LCIDBullhit
Lucid CityTarget Price(split-adjusted)
$24.80
Said $2.48· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
“if it does close above that 218 for today, then you never know. You could see that 248”@ 6:20 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Thesis at the time
MixedTwo positive developments — a likely Blacklane deal and Lucid Air joining a Miami chauffeur fleet — support higher highs ahead. However, shorts added an extraordinary 9.98M shares in one day (31.7% of float, 390.94M shares total), clearly trying to suppress price action. The speaker sees a potential squeeze if good news arrives, but acknowledges Lucid lacks passion and is missing conference opportunities.
Key arguments
- Blacklane deal appears likely based on Lucid Middle East social media activity
- Lucid Air joining Miami chauffeur fleet shows B2B niche potential
- New board member Douglas Grim brings Chrysler executive experience
- Shorts adding 9.98M shares in one day is an aggressive suppression attempt
- Title says 'Higher Highs Coming' — speaker believes positive momentum will resume
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Volume today is mostly algorithmic trading — not organic institutional buying
- Lucid is missing key conference appearances vs. competitors like Rivian
The call
- Date said
- Jun 6, 2025
- Price at prediction
- $21.50
- Confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- hit
- Resolution price
- $31.20
- Return
- +45.1%
- Notes
- Target ≥$24.8 reached on 2025-07-17. Price: $31.20. Return: +45.1%.
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Rule that fired
Target ≥$24.8 reached on 2025-07-17. Price: $31.20. Return: +45.1%.
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.