026), and $11,000 (2030).
BullishApr 17, 2025Source Tesla will transform into an AI/robotics company with robotaxi working between June 2025 and June 2026 at 95% probability, leading to a $1,000 share price; June 2025 launch has only 30% probability of flawless execution and could produce significant short-term drawdown.
Strongly BullishApr 8, 2025Source Tesla is at the precipice of unlocking global autonomous transport via robotaxi and civilization-level robotics via Optimus, justifying an $11,000 per share target by 2030 even with near-term tariff turbulence and China tail risk.
Strongly BullishApr 2, 2025Source Tesla bottomed at 222 with a higher low at 250, rallied 5% on bad deliveries plus Elon stepping down from Doge, and is set up for a big bull run as the June robotaxi launch approaches with 25-30k additional US car sales boost from import tariffs on competitors.
Strongly BullishMar 24, 2025Source Tesla at 249 is a 40% discount to the model-derived current fair value of around 400, bottomed at 222, and is set up with multiple catalysts (Model Y relaunch sales boom, robotaxi June launch, Russia peace, Optimus year-end) that should push the stock above the 640 end-of-year fair value.
Strongly BullishMar 12, 2025Source Tesla's fair value end-of-2025 is 654 and 1100 end-of-2026 with 82% of value coming from future robotaxi (35%) and Optimus (47%) cash flows, and the moat is cost-leading Cyber Cab hardware plus an Optimus IP App Store, not AI itself.
Strongly BullishMar 10, 2025Source Tesla at 236 is trading at a 43% discount to model fair value with end-2025 target of 657 and 2030 target of 12,700 under conservative robotaxi and Optimus assumptions, making this a generational entry point but with recommendation to wait for sentiment shift rather than catch a falling knife.
Strongly BullishMar 4, 2025Source Tesla is the best-positioned company to capture the AI singularity via humanoid robots, robotaxi, and FSD, and the current sell-off is a once-in-a-lifetime entry point for long-term investors.
Strongly BullishFeb 26, 2025Source Tesla's discounted cash flow model values shares at $611 fair value end-of-2025 and $11,000 by 2030, with current price deeply discounted versus intrinsic value.
Strongly BullishFeb 17, 2025Source Tesla's two near-term catalysts (June robotaxi launch, Model Q) can drive short-term outperformance while DCF fair value supports $770 end-2025 and $11,700 by 2030.
Strongly BullishFeb 3, 2025Source Tariff-driven drop is temporary; asymmetric trade pressure forces Canada/Mexico to cave, and June robotaxi launch remains the dominant catalyst supporting $11,700 long-term target.
BullishJan 29, 2025Source Tesla is range-bound between $350 and $480 into earnings with long-term DCF at $11,700 by 2030.
Strongly BullishJan 21, 2025Source Tesla is set up for a bullish 2025 driven by macro tailwinds in the first half, stacked fundamental catalysts from Optimus, FSD, and robotaxi, and an ultimate long-term trajectory toward around $11,700 by 2030.
Short-term Tesla looks technically weak with a double top pattern and could fall to $360, but the long-term fundamental bull case targeting $1,000 in 2025 remains intact.
Strongly BullishJan 10, 2025Source The Model Y Juniper launch in China is a positive catalyst that will force a US and Europe launch soon to avoid Osborne demand destruction, supporting a long-term glide path toward $11-12K by 2030 driven by FSD v14, robotaxi pilot, Optimus deployment, and an affordable model.
Strongly BullishJan 6, 2025Source Tesla is expected to rally this week on bullish technical and macro setups while the long-term 2030 target above $11,000 provides a roughly 90% annualized cheat sheet that makes leveraged uptrend trading highly rewarding.
Strongly BullishJan 3, 2025Source The updated DCF model with lower robotaxi risk yields an expected Tesla price of $11,600 by 2030, with annual fair-value ramp implying $717 in 2025 and $1,300 in 2026, driven primarily by Optimus scaling to a 1 billion per year run rate by 2039.
BullishDec 21, 2024Source Tesla is referenced as a first-principles template for solving large-scale problems and, in passing, as a wealth-creation engine that will make millions of long-term holders millionaires over the coming years.
Strongly BullishDec 19, 2024Source Bhakdi's conservative DCF-style model sets a 2030 Tesla share price of roughly $10,970, implying ~85% CAGR from $500, and he argues the stock could 10x near-term and still beat conventional benchmarks.
Strongly BullishDec 16, 2024Source After breaking 420 resistance, Tesla faces no technical ceiling into year-end; fundamental model supports ~$10,900 by 2030 and over $1,000 in 2025, with FSD v13 likely raising that target further.
Strongly BullishDec 11, 2024Source Institutional adoption is breaking down Wall Street resistance and will smooth Tesla's path to a ~$10,000 share price by 2030, with a 2025 rational fair value near $600 that is likely to be exceeded significantly.
A Tesla teleoperation job posting signals the robotaxi remote-operator team is being built, making a Q3 2025 pilot launch realistic and setting up a hard-catalyst repricing.
Tesla could plausibly reach $1,000 per share within 12-18 months on a tactical basis, supporting his broader capital-ownership thesis.
Short-to-medium term Tesla will be range-bound due to lack of concrete Robotaxi/FSD/Optimus catalysts, but long-term the 5-year bet is reinforced with a $5,000 price target by 2030 driven by Optimus and FSD dominance.
BullishJul 11, 2024Source The Robotaxi Day delay is likely bullish because Elon realized an August prototype reveal would fall short and is now preparing a real operational rollout plan with remote control, geo-fencing, and pilot region subscriptions for October, smoothing the stock's upward trajectory.
Long-term Tesla will reach $5,000 by 2030 with Optimus and FSD, but short-term the negative Wall Street sentiment means soft catalysts are discounted and the stock could stagnate for years without hard catalysts; near-term risk makes time-sensitive positions unwise.
Strongly BullishJun 11, 2024Source Both shareholder votes are very likely to pass, unleashing significant short-term upside; long-term Tesla is the greatest stock market opportunity with a $5,000 mid-term price target driven by FSD, Optimus, and EV margin recovery.
Tesla is undervalued relative to its future TAMs, with $160 as a strategic bottom providing significant downside support, and it remains cheaper than OpenAI, Anthropic, Nvidia and Microsoft despite superior future opportunities.
Strongly BullishMay 24, 2024Source Tesla is in the midst of a transformation from EV sales company to robotaxi/cyber cab fleet operator, with margins expected to expand from $5-10K per car to $30-40K per car over lifetime. The supercharger team cut is a strategic move preparing for this transition.
BullishMay 22, 2024Source Tesla's extraordinary success is built on three foundational secrets: a simple first-principles master plan, a devoted community of customers/YouTubers/investors who defend the company, and pioneer capital where Elon personally led four private funding rounds investing ~$70M himself. FSD launches by end of 2024 and humanoid robots will unlock a $30 trillion labor market.
Strongly BullishMay 15, 2024Source Tesla is deeply undervalued at $180 with a strong floor at $160. Short-term target is $255-280 around the August 8 robotaxi event, $400 within 12-18 months as it retakes 2021 highs, and $2,000 by 2026-2027. The stock trades at 6x P/S while comparable AI companies (Nvidia 35x, Microsoft 12.5x) trade much higher.
Strongly BullishMay 14, 2024Source Tesla's three segments (EV/energy $3T TAM, FSD $15T TAM, humanoid robots $30T TAM) position it for a $50 trillion combined market cap. Tesla will be an AI stock rerated alongside Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Google, OpenAI, Anthropic. FSD will be solved by end of 2024, Cyber Cab will launch Aug 8 unveil with regulatory approval in Florida/LA/SF/China, Optimus will have commercial launch in 2025.
Strongly BullishMay 10, 2024Source Tesla's long-term market cap potential is $50 trillion (~100x current value) driven by three verticals: EV/energy ($3T), FSD ($15T), and humanoid robots ($30T). AI acceleration, compute/data supremacy, and pioneer-led competition make Tesla's dominance highly probable; AGI by 2025 and ASI within 5 years.