What was said about Lucid Group

The host notes Lucid is participating in a broader market rally and highlights fresh partnership rumors (with PIF-backed Ceer and possibly XPeng) plus bullish options flow, but stresses there is no confirmed news and he has been bearish on the stock recently. He frames a potential short squeeze as possible if a partnership is announced, while also flagging that much of today's volume may be algorithmic rather than institutional.

The host believes Lucid's Uber/Bolt order news is fundamentally positive and signals the company's tech is moving in the right direction, but notes Wall Street remains skeptical due to a lack of dollar-value details and doubts about Lucid's ability to scale production to fulfill these deals. He flags rising short interest (51% of float) and chart weakness as near-term bearish signals, while still holding a broadly favorable long-term view of the company.

Lucid CEO Silvio Napoli discussed the new Bolt robotaxi partnership in Europe, the ongoing Uber robotaxi deal, and progress on the Saudi Arabia factory and midsize Gravity platform. He expressed confidence that the EV market will recover strongly and that Lucid's technology platform can expand into robotaxis and other markets beyond consumer EVs.

The host views Lucid's new Bolt partnership (25,000 vehicles, Level 4 autonomy with Nvidia tech) alongside the existing Uber deal as a major validation of Lucid's technology licensing strategy. Combined with heavy short interest (50.5% of float) and the stock breaking above its 10-day moving average, he believes conditions are ripe for a short squeeze and further upside, though he cautions Lucid needs to hold current levels and ramp production to fulfill new orders.

The host believes Lucid is directionless, with weak management, disengaged leadership, and no near-term catalysts, and expects the company may be forced into another reverse stock split by year-end. He also notes heavy short interest and a lack of institutional buying as signs of continued weakness.

The host describes Lucid as a 'falling knife' amid weak price action, low sentiment, and macro headwinds like hotter PPI and rate-hike odds. He is personally on pause, waiting for signs of turnaround or insider buying before considering the stock attractive again.

The YouTuber views Lucid's new France partnership with Emil Frey as a desperate, poorly-received attempt to shift sentiment rather than a substantive catalyst, noting the company paused major expansion after its last earnings. He remains skeptical of a near-term rally, citing weak technicals, rising short interest, and the possibility of another reverse stock split given the sub-$5 share price.

The YouTuber believes Lucid continues to burn cash, evidenced by an additional $400M drawn from its DDTL facility, and argues this will force dilution before the company becomes profitable. He also suspects institutions and shorts may be trading ahead of negative Lucid news, possibly due to leaks from the PIF or company insiders.

The host notes Lucid spiked briefly after a surprising congressional disclosure revealed Trump purchased LCID shares in June, and options flow shows a bullish call-put skew for the next session, but institutional order flow was mostly sell-side and short interest continues climbing to 34.4% of float. Overall he frames the move as speculative and driven by news flow rather than fundamentals, since there were no new Lucid-specific catalysts or analyst updates.

The host reviews Lucid's rough trading day, noting heavy shorting, weak institutional buying despite a bullish analyst rating, and a chart that looks technically poor. He remains fond of Lucid's product but is skeptical about Wall Street's treatment of the stock and the PIF's incentive structure.

The host attributes Lucid's persistent underperformance versus peers like Rivian to a lack of real catalysts, weak institutional buying interest, and concerning levels of shares on loan possibly tied to executive restricted stock. He believes this dynamic makes it easy for short sellers to pile on and expects dilution to continue in the future.

The host believes Lucid's sell-off today is unjustified, driven more by broad market weakness tied to Walmart's earnings than by Lucid-specific fundamentals. He points to short covering, a new European retail partnership, and potential future rate cuts and robotaxi updates as reasons the stock could stabilize or move higher, while acknowledging the chart remains weak and near-term risk exists if support levels break.

The video explains Lucid's 2.6% rally today as driven by broader market moves tied to a Treasury buyback announcement and falling yields, plus heavy 'big money' buying on the secondary market. The host notes technical caution, including rising short interest and the stock trading below its 50-day moving average, but leans slightly bullish given the buying activity and oversold RSI.

The video highlights that Lucid broke below its 50-day moving average amid heavy institutional selling and a broader market risk-off move tied to Middle East tensions and rising bond yields. The speaker notes no company-specific news or new analyst coverage despite the recent Gravity launch, and flags oversold RSI as a potential bounce catalyst if news emerges.

The host expects a largely technical-driven week for Lucid, highlighting that Elliott Wave signals are pointing to a bullish recovery for the first time in about a year and a half. He cites declining short interest, the company's lawsuit against a short-seller/critic, and the stock holding its 50-day moving average as reasons for optimism, while noting resistance near the 100-day moving average.

The host is bullish on Lucid heading into a volatile week driven mostly by macro inflation data, viewing the Robotaxi rollout as the next major stock catalyst. He notes the stock has technically strengthened by reclaiming its 100-day moving average and highlights elevated short interest as a potential tailwind, while acknowledging bears see downside risk and that CEO guidance remains vague.

The host frames Lucid as showing relative strength amid a rough macro day, pointing to active short covering, a dropping cost-to-borrow, a new 13G filing from a Saudi prince adding to his stake, and bullish options flow. He also floats the idea that Lucid could pivot toward energy storage systems (ESS) given a recent battery-life record post, though this is speculative.

Lucid continues the 'vicious death spiral' — 12 of last 14 sessions red, new 52-week low at $6.43, head of growth marketing departing amid a newly-diluted share count. Short interest at 32.41% of free float and rising. Technical support at $6.44; break → $5.35 and reverse-split territory. Net option premium still negative. OG longs capitulating. Fresh CEO not yet visible publicly — probably waiting for earnings to debut a reset.

Lucid is in a 'massive death spiral' — relative-strength-wise, weak even vs Rivian on a green-market day. Host's read: Wall Street isn't buying mgmt's claim that the Middle East / oil situation doesn't affect Ampere 2 supply chain, and the repeated dilution pattern has shareholders distrusting the cash runway story. Next technical support $5.87 (below S3). A Tesla earnings flop tonight would trigger 'armageddon' tomorrow.

Uber's 13G at 11.52% of Lucid's float — real signal that Uber sees value — triggered a 9.9% pop off the $6.82 support that the host had called. Short interest still 27.3% of float (46.35M shares) even with 1.2M shares of cover today. Next upside level $8.21; failure to hold $7.11 resumes the downtrend. The host is explicit that the recovery is temporary absent operational news from Lucid.

Big money is selling LCID with no willing buyers, creating a death spiral toward new all-time lows. The speaker describes this as a falling knife and warns against buying unless you have a long-term horizon. A temporary bounce is expected around the $6.19-$6.80 zone but the overall trend remains down.

The speaker argues that LCID's decline is not manipulation but institutional selling, driven by concerns over repeated convertible preferred stock issuances since 2022. The PIF's preferred stock position means they win regardless of price direction, and Wall Street is walking away. Bears are targeting sub-$5 by May 15.

The speaker says LCID is technically falling off a cliff with hedge funds rotating out, shorts adding 5M shares, and no institution willing to buy the dip. The convertible preferred stock structure gives the PIF a win-win regardless of price direction. The speaker personally would not buy more LCID below $15 without clear operational improvement.

The speaker is bearish near-term, noting LCID is hitting new all-time lows with shorts at 34% of float and institutional buyers absent. However, there is conditional optimism if the new CEO (Silvio Napoli) takes real actions like reducing salary, buying shares personally, and focusing on profitability rather than robotaxi side projects.

The speaker views the new CEO announcement as genuinely positive since Silvio Napoli signals a focus on profitability and cost discipline. However, Lucid simultaneously announced $1.05B in dilution (including a $300M direct offering), which the speaker calls Lucid's repeated bad habit of masking negative news with good news. The PIF's preferred stock structure remains a structural concern.

The speaker sees a potential short-term recovery underway, driven by JPM's V-shaped rebound call for the broader market and easing Middle East tensions. If LCID can close above $9.13, the next target is $9.89 and potentially a test of the 50-day moving average. However, shorts remain heavily elevated at 33.6% of float and the RBC analyst cut their price target from $10 to $8.

The speaker expects continued downside pressure in the coming week due to rising shorts, institutional selling, poor customer service reports, dual recalls (Air and Gravity), and LCID closing below key support at $8.65. A positive PR from management could spark a bounce since LCID is deeply oversold, but bears are targeting $8.00-$8.50.

The speaker notes LCID hitting new all-time lows with nearly zero options activity, suggesting institutions are completely ignoring the stock. Shorts appear to be hanging on waiting for $5, where a reverse stock split may be triggered. Macro headwinds from Middle East tensions and potential rate hikes are compounding Lucid's operational difficulties.

The speaker notices anomalous large bullish options flow in concentrated bursts mid-afternoon, leading him to speculate that big money may know of an upcoming announcement. Lucid robotaxi testing expanding to Houston is a positive operational update. However, shorts increased 628K shares and bears are targeting new lows below $8.50.

The speaker sees LCID hitting a new all-time low at $8.65, driven by Middle East tensions, disappointing deliveries, and zero institutional buying. Shorts returned 55K shares which is a mild positive, but overall the stock needs a major catalyst — an OEM partnership — to attract institutions back. Next support is $8.65 with resistance at $9.13 and $9.89.

The Q1 delivery number of 3,093 is below Wall Street expectations and implies ~9,800 units of excess inventory, which signals a demand problem. Big money is selling with all three secondary market transactions being sells. The stock is becoming a 'forgotten stock' which historically leads to shorts magnifying their presence.

The speaker provides a cautiously neutral-to-mixed outlook for the upcoming week. LCID closed above the 10-day MA and is building momentum. Q1 production of 5,500 is moving in the right direction and new analyst ratings could provide a catalyst to reach the 50-day MA at $10.22. Shorts have been steadily returning from peak levels. However, Q1 deliveries were below expectations and Middle East tensions add macro uncertainty.

The speaker is uncertain whether the rally is justified or a bull trap — institutions continued selling despite the green day, and the oil price didn't drop enough to signal true market optimism. Key level is $9.30 support; next resistance at $10.18 then $11.05. A major catalyst (undisclosed deal mentioned by management) could push higher if it materializes.

LCID is at $9.40 and testing key support at $9.30. If that fails, $8.76 is next — a new all-time low. Bears are targeting sub-$9 for the week. A breakthrough in Iran peace negotiations could push to $10.18-$11.59 on the upside. The speaker sees the week as potentially being 'the bottom' if macro clarity comes, but uncertainty is very high.

LCID broke below $10.18 pivot support with all-time low options volume (95K calls, 28K puts total) showing institutional disinterest. Shorts adding 424K shares against only 1.6M daily volume means shorts are having outsized impact. The speaker sees AMP-2 (Saudi Arabia factory) as the major future catalyst and the World Cup (77 days away) as a marketing opportunity.

The speaker sees Lucid's end-of-March $3K discount on Air as smart inventory management ahead of earnings, since investors will scrutinize excess inventory reduction. However, the stock is stuck between the 10-day and 50-day moving averages with no institutional buying. Bears targeting $9-$9.50, bulls targeting $11. Breaking below 10-day MA could trigger a retest of $9.40-$9.50.

The coming week is binary for LCID — Iran peace news would drive a move to at minimum the 200-day MA, while further escalation retests $9.50. Shorts have been steadily returning from their 36% peak (now 32.29%), suggesting they see the stock as less attractive to short. The 50-day MA at $10.38 was rejected Friday and is the key hurdle to clear. Uber partnership infrastructure is a significant long-term positive.

The speaker covers the Bank of America summit where Lucid's interim CEO Mark Winterhoff and CFO Tofique laid out a confident roadmap. Key points: 2026 is the last heavy investment year, gross margin positive in the mid-term, free cash flow breakeven by late decade, mid-size addressable market is $350B+, 240K total annual capacity (AMP-1 + AMP-2), Uber robotaxi partnership expanding to mid-size, L4 autonomy by 2029 with Nvidia. The speaker is mildly critical of management's inability to give specific breakeven unit figures but overall finds the presentation positive.

Lucid hit a new 52-week low as Trump announced global 10-15% tariffs with potential to increase to 20-25%. Most significantly, a $1.6M put option was purchased with an $8 strike expiring May 15, 2026 — implying a target around $6.50 — the day before Q4 earnings. All three institutional transactions on the secondary market are sells. The host notes this bearish bet could be macro-hedging rather than Lucid-specific, but the signal is notable heading into earnings.

Lucid's Q4 earnings is an extreme catalyst in either direction. Revenue consensus of $459.54M would be a record, but Wall Street historically dislikes Lucid's earnings and the stock is at near-all-time lows on horrific technicals. Future guidance is the key variable — the speaker expects Wall Street needs at least 40,000 units guided for 2026 to react positively, while anything less will be punished. Key watch points include midsize schedule, Uber deal status, Nvidia partnership, and permanent CEO appointment.

Lucid has fallen 60.4% from its October peak and is dangerously close to its all-time low of $9.50. Money flow shows institutions exiting, not buying. The speaker is personally not buying at current levels and would wait for operational confirmation at the $12-16 range — specifically 40,000+ unit guidance for 2026. Benchmark maintains a $30 price target but the stock needs to hit a home run earnings to justify it.

Lucid is up 6.3% largely riding Rivian's 25% post-earnings surge, which itself came from a triple beat with strong 2026 guidance. The speaker says Lucid's own upcoming earnings hinge entirely on 2026 guidance — if Lucid says 25,000 units, the stock gets hit; they need to be aggressive. The Gravity delivery halt for a seat component issue was a brief negative, but the stock's current momentum above the 10-day moving average is encouraging. Big money is buying on the secondary market.

Today's 13.1% bounce is driven by genuine institutional buying (large and medium transactions in the flow) rather than algorithmic trading that characterized the recent selloff. Lucid hit a new all-time low of $9.43 in overnight trading but bounced strongly. Shorts are actually returning shares (111K) rather than doubling down, which the speaker calls a clear bullish signal. The 50-day moving average remains the key barrier needed to potentially reach the $15+ range.

Lucid fell 8.19% to within $0.03 of its all-time low of $9.50, driven by macro fears including weak labor data, AI bubble concerns from Google, and Fed uncertainty. Amazon's after-hours miss suggests tomorrow will see a new all-time low with the $9.26 support level targeted. Eric Bach sold 273K shares — likely related to defamation lawsuit settlement. The speaker identifies multiple converging negative catalysts (5-6 simultaneous market stressors) as snowballing into real fear.

Lucid up 3.85% in a down market, driven primarily by Tesla's announcement that Model S/X production is winding down next quarter (benefiting Lucid Air as competition), and secondarily by the NAF Winter Test 2026 range record of 520km. Large institutional buys on secondary market ($5.6M and $1.5M in AH). Two consecutive days above the 10-day moving average signals trend confirmation, with the 50-day MA at $11.83 as the next target. Shorts returning 114K shares is also positive.

Analysts revised Q4 revenue estimates up to $473.08M from $468M — a 40% increase over the prior record Q3 result of $336M. Tesla's AH results (missed revenue but beat margins) provide a positive template for Lucid if it can show margin improvement. However, Powell signaled no March rate cut, sending the market and speculative stocks like Lucid lower. Big money put options ($4.7M on $15 put, $2.6M on $12 put, Feb 20 expiry) suggest institutional bearish near-term positioning. The speaker still believes Lucid could test the 50-day MA (~$11.89) if data cooperates.

Lucid confirmed its investor day for March 12, 2026 with a long-term growth roadmap presentation, triggering a 3.38% gain and very large institutional buys ($6.7M and $2.2M in after-hours). The investor day is expected to reveal products beyond the midsize SUV, mirroring the impact of Peter Rawlinson's Tech Day in September 2024. Shorts returned 1.4M shares — the largest single return recently — suggesting they are nervous about the upcoming events. The stock needs to hold $10.91 and eventually break the 50-day MA for substantial gains.

Lucid is up 3.53% on broader market optimism plus PIF reaffirmation news via Canaccord analyst Andre Shepard, who confirmed PIF remains committed to Lucid long-term. A new 2x short ETF on LCID launched suspiciously during the rally, which the speaker sees as manipulation but notes the cost to borrow (245%) makes it impractical for retail. Two consecutive days above the 10-day moving average set up a potential test of the 50-day MA at $12.34. The speaker identifies $9.50 as the confirmed floor having called it weeks earlier.

Lucid surges 15.2% on the Rockwell Automation partnership announcement supporting the Saudi AMP2 plant. The speaker interprets the partnership as potentially pulling the AMP2 full-capacity timeline forward from 2028-2029 to possibly 2027, which would dramatically reduce shipping costs for Europe and Canada markets. At all-time high short interest (36.52%, 47.61M shares), a cost-to-borrow spike to 102%, and weaker shorts potentially closing positions, the setup for a squeeze is improving. The stock needs to close above $11.45 to maintain momentum toward the 50-day MA at $12.42.

Lucid hit a new all-time low near $9.50 while short interest climbed to a record 36.62% of the free float. The speaker sees the $9.50 range as a temporary bottom and potential swing trade entry, but notes institutions are not buying and the stock is below all key moving averages. A leaked Investor Day scheduled for March 12 could provide a catalyst.

Lucid heads into the week at all-time high short interest of 36.15% with the stock below all pivotal moving averages. The speaker expects further near-term downside into the mid-$9s, where a potential swing entry may form ahead of FOMO going into earnings. Institutions are not buying, and Lucid needs to release substantive news to stop the bleed.

Lucid's intraday dip below $10 triggered panic over the Bloomberg article about international funding — which the speaker believes is mischaracterized, simply meaning Lucid wants more institutional backers alongside PIF. Short interest is nearly at all-time highs, 74% of options are bearish, and a close in single digits risks a severe psychological breakdown. The speaker is personally not buying Lucid at this level.

Lucid closed above its 10-day moving average after a 7% gain last week, but remains below the 50, 100, and 200-day MAs. The speaker doesn't see the 50-day ($13.39) being touched this week and expects a flat or consolidating week. A new solid-state battery technology could be a potential future upside driver for range extension.

This is a CES 2026 CEO interview (transcript of CEO speaking). The CEO highlights 8 consecutive record delivery quarters, 100%+ production growth in 2025, and supply chain localization (Panasonic batteries by mid-2026) to reduce tariff exposure. The autonomous roadmap targets L3 (hands-off highway) by 2028 and L4 with Nvidia by 2029 for B2C customers, alongside the Nuro/Uber robotaxi commercialization. No plans to enter the Chinese market.

Lucid delivered 18,378 produced and 15,841 delivered vehicles for full-year 2025, up 104% and 55% respectively — the first time Lucid hit a target it set without mid-year reduction. Q4 alone saw 8,412 produced (up 116% quarter-over-quarter). The speaker sees this as deserving applause and, combined with technicals, expects a bullish week with potential to reach $13. The main concern is ~3,000 units of excess inventory.

The speaker previews Q4 production numbers expected Monday or Tuesday, needing ~10,000 Q4 to hit the 18,000 full-year target. Hitting the target would prompt a 5–10% pop at minimum; missing would be very damaging given the CEO's public comment about producing 1,000 vehicles per week. The speaker expects a volatile week but doesn't see new lows or FOMO unless a major production surprise emerges. The 50-day MA at $14.09 is the critical resistance.

On the first trading day of 2026, Lucid is up 3.69% while Tesla (dethroned by BYD for the second year) and Rivian both disappoint on Q4 numbers. The speaker attributes Lucid's resilience partly to bouncing off a key support level and broader tech/AI optimism. However, the 100-day MA at $11.01 is proving difficult to break, and the speaker warns against social media hype targeting $17–18 as premature. Q4 production numbers expected Monday or Tuesday are the key near-term catalyst.

A New Year's Day preview of Q4 expectations for Lucid and Rivian. Lucid is down 65% for 2025. The speaker believes Lucid will hit its 18,000 production target but notes the persistent problem of deliveries lagging production (a pattern since 2022). Hitting the number would be a 5–10% pop, while missing would cause a 2–4% red day. 2026 guidance for ~40,000 units is what Wall Street will really be watching for.

On December 31, 2025, Lucid hits a new all-time low of $10.64 while broader market sells off on FOMC minutes signaling no rush to cut rates. New complaints about the Gravity (key fob recognition, navigation glitches, safety alerts) continue despite a prior software update — a damaging signal for a company that claims quality as its differentiator. Short interest at a new all-time high (35.71%), with insiders possibly lending shares.

Lucid is showing signs of self-awareness by ramping deliveries with ~27 car haulers in Q4, which is bullish if they hit their 18-20k production target. However, short interest is at near all-time highs (33.84%) and technicals are poor, with the stock below all major moving averages. The real test will be not just hitting 2025 targets but also what 2026 guidance they provide — anything below 40k units will disappoint the market.

Inside sources and social media accounts claim Lucid hit the low end of its 18-20k production guidance by December 16, which the host finds somewhat credible given Mark's fireside chat activity. However, shorts returned 264k shares (44.25M total at all-time high interest), institutions are selling, and the broader market is pressuring the stock. 2026 will be the defining year — either a recovery trajectory or the death of the company.

Lucid falls 5.5% as stronger-than-expected GDP data (4.3% vs 3.2% forecast) kills January rate-cut odds from 19.9% to 13.3%, and short interest hits a new all-time high (33.98%, 44.28M shares). Institutions are selling with only one buy observed, and algorithmic trading is the only force moving the stock. The host is visibly frustrated and notes that only hitting Q4 targets — expected in ~2 weeks — can reverse the bearish narrative; a miss would cause institutions to abandon the stock.

Lucid rises 4.4% driven by algorithmic trading and improving technicals — the stock got above the 10-day moving average, which the host identifies as a key momentum trigger. Jim Cramer's sell recommendation is cited as a contrarian bullish signal. Options bulls see $13-14 as achievable. The host believes if the 50-day moving average can be breached, a 20-30% push higher is possible, though shorts remain a persistent headwind at 33.78% float shorted.

The stock is at all-time high short interest (33.9%, 44.18M shares) and technically weak, but $17.48M in unusual after-hours institutional buys on Friday ($13.8M, $1.3M, $1.2M, $1.09M) and Jim Cramer's sell recommendation (historically a contrarian buy signal) provide some bullish intrigue. The host sees the week as likely stagnant/slightly higher, with $14+ only possible once Lucid officially confirms hitting its 2025 production targets in 2-3 weeks.

Lucid rises 3.54% on quad-witching Friday primarily via algorithmic trading piggybacking on broader market recovery. Nuro/Uber/CES 2026 visibility is a positive signal but Lucid's marketing execution remains terrible — they failed to engage with Nuro's tweets. Short interest is at all-time highs (33.88%), but the stock is very oversold on stochastic RSI and could be set for a push higher if algorithmic trading continues. Key level is $11.86 — above that targets $14.40.

The host dissects a tweet from Lucid's head of communications claiming the company is focused on 'execution and transparency,' arguing this is misleading. Key issues raised: Lucid has historically blamed supply chain for delays that were actually Eric Bach's engineering mismanagement; management received large performance bonuses despite poor execution; and despite CFO Toufic claiming liquidity well into 2027, the host predicts more dilution in early 2026. Bank of Japan rate hikes will also create macro headwinds.

Short interest is inches from all-time highs at 33.47% (vs record 33.68%) and the stock is near all-time lows simultaneously, which the host says is not a coincidence. Positive news — the Air sedan and Gravity SUV named to Car and Driver's 10 Best for 2026 — is dismissed as fluff since Lucid has a 'full shelf of awards.' The only thing that matters is 2025 production targets AND strong 2026 guidance; ideally 35-40k units, otherwise the market will remain skeptical.

A weekend preview video covering the upcoming week. Positive: Lucid plans to expand to ~20 European cities by end-2026, primarily in Germany. Mark's fireside chat claim of 1,000+ vehicles/week in production makes the 18k target logically achievable. Options bulls see $13.50-14 for the week. Negative: Short interest at 33.15% (43.2M shares) is near all-time highs, technicals are poor (below 10-day moving average), and key data points (ADP, non-farm payroll, CPI) could create volatility.

Lucid surges 4.26% after Mark Winterhoff confirms at the NASDAQ investor conference that production has reached 1,000+ vehicles per week, making the 18k lower-end guidance logically achievable. Gravity deliveries to Europe are beginning Q1 2026. Mark also teases positive partnership announcements at the Q1 investor day. Separately, Eric Bach's defamation lawsuit against Lucid reveals that past production delays were due to Bach's engineering governance failures, not supply chain issues as publicly stated. Options bulls now target $14 by end of week.

This is a full transcript of Lucid CEO Mark Winterhoff and CFO Toufic Bougaid speaking at Morgan Stanley's London investor conference. Key disclosures: production reached 1,000 vehicles/week, on track for 18-20k 2025 guidance. The mid-size platform targets ~$50k price point with 3 vehicles, positioned for a larger addressable market. The Uber/Nuro deal is 20,000 Gravity robotaxis over 6 years, with deployments starting by end of 2026. Nvidia partnership for L4 autonomy is framed as smart capital allocation. Saudi Arabia plant will come online end-2026/through 2027 adding meaningful production capacity. CFO states pro-forma Q3 liquidity of $5.5B, with PIF credit facility of $2B undrawn. Q1 2026 investor day will reveal volume targets into end of decade and more partnership details.

Lucid drops 6.6% after Morgan Stanley downgrades from $30 to $10 (from $3 pre-split), citing ongoing dilution risk and the expectation of continued losses until approximately 2032. However, the same day Lucid announced it will appear at the 53rd NASDAQ Investor Conference in association with Morgan Stanley on Dec 10 — the host sees this as awkward timing but notes the conference could be a positive catalyst if Mark confirms 18k production. Stock is below 10-day moving average and technically overbought on stochastic RSI.

Options market consensus is pointing to $14.50–$15 for LCID, and the speaker sees algorithmic trading pushing the stock higher similar to September's run. The speaker believes a 25bp rate cut is likely and that Lucid just needs institutional buying to get back into the $14+ range. He set a realistic weekly close between $13.77 and $14.14.

Today's recovery reflects institutions viewing yesterday's Black Friday-data selloff as unjustified. The first Gravity registered in Norway is a positive expansion signal for Europe, the region with 97.6% EV penetration. Speaker is cautiously optimistic for the week if rate cut expectations hold, seeing a potential move to $16.30 if data justifies a cut. Options bulls are targeting $14 by end of week.

Lucid rose 1.87% on Black Friday with shorts returning 417K shares despite low holiday volume, suggesting active short covering. Speaker believes foreign (likely Canadian via RBC) entities are the primary shorts. The price action is beginning to mirror September's algorithmic-driven run, and the 50-day moving average at $18.61 is a potential target. Institutions were buying on secondary market today.

Strong macro data (low jobless claims at 216 vs 224 forecast) and rising appetite for risk are pushing LCID up 2.25% on low volume driven by algorithmic trading. Growing European EV demand is bullish for Lucid's AMP2-driven 2026 expansion plans. The indirect Soundhound/Parkopedia partnership enhances Lucid Assist customer experience. Speaker sees possible gap-fill move to $15.21 as 50-day MA at $18.91 is the upper target if momentum builds.

Speaker presents his 2026 predictions: bull case of $30 (post-reverse split equivalent) driven by midsize platform hype, Uber robotaxi deployment (mid-2026), and Nvidia partnership updates; bear case of $2–$3 if consumer weakness continues and deliveries disappoint. Two dilution rounds are expected in Q2 and Q4 2026 totaling $2–$3 billion. Speaker thinks Lucid will fall short of 18,000 target and land at 16,000–17,000. The Gravity GT and Touring are seen as unlikely breakout successes. Midsize at $50K launching end of 2026 is the main bull catalyst but revenue won't materialize until 2027.

Lucid hit a new all-time low of $14.41 as big money is not buying the dip and algorithmic trading dominates volume. With 28.59% of the free float shorted and rate cut probability fading, near-term macro tailwinds are disappearing. The speaker warns that the technicals look like a falling knife and the next strong support is $12.34.

Lucid dropped 8.47% to a new all-time low of $15.17 as rate cut probability collapsed from 95.5% to 51.9% and management went radio silent post-earnings. The speaker criticizes five years of stock decline and says Elliott Wave technicals project a short-term move to $12.97–$13.74. Options market bears target sub-$6.

The speaker attributes Lucid's ongoing decline to management failure rather than market conditions. Unlike Rivian which adapted to consumer demand with a $45K midsize, Lucid has been talking about a midsize for two years with no execution. No insiders have ever bought shares, management layoffs continue without solving underlying issues, and dilution is imminent.

The speaker provides a weekly preview with Lucid lacking any specific catalysts beyond macro data. The unresolved government shutdown, missing Q3 labor data, and the lack of management interviews post-earnings leaves Lucid at the mercy of macro conditions. A range of $16.95–$17.44 is expected unless positive developments emerge.

Hedge funds bought Lucid early in the session but the broader market dragged it to -3.9%. Shutdown optimism is causing a recovery into the close. Short interest at 32.07% is near the all-time high of 33.15% and DTC at 4.17 signals shorts are overextended. The speaker sees Lucid as purely at the mercy of macro conditions with no company-specific catalyst until a possible rate cut or shutdown resolution.

Live earnings coverage shows Lucid guided 18,000 total 2025 production (lower end of prior 18–20k range). With 9,966 units through Q3, they need ~8,000+ in Q4 — a record by a wide margin. The speaker sees this as nearly impossible in a slowing environment. However, the stock moves up every time Nvidia is mentioned. Dilution is expected within a month given $1.6B cash and $1.1B quarterly operations burn.

Lucid is down 5.3% on dilution fears with everyone including bulls expecting a dilution announcement after earnings. The speaker expects Lucid will need to raise $1.5–$2B through dilution to fund operations through mid-2026 when the midsize ramp begins. The stock's high price point makes it uniquely exposed to consumer weakness, underperforming even Rivian on down days.

The speaker provides a neutral-to-slightly-bearish earnings preview, expecting Lucid to guide within a lowered range of 16,000–18,000 units versus the previous 18,000–20,000. Retail questions are dismissed as softball setups. The speaker sees no major new partnerships being announced, but notes Nvidia will be highlighted. A 11.1% implied earnings move ($2) is expected.

Lucid spiked to $19.83 in pre-market on Jensen Huang mentioning Lucid in Nvidia's Drive Hyperion announcement, but returned to near-flat as Powell's hawkish comments and short covering reversed the gains. Big money was buying on the secondary market but algorithmic selling suppressed the price. The speaker believes Lucid wants to move higher but needs the macro environment to cooperate.

On a day when the broader market rallied on China trade optimism, Lucid went red as institutions sold $6.66M net on $76.5M total turnover. The speaker calls this a 'slap in the face' and blames management for destroying investor trust over years of broken promises. Every time Lucid breaks below the 50-day MA for two consecutive days it falls 20–30%, putting $16.50–$17.50 as the target range.

The speaker is cautiously constructive for the week given macro tailwinds — 91.1% probability of a rate cut, potential China trade deal, mega-cap earnings — but explicitly says any Lucid rally will be artificial and algo-driven, not sustained by institutional buying. Short interest at 29.35% of float is near April 2025 lows — a mildly positive sign. The speaker targets $21.19 as the key resistance level.

Lucid is struggling as Tesla earnings weigh on the EV sector and shorts return 3M shares while institutions sell. Management has failed to define a target audience and the reverse stock split was a mistake. The speaker sees more downside ahead given the 50-day moving average breakdown and lack of catalysts.

Lucid fell 6.4% with no company-specific news, showing it is being classified by Wall Street as highly speculative. The speaker argues Marc Winterhoff needs to be replaced as interim CEO, that there are no short-term catalysts until the midsize vehicle in late 2026, and that Lucid may be about to dilute after Q3 earnings. The reverse stock split was a failed strategy.

The speaker outlines a make-or-break week for Lucid driven by Tesla earnings, CPI/Michigan sentiment data, and Trump's consideration of US auto tariff relief. Lucid is below the 50-day moving average, historically signaling 20-30% downside, but a positive catalyst from tariff reduction or Tesla earnings could push recovery to $21. The PIF Saudi fleet management partnership with Elm is mentioned as a modest positive.

Lucid closed below the 50-day moving average for the first time since September 23rd. Two consecutive closes below this level would historically signal a 20-30% pullback. The speaker expects high volatility from Fed speakers, Powell on Tuesday, China-US tensions, and earnings season. He personally expects Lucid to break below $20 and potentially reach the $17-$19.50 zone given the macro environment.

Lucid closed Friday at $24.77, just above the 200-day moving average. The speaker sees two major catalysts this week: (1) Q3 production/delivery numbers expected Oct 6-8 where 5,500+ deliveries would be bullish, and (2) Trump's consideration of significant US auto tariff relief, which could dramatically benefit Lucid given 15%+ guided margin hit. Short DTC at 3.15 days signals squeeze potential if a positive catalyst hits.

Lucid spiked 3.07% late afternoon on news of Trump considering 'significant' US auto tariff relief, which the speaker views as potentially huge given Lucid guided 15%+ margin hit from tariffs. The stock broke above the 200-day moving average for the first time since July 29. The speaker sees the $29 range as achievable in the foreseeable future via Elliott Wave technicals. Two large dark pool buys of $1.2M and $1.1M occurred in the morning before the news broke.

Lucid is showing healthy, controlled price appreciation rather than unsustainable bursts, which the analyst views as a positive sign of durable support. Shorts at 31.27% of the free float are actively suppressing the stock but it continues to hold up well. The upcoming Q3 production/delivery numbers are expected to be the key catalyst to push it through the 200-day moving average at $24.68 and then to $28-$30+.

Elliott Wave technicals project Lucid to trade between $25.49 and $27 in the near term, supported by the stock breaking above the 50-day moving average for two consecutive days for the first time. The analyst expects Q3 production/delivery numbers around October 2-3 to be the catalyst for a further breakout and possibly new analyst ratings. Short interest near all-time highs at 32% creates squeeze potential if a strong Q3 print comes.

Two catalysts are driving the day: a Caner Fitzgerald price target upgrade from $20 to $26, and a new interview with interim CEO Marc Winterhof confirming extension of the $7,500 tax credit through year-end and confirmation that Lucid will not enter the Chinese market. Breaking above the 50-day moving average for the first time today is historically significant, with Elliott Wave technicals pointing to $25.49-$27. A second consecutive close above the 50-day tomorrow would confirm the signal.

A flyover showing ~12-13 car haulers (most ever seen) signals strong Gravity deliveries for Q3 close. Elliott Wave projects a move to $25.49-$27.01 with only 9,000 shares available to short, making it impossible for shorts to increase pressure. Two consecutive closes above the 50-day moving average are needed to confirm the historically significant 30% upward swing signal. The analyst notes that insider buying would be the most powerful catalyst of all.

Available Gravity inventory on Lucid's website sold out in under 24 hours, demonstrating strong demand. Short interest at 31.17% with overextended DTC signals that shorts are vulnerable. Breaking above the 50-day moving average at $23.42 would historically signal a 15-30% upswing minimum. Hedge fund activity on the darkpool suggests institutional accumulation.

Lucid is the top gainer on the analyst's watchlist today, up 4.61% to the $21 range after breaking above a key resistance level. Cost to borrow for shorts jumped to 53.85% annual rate as shorts returned ~3M shares. The stock is above the super trend indicator meaning algos are now working in favor. With only 64,000 shares available to short, the analyst believes 'shorts' days are numbered.' If Powell's afternoon comments hint at further cuts, the 50-day moving average at $22.71 could be tested.

Lucid's European expansion strategy — including new Zurich studio and plans for 7+ new EU markets — is supported by strong data showing European EV sales up 40% YoY vs US down 1.1%. Shorts added 2.1M shares today, dragging LCID down 6% in power hour, but the analyst expects tomorrow's Fed rate decision (25bp cut) and Powell's commentary to be the key catalyst. The 50-day moving average breakout potential remains in play.

With the Fed's 25bp rate cut widely expected this Wednesday and Powell's commentary about future cuts being the market-moving event, the analyst sees broad FOMO trade building that should lift Lucid. The quad witching week adds volatility but also institutional rebalancing activity at end of Q3. Short interest at 30.64% with DTC 2.98 days signals overextension. Lucid's 5 consecutive green days the prior week is historically rare and shows building momentum. IAA Munich conference may yield partnership or news.

The speaker is excited by a 14.42% up day driven by technical bounce off S3 ($16.30), short covering (~3.8M shares returned), new bullish analyst ratings including Accordia buy at $30 and TD Cowen $22, and zero shares available to short indicating squeeze potential. He points to institutional buying walls at $18+ and notes that if Lucid gets above $21, it could move 'very very fast.' However he still cautions no new hedge fund stakes have been confirmed post-reverse split.

The speaker previews the final week before the reverse split goes live. The 8K confirms PIF voted for the split (2.4B votes for vs 35M against)—meaning retail had no chance of blocking it. Short interest at 33.17% of float (416M shares) is near all-time highs and expected to hit a new record on Monday. The LA wave technicals point to ~$1.80 range, and the speaker lowers his buy target to the $16 post-split equivalent. He sees no credible catalyst this week.

Lucid up 1.1% and breaking above the ALMA for three consecutive days on institutional buying (multiple large darkpool buys including $1.01M) and rate cut optimism (95.9% probability of 25 bps Sept 17). Tomorrow's Gravity variant unveil is a near-term catalyst. The key next level is the 50-day MA at $2.35—if cleared, the speaker sees $2.50 as achievable in the short term. Stochastic RSI is very oversold providing additional upside potential.

After breaking below the 50-day moving average following earnings, LCID faces a technical week with limited catalysts and the Aug 18 reverse stock split shareholder meeting creating negative sentiment pressure. The speaker expects shorts to exploit the fear heading into the meeting and anticipates LCID closing near the $2 range absent positive catalysts.

The stock is down sharply post-earnings with institutions (not just shorts) doing most of the selling. The CEO's awkward Bloomberg interview full of excuses and inability to answer the dilution question was negative. Most concerning is Uber CEO's statement that they may also partner with Tesla for autonomous vehicles, undermining LCID's key Uber partnership narrative.

The speaker does a full Q2 earnings breakdown and concludes it was one of Lucid's worst ever. The company triple-missed estimates, lowered production guidance to 18-20K, had supply chain issues due to magnets, showed a lack of meaningful new catalysts (no new partnerships beyond Uber), and management sounded unprepared. Dilution is expected tail-end Q3/Q4. Positives include maintaining midsize timeline for late 2026 and Uber confirming they reached out to Lucid.

The speaker provides a comprehensive Q2 earnings preview noting the implied move is 11.42%, the key variables are guidance reiteration, reverse stock split justification, Uber deal elaboration, and potential new partnership. He believes Mark will announce another partnership but doubts 20K production guidance can be maintained — expecting 16-18K is more realistic — and warns that a guidance cut would be very negative for the stock.

With FOMC rate decision, JOLT, ADP, PCE, NFP, and major tech earnings all hitting this week, macro will dominate. The speaker expects LCID to stay range-bound between $2.88 support (pivot) and $3.31 resistance, briefly breaking the pivot but recovering by week end. Shorts will be active but a potential Europe trade deal or Fed hint at September cut could be catalysts.

Lucid is up 10.46% as part of an orchestrated broad market attack on heavily shorted stocks — a Reddit-style coordinated short squeeze dynamic. Options flow is record-high bullish with 9.59M calls vs 1.27M puts, and the options consensus shows above $4.50 by the week of August 15. A true AMC-style squeeze is possible given the extreme short exposure.

With 70,000 units of secured demand (50K Saudi + 20K Uber), Lucid has a built-in growth floor of 10-15% annually even with zero organic customers. Tesla earnings are a win-win scenario due to Uber deal providing independent demand. A gamma squeeze is possible with 50,000 open interest at the $3 strike requiring ~9M shares of market maker coverage.

Lucid launched hands-free drive assist and hands-free lane change — the first step toward higher autonomy levels, delivered within management's stated roadmap. The CEO's Bloomberg interview hinted at very positive surprises at the August 5 earnings call including 20,000+ orders details and midsize platform updates. Options consensus shows $4+ for the week of earnings with 78% of options activity bullish.

Shorts are increasing aggressively at the 50-day moving average to suppress a breakout, but Lucid wants to move higher. A forthcoming Bloomberg interview with the CEO at Panasonic's Kansas battery plant and upcoming CPI data could provide the catalyst to push above the 50-day MA.

Faisal Sultan (Lucid Middle East president) confirms Gravity deliveries beginning imminently in Saudi Arabia, the AMP-2 midsize manufacturing plant in Saudi is nearly complete with 150K annual capacity, and the midsize launch targets late 2026/early 2027. Saudi 30% EV mandate by 2030 (210K EVs/year in country alone) provides massive addressable market for Lucid's locally manufactured vehicles.

Lucid signed a new MoU with the Eastern Province Municipality in Saudi Arabia, and an EVIQ charging partnership for the region appears forthcoming given Blacklane-EVIQ joining forces and Lucid's existing Blacklane partnership. A breakout above the 50-day MA at $2.35 could trigger ~30% upside toward the 200-day MA at $2.58.

Trump directly attacked EVs saying 'who wants an electric car? it explodes,' sending Tesla down 6% and dragging Lucid and Rivian lower. The speaker notes Lucid's marketing and PR lag is a strategic vulnerability, and while Peter Rawlinson is reportedly still advising creative/strategic teams, the speaker remains skeptical this meaningfully changes execution.

Institutions are selling LCID not buying on the last day of Q2 despite expected rebalancing, with shorts adding 5.97M shares to approach all-time highs. Chinese EV makers are lowering guidance, Tesla Q2 expected to disappoint, and LCID is below all key moving averages with the next downside target around sub-$2 based on Elliott wave technicals.

With Q2 concluding imminently, the speaker frames 4,000+ as bullish and 3,500 or below as bearish for Q2 production. He estimates ~3,300 as realistic based on current data, and warns that if true, Lucid will likely cut full-year guidance from 20,000 to approximately 12,000 at August 5th earnings — an outcome the market will take very negatively.

Mark Winteroff acknowledged in a podcast that the Gravity ramp is slower than expected due to supply chain issues, tariffs, and rare earth disputes. The speaker draws parallels to 2023 when Lucid cut guidance twice and anticipates a cut from 20,000 to ~12,000 at August 5th earnings, which would be received very negatively by the market.

Shorts added 10.1M shares in a single day as Powell signaled stagflation risk and Trump attacked Fed policy. LCID is in a 'show me' phase — even the most bullish investors are demanding execution before buying. The speaker raises a Polestar merger as a potential future scenario if Lucid fails to ramp sufficiently.

Lucid's technicals are weak (below all key moving averages) but short-term volatility is dominated by macro events including Middle East tensions and Fed speakers. The speaker sees limited upside unless Lucid releases operational news, and anticipates a dip to the $205–$210 range in the near term.

Gross profit margins are deteriorating as cost of revenue rises faster than revenue, and shares outstanding has grown from 2.31B to 3.05B in five quarters due to ongoing dilution. The speaker expects ~$7 billion more in dilution before the midsize launch, possibly continuing until 2027–2028, but remains bullish on Lucid's second half of 2025 and 2026 performance.

Institutional buying, Iran de-escalation signals, and a market-implied September rate cut pushed Lucid up 3.26%. The speaker sees the 50-day moving average at $2.42 as the pivotal target — a break above it could trigger a 30% swing. PIF backing and Lucid's strategic Middle East and Europe expansion are seen as long-term positives.

Lucid extended its Graphite One supply agreement with a 5-year US-sourced deal, generating positive algorithmic trading momentum. The speaker sees the stock is technically poised to break higher once it clears the 50-day moving average at $2.43, with the Q2 earnings in ~1 month expected to bring 3–4 new analyst ratings.

Lucid is below all key moving averages and Elliott Wave technicals project a $1.90 target. With the Fed decision on Wednesday, potential Middle East escalation, and no specific Lucid catalysts this week, the speaker expects a close between $1.99 and $2.05 and believes things need to get worse before they get better.

The Nikola facility will be used for midsize pre-production, potentially accelerating the timeline to mid-2026. UK, France, Italy, and Spain expansion is planned by end of 2026. However, California's EV mandate being quashed is a negative for Lucid, and the stock is technically very oversold while below all key moving averages.

Large institutional money woke up to buy Lucid aggressively in the last 30 minutes of trading, pushing it up 3.95% with 85M shares traded. Shorts returning 1.28M shares and a short score of 75.55 signal growing squeeze potential. The speaker believes if Lucid releases surprise news, a 15–20% pop is possible, with the 50-day MA at $2.45 as the key target.

An unprecedented 10.43M share increase in Lucid short interest on Friday has the speaker worried that shorts may be acting on information the market doesn't have yet. Elliott Wave technicals project $1.88 as a near-term target. No Gravity sales in May also signals potential demand/supply issues. The speaker will only buy in the $1.80–$1.90 range.

Two positive developments — a likely Blacklane deal and Lucid Air joining a Miami chauffeur fleet — support higher highs ahead. However, shorts added an extraordinary 9.98M shares in one day (31.7% of float, 390.94M shares total), clearly trying to suppress price action. The speaker sees a potential squeeze if good news arrives, but acknowledges Lucid lacks passion and is missing conference opportunities.

Lucid is down 15% in 5 days with no news — potentially driven by the inability to configure Lucid Air on the website and heavy discounting raising demand fears. The speaker sees this as either a buying opportunity given historical rapid recoveries from $2 to $2.50 in 5 days, or a sign of genuine demand problems. Shorts are barely increasing (118K shares) suggesting the drop is institution-led.

Lucid has dropped 14% in 5 days on extraordinary volume (259M and 262M shares in consecutive days) with no news, suggesting dilution via the active S-3 shelf offering or a major institution selling. The speaker sees a near-term dip below $2.21 possible but expects a recovery and calls current prices a buying opportunity for long-term believers. A June 7th studio event could be the trigger for a catalyst.

The 50% steel tariff increase is unlikely to directly hurt Lucid since Mark previously indicated locally-sourced steel, but manipulation by shorts and potential supply competition from larger automakers are indirect risks. The speaker plans to buy in the $1.80–$1.90 range and warns that breaking below $2 will trigger reverse stock split fears.

The NASDAQ short interest report revealed 24–25M more shorted shares than Ortex estimated between late April and mid-May, showing shorts aggressively suppressed Lucid's attempted breakout. The US federal court blocking liberation day tariffs and Nvidia's strong earnings set up a powerful positive catalyst. The speaker expects Lucid to trade between the R1 and pivot tomorrow if macro follows through.

Lucid is wedgebound between its 50- and 100-day moving averages with low volume and no company-specific catalysts, being suppressed by algorithmic trading and shorts. The speaker sees macro data points (Nvidia earnings, GDP, PCE) as the make-or-break catalyst, and believes a longer-term money-market rotation back into equities could drive a significant rally if Lucid can demonstrate operational progress.

Lucid is wedgebound between the 50- and 100-day moving averages with shorts now targeting the $2.47 50-day MA as their next breakdown objective after successfully pushing it below the 100-day MA on Friday. The week's key macro events (Nvidia earnings, FOMC minutes, GDP, PCE) will be decisive, and the speaker believes GDP and PCE data may disappoint, giving shorts the ammunition to break Lucid below the 50-day MA — which historically causes a 30% pullback.

Shorts are abnormally increasing position (+2.48M shares) going into a long weekend, a clear sign they are pursuing a specific technical objective — breaking Lucid below the 100-day MA. The speaker notes 57% of options activity is bearish, with large 250 puts purchased for June 20, and flags that a 30% historical drawdown occurs whenever Lucid breaks below its 50-day MA. Management execution delays on promised marketing campaigns and ambassadors are also giving shorts cover.

Lucid fell 6.42% today but largely alongside the market due to a weak 20-year bond auction that drove yields higher and crushed growth stocks. Shorts returned 2.5M shares (suggesting the move wasn't fully justified on the short side), but a major institutional options trade — $1.95M in premiums on a $1.50 put for January 15, 2027 — indicates big money sees significant downside risk over the medium term. Gravity production flyover showed 180 units (up from 70), which the speaker views as improving but not satisfying to the market.

Lucid surged 6.16% on large institutional dark pool buying (850K shares) despite no official news, suggesting informed buying ahead of a potential catalyst. Faisal Sultan's promotion to Middle East president is seen as a positive operational signal. The speaker notes 76% of options are neutral/bullish, and with Lucid above the 200-day MA, a close above $2.80 for two consecutive days could trigger a move toward $3.50 in the short term.

Lucid closed at $2.84, above the 200-day MA, which the speaker views as technically constructive heading into a macro-driven week. Moody's US downgrade over the weekend is unlikely to cause a major market correction (just a 29% S&P pullback historically from 2023 precedent) and should be a temporary blip. The speaker believes Lucid could approach $3 this week if tariff progress continues, with Elliott Wave technicals also targeting $3, but acknowledges overbought conditions and no Lucid-specific catalysts.

Lucid's Geneva Open partnership is the first major non-Saudi, non-North American marketing push, and the speaker believes it presages a tennis-related brand ambassador announcement. Q1 13Fs show major institutions (Goldman Sachs, de Shaw +62%, Citadel increasing calls +28.4%) buying Lucid, with dark pool showing a large block purchase. Elliott Wave technicals project $3.02 as the next target, and the stock closed above the 200-day MA for the first time in a while.

The decline is attributed to strong PPI and retail sales data dampening rate-cut prospects, which hurts EV sector sentiment. Shorts returned 1.02M shares, suggesting they view today's pullback as sufficient and aren't piling on. Notably, hedge funds held 7.71M Lucid call options at end of Q1, up 54.74%, with total 13F holders at 28.05M (+50.27%) — a meaningful bullish institutional signal despite mixed daily action. The speaker sees the $2.80 200-day MA breakout as the next key milestone.

Lucid closed at $2.51 above the 50-day MA, confirming it remains technically supported. The speaker notes Lucid is the most heavily shorted EV stock (29.3%, vs Rivian at ~18%), which creates significant short-squeeze potential if positive catalysts emerge. Open interest of 35K at $3 would force a gamma squeeze. The speaker expects upside this week if US-China negotiations go well, with $2.64-$3.01 as near-term targets, but notes analysts remain skeptical and Lucid needs a 'home run' quarter.

The speaker previews Q1 earnings (Tuesday after hours) with focus on what truly matters: future guidance on Gravity ramp trajectory, tariff supply chain impact, and whether any licensing deals are close to announcement. Historical context shows Lucid's earnings have only been seen as positive twice (both Q2s). Key metrics (EPS -$0.23, revenue $247M) are secondary to forward guidance quality. Elliott Wave technicals target $2.84-$3 if $2.18 support holds. Shorts at 28.7% of float with 354M shares — higher than typical going into earnings.

Video covers the emerging Lucid-Blacklane partnership for luxury ride services in Saudi Arabia, which the speaker expects will lead to a significant vehicle order potentially announced around the May 6 earnings. Auto-tariff relief for US-manufactured vehicles with high domestic content further favors Lucid. Shorts returning 1.88M shares and Lucid trading above the 50-day MA are positive technical signals.

Speaker highlights that shorts added roughly 75-80M shares via dark pool between March 31 and April 15 specifically to prevent Lucid from closing above the 50-day MA, which the speaker views as a sign of fear rather than fundamental weakness. A new 2x leveraged long ETF (LCDL) for Lucid was launched, which is characterized as a positive signal of growing market interest. Options consensus points to ~$3 this week and ~$4 around the May 6 earnings.

Speaker confirms Lucid supply-chain issues are real (official response from Nick at Lucid acknowledging them) but frames them as short-term and similar to earlier Air production ramp challenges. Shorts were definitively identified as the reason Lucid lagged the market from March 31 – April 15, adding ~75M shares via dark pool. Lucid successfully closed above the 50-day MA, which historically leads to a 30-40% run, and the speaker sees limited downside for the week unless macro data is severely negative.

Gravity supply-chain issues confirmed via customer email showing unavailability of a tech package, causing Lucid to offer upgrades or downgrades — mirroring Air launch problems. A Robert Baird analyst raised the $3 price target while lowering revenue estimates, which paradoxically lowers the bar for Lucid to beat. Lucid sits exactly on the 50-day MA ($245); closing above it for two consecutive days has historically led to 30-40% runs. Shorts increasing 4.64M shares the prior day shows ongoing suppression, but 20,000 contracts at $2.50 strike expiring Friday could force a bump.

Speaker frames the coming week as a potential inflection point for Lucid: the stock has repeatedly tested and been rejected by the 50-day MA ($248), but a sustained two-day close above it historically triggers 30%+ moves. Multiple macro catalysts (Tesla earnings, potential US-China tariff progress, money supply data, multiple Fed speakers) could provide the push needed. The speaker's price forecast for the week is $2.55-$2.69 range unless macro deteriorates significantly.

13F filings reveal significant institutional buying in Q1 with Vanguard adding 26.17M shares, UBS 23.85M, Millennium 19.42M, and BlackRock 5.38M. Tesla is losing market share — confirmed by California data and delayed cheaper Model Y production — creating a clear opportunity for Lucid. The Nikola facility acquisition is seen as accelerating the midsize timeline. Speaker anticipates profitability in mid-to-late 2027.

Lucid is fighting for the 50-day MA ($255) with shorts adding 1.14M shares to prevent a close above it. Elliott Wave analysis projects a move to $2.97-$3.15 as long as the stock stays above the $2.10 pivot. 49% of options are bullish with a consensus near $3. Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated hold with lowered revenue estimates, further lowering the bar for Lucid to beat at Q1 earnings. Abnormal institutional volume in Q1 suggests large players have accumulated positions.

Speaker is emphatically bullish, calling for Lucid to 'rocket like a mother' Monday following the tariff exclusion for electronics/computers. Shorts have returned 20M+ shares over three consecutive days, and 26,000 in-the-money options at $2.50 should force market maker buying of ~2.8M shares. The 50-day MA ($252) has been breached, which historically signals a 30%+ run. The speaker personally bought on Friday and expects the stock to reach the R2-R3 zone ($269-$291) within the week.

Lucid closed a $1.1B convertible note offering and disclosed the capped call conversion price at $4.80, which the speaker interprets as management signaling the stock should be well above current levels (implied conversion strike ~$4.50). The $118.3M premium paid for the capped call shows management is serious about protecting shareholders from excessive dilution. The note matures in 2030. Short score of 77/100 raises likelihood of a squeeze.

Lucid is up 2.41% on a chaotic market day driven by a false tariff-pause rumor that briefly spiked stocks. Since Q1 results, big money has been consistently buying Lucid on the secondary market, and the stock is up 10.66% over the past month while the broader market is in panic mode. Two recent analyst price targets — $5 and $3 — provide upside reference points. The 50-day MA ($254) is the critical breakout level; a close above it for two consecutive days triggers the historical 30% run pattern. Shorts are adding 2.38M shares but are fighting a losing battle against institutional accumulation.

The speaker is cautiously pessimistic going into the upcoming week due to extreme fear index readings and broader market risk-off sentiment driven by tariff retaliation fears. However, he notes Lucid closed the prior week up 2.24% and points out unusual big-money buying against the trend. He argues the single most impactful thing the new CEO could do is buy LCID stock with his own money (transaction code P) to demonstrate commitment.

The speaker expresses frustration that Lucid continues to rely heavily on convertible debt to fund operations, warning this pattern has sent other EV startups to bankruptcy. An unverified report of Gravity safety issues slowing production is viewed as credible given Lucid's history of similar ramp challenges in 2022. Tesla's disappointing Q1 numbers and Elon's step-back from politics caused a split — Tesla bounced on the news but dragged other EVs down. The speaker views Lucid's dilution habit as the core structural problem requiring change.

Lucid is up 6.2% intraday on Liberation Day with no company-specific news, which the speaker attributes to institutional buying in anticipation of breaking above the 50-day MA at $2.57. The fact that 72% of options are bullish and shorts are already returning 56,000 shares (rather than increasing) first thing in the morning is a positive signal. The Fox Business interview stat that 50% of Gravity reservations come from former Tesla owners is highlighted as the key narrative driving institutional attention.

The speaker argues the week ahead is setup-positive for Lucid: he believes Trump's tariff threats are likely to be negotiated down (unpopular opinion), macro data (JOLTS, NFP, PCE, Powell) could surprise positively, and institutional Q1 rebalancing will add buying pressure to underperforming stocks like Lucid. Shorts are not expected to cover, but at 23.46% short interest, the stock is primed for a short squeeze catalyst. The speaker sees best-case scenario as reaching the 50/100-day moving averages at $257-258.

The speaker notes that 81% of all options by premium are bullish today, with a large multi-leg transaction from a single entity buying $2.50 calls expiring August 15, 2025. The broader market rallied on news that April 2 tariffs would be targeted rather than blanket, but Lucid lagged peers because shorts increased 2.24M shares with negative cost-to-borrow. Call options consensus points to $3.50+ for this week. The speaker views the Caner Fitzgerald neutral $3 rating as potentially suppressive given the setup.

The speaker previews the upcoming week: limited earnings catalysts means the market will be data-driven, and he expects a repeat of the early-March scenario where Powell saved sentiment. The March 27 NYC event could prompt new analyst ratings like Adam Jonas's surprise bull case did. Shorts returned 1.56M shares on Friday (unusual), which the speaker reads as a potential signal of upcoming positive news. Options show consensus for a $3+ close during the week, with 19,000 in open interest at $250.

Morgan Stanley raised its bull case to $10 and changed its rating from sell to hold (equal weight), which the speaker attributes to Morgan Stanley becoming a market maker on the Saudi exchange. Shorts returned 1.32M shares on a big up day, which is unusually bullish behavior. The speaker sees the next strong resistance at $2.63 and highlights a gap to fill near $2.60.

Lucid is participating at NVIDIA GTC 2025 with a booth but not a formal presentation, which is a missed opportunity to showcase their NVIDIA-powered DreamDrive technology. Shorts increased 1.93M shares and appear to be targeting a technical breakdown below $2.06 support. The speaker also floats a speculative Tesla acquisition idea as potentially mutually beneficial.

The speaker is cautiously waiting for either a price drop to $1.50 for a value entry or confirmed catalysts (licensing partnerships, Gravity production ramp, Touring unveil) before adding more LCID. Q4 earnings showed real growth but the market reacted negatively to Peter Rawlinson's departure. The next strong support below $2.06 is $1.70 and $1.13.

Two large dark pool transactions after hours ($10.7M and $11.9M) within a 30-40 minute window strongly suggest institutional buying ahead of anticipated news. The speaker notes a similar pattern occurred on February 12th, which preceded a 13.59% gain the next day. Lucid's Q4 earnings guided toward multiple upcoming catalysts.

Lucid popped 4.55% on better CPI data signaling easing inflation. Big institutional money entered through options and common stock. The speaker sees FOMO building and notes that the next resistance target is $2.63, while shorts oddly continue adding despite the broad short-covering trend. The speaker recommends dollar-cost averaging given the hard-to-predict bottom.

A new Canada-US tariff escalation triggered market fear, with Trump announcing 50% tariffs on steel and aluminum. Lucid specifically stated in Q4 that tariffs would hit margins 12-15%, which is problematic given the company is already unprofitable. Shorts added 5.92M shares using nearly all available borrowable shares. The speaker warns of potential reverse stock split territory if the stock breaks below $1.

LCID enters a critical macro-data week (JOLTS, CPI, PPI, Michigan sentiment) that will determine near-term direction. Shorts have been relentless, adding ~50M shares over the past week and a half. The speaker sees a potential gap-fill to $2.60 if macro data is positive, but warns of further downside if $2.06 breaks. Gravity showroom expansion across studios should build demand gradually.

Shorts added ~25M shares in 3 days following Lucid's triple-beat Q4 earnings, with the speaker attributing this to targeted manipulation against the Saudi PIF. LCID closed at $2.22 going into the week, with key resistance at $2.37. Available shares to short have dropped significantly from consistently 10M+ to 7.8M, suggesting shorts are near maximum deployment. The speaker warns Lucid must aggressively execute marketing and partnerships or face further deterioration.

Despite a triple-beat Q4 earnings (beat on EPS, revenue by $22.71M, and guidance), LCID fell 13.6% as multiple analyst downgrades hit simultaneously: John Murphy downgraded to $1 sell (from bull), Morgan Stanley gave $3 hold, and others initiated coverage with mixed/bearish views. The market focused on Peter Rawlinson's departure and PIF prospectus implying potential share sales. The speaker bought 1,000 shares at $2.50 but admits the stock may need more time to recover.

Lucid delivered a rare triple beat on Q4 earnings (EPS, revenue, production guidance) but the market reacted negatively due to Peter Rawlinson's abrupt departure and the lack of specific Gravity production guidance. The speaker views the selloff as overdone and personally bought 1,000 shares at $2.50, believing the new interim CEO Mark Winterhoff and CFO are better communicators and the long-term story remains intact.

Analysts have raised EPS estimates from -$0.26 to -$0.255 and revenue from $213.8M to $214.2M ahead of Q4 earnings, signaling modest optimism. The speaker is cautiously optimistic but emphasizes that future guidance — specifically production targets and Gravity details — is what will truly move the stock, as it has historically been the weak point for Lucid in past earnings.

The speaker is cautiously optimistic heading into Lucid's Q4 earnings week, noting the implied move of 13.61% and seeing the Gravity launch and production targets as key drivers. Strong future guidance — ideally 25,000+ production and Gravity specifics — is the critical requirement to break the historical pattern of 90% post-earnings declines. Options bulls are targeting $4-$4.50 for the week.

Lucid fell 5.4% alongside the broader market on Michigan Consumer Sentiment data and Rivian's flat 2025 production guidance. The speaker views some of the decline as an overreaction, noting shorts have been returning for three consecutive days (a bullish signal) and that options bulls are targeting $4.50 for the week of earnings. The speaker emphasizes that Lucid needs to guide at least 25,000 production units to satisfy markets.

A strong 5.6% gain on 61.9M shares traded reflects institutional buying driven by Q4 13F filings showing increased institutional ownership, combined with FOMO ahead of February 25 earnings. Shorts returning 3.65M shares across five consecutive days — the largest single-day return — strongly signals short squeeze potential. Options bulls are now targeting $4.50-$5 for earnings week.

The speaker expects a bullish week for Lucid driven by technically sound setup, short returns of 4.36M on Friday, and Rivian's Thursday earnings as a potential positive catalyst by association. Options bulls targeting $4 this week and $4.50 for earnings week. Production guidance of at least 25,000 and Gravity specifics are the critical deliverables at Q4 earnings.

A new $5 price target from Benchmark Michael (buy rating) and large dark pool transactions (14.4M+ shares) drove Lucid up 6.7%. The speaker views the dark pool activity as potentially the PIF buying. Options bulls are targeting $3.50 this week and above $4.50 for earnings week. The submitted Q4 earnings questions are described as the best-ever retail questions focusing on Partnerships, Gravity demand, and the 80/20 revenue strategy.

Shorts have returned for five consecutive days (574K today) while volume remains low and the stock is essentially flat. LEAP 2025 conference in Riyadh is providing positive visibility for Lucid. The speaker warns that management must guide at least 25,000 production units for 2025 and be specific about Gravity ramp — vague guidance like 'demand-driven' production targets will result in sub-$2.50 stock price. Options bulls targeting $3.50 for earnings week.

The speaker previews a busy week where Lucid retail Q4 earnings questions open February 11. Multiple major macro data points (CPI, PPI, PCE, Fed speakers) will drive volatility. Shorts have been returning for four consecutive days, and options are targeting the $3 range for the week. The speaker expects some consolidation and possibly a test of the $2.61 support before the February 25 earnings which remain the critical catalyst.

Peter Rawlinson outlines Lucid's long-term vision: from 10,000 vehicles in 2024 to 1 million per year by the early 2030s. The key enabler is Lucid's industry-leading energy efficiency (5 miles/kWh, targeting 6), the upcoming Atlas drivetrain for affordable EVs, and a $50K midsize platform launching in late 2026 to compete directly with Tesla's Model Y/3. The Saudi Arabia AMP-2 factory will serve global markets while Arizona serves North America.

The upcoming week is packed with macro catalysts (manufacturing data, JOLTS, Fed speakers, non-farm payrolls) and tariff uncertainty that could drive significant volatility for LCID. The 50-day moving average around $2.67 is the key support; if it breaks on two consecutive days, a pullback to the $2.30 range is likely. However, the speaker sees long-term value in Lucid's operational progress and encourages buying the dip for bigger-picture investors.

The Tesla Supercharger access announcement for Gravity (Jan 31) and Air (Q2 2025) is seen as regurgitated PR rather than substantive news, since it avoids mentioning Gravity production status — the key metric investors want. Institutional ownership grew 34.2% Q/Q, contrasting with retail declining 35.7% — a bullish divergence signal. Shorts cyclically returned 50M shares in December (helping the rally) then re-added 53M in January (capping it), revealing deliberate manipulation rather than fundamental concern.

Fed rate decision (no cut expected but Powell's tone matters), Tesla earnings, GDP, and PCE data all converge this week creating extreme volatility risk. The $2 RBC hold rating from Tom could create Monday morning weakness. Short interest at 19.29% is relatively elevated. The 50-day MA at $2.61 is the absolute floor — historically, breaks below it lead to 20-40% declines within weeks. The speaker leans slightly bullish but acknowledges LCID could only feasibly reach $2.90 given Trump's blanket over EV growth.

Cantor Fitzgerald updated its EPS estimate for 2024 to -$0.94, the most bullish on the Street vs. consensus of -$1.11, representing 20% year-over-year improvement. The previous time Lucid had this low an options volume on back-to-back days, it went on a 10%+ green-day streak — a historical pattern the speaker is watching. Shorts are returning 373K shares and Lucid is outperforming both Tesla and Rivian today, showing relative strength. The speaker believes the stock is range-bound between 50-day and 100/200-day MAs until EV policy clarity emerges.

Trump's announcement of 15% corporate tax for US-made products benefits Lucid's Arizona manufacturing more than the loss of the $7,500 EV credit would hurt it. The speaker is skeptical that Saudi Arabia's $600B US investment pledge will directly benefit Lucid, advising against buying on that basis. Abnormally low options dollar volume (under $1M — last seen December 5, 2024) preceded a back-to-back 10% green-day run previously, suggesting a similar setup is forming. Shorts increasing 4.21M shares during power hour is read as a sign of shorts being worried about upside.

LCID is down 5.24% on heavy algorithmic selling and short-seller pressure with 3.31M new short shares added — no news to justify the move. The stock has broken below the Alma, 100-day, and 200-day MAs, leaving only the super trend and 50-day MA (~$2.58) as the last technical defense. Historically, a break below the 50-day MA leads to a 25-40% decline. The speaker's only bull case is that Peter Raw delivers exceptional Q4 guidance with 25K+ production target and significant Gravity mix, which could deter shorts from continuing their assault.

The Q4 earnings will determine whether Lucid finally deters shorts or gives them a green light to double down. Key metrics to watch: production/delivery guidance of ~25K for 2025 (with substantial Gravity mix), cash runway commentary (current $1.89B with $462M/quarter burn likely insufficient past mid-2026 without new capital), and the $1.7B convertible note due September 2026 creating dilution pressure. Short interest declining from 32.21% peak (April 2024) to 18.88% suggests some return of confidence. Market is now paying attention to both earnings AND guidance, not just guidance.

79,000 ITM options (at the $2.50-$3.00 strikes) require market makers to cover approximately 7.9 million shares on Tuesday's market open, providing a mechanical upside catalyst. The speaker also notes abnormal after-hours buying on Friday as likely additional market maker coverage. A pre-earnings FOMO run to ~$3.42 is anticipated, with potentially higher if guidance is strong. The key Trump executive orders at inauguration could create EV-related volatility. Short interest at 18.99% with room to double-down if data turns negative.

Bears are misreading the limited Gravity production flyovers as a demand failure — the speaker explains Peter Raw explicitly stated they will ramp slowly and deliberately to ensure quality, just as they did with the Air in 2021-2022. The very small initial Gravity delivery cohort was done solely to meet the 'started in 2024' commitment. Recent flyover from January 17 shows a Gravity exists but no ramp yet, consistent with the plan. At Q4 earnings, a 25K total 2025 production target with ~15K Gravity is seen as the likely market-pleasing number based on AMP-1 (90K capacity) and AMP-2 (10K) combined capacity.

Panasonic CEO Yuki Kusumi was explicitly bullish on Lucid, drawing direct parallels to their 10-year Tesla battery partnership as the template for the Lucid relationship — 'we did this with Tesla 10 years ago, now we're doing it with Lucid.' Solid state batteries are being tested by Lucid (per Gagan's fireside chat) suggesting next-gen technology in development. Shorts tried to suppress LCID below $3.50 to null monthly chain options (42K OI at $2.50, 37K at $3.00, 37K at $3.50), but the stock is still above $3. The speaker believes Lucid continues moving higher into earnings.

The Canadian Gravity pricing announcement (Touring at CAD $113,500, Grand Touring at $134,500) represents a significant improvement over prior 10-15% currency markup surcharge that deterred Canadian customers. The speaker personally disclosed this makes him want to buy more Lucid shares — a rare personal sentiment signal. Shorts returning 847K shares is the 'middle finger to shorts' the market has been waiting for. A large $1.34M put sold at $2.50 strike for January 2026 is interpreted as net bullish (income-generating strategy). Options consensus around $4 for near-term strikes emerging for the first time in a while.

CPI came in line with expectations (2.9% YoY) and bank earnings were phenomenal — together the speaker reads this as a macro green light to push stocks including LCID higher. The most important data point is institutional ownership: big money increased their LCID position 34.2% Q/Q during Q4 while retail sold down 35.7%, creating a classic informed-vs-uninformed divergence that historically precedes a major move higher. The stock is holding above the Alma, 100-day, and 200-day MAs — technically constructive. The speaker sees higher highs coming with the 50-day MA serving as the key support floor.

NASDAQ's official disclosure reveals 53M short shares were returned between Dec 13 and Dec 31 (dropping from 265.7M to 212.5M), which did drive the Dec 13-31 rally from $2.58 to $3.02 — but disappointingly no short squeeze materialized. Shorts have since re-added aggressively in January, and the stock is now trading below both 100 and 200-day MAs with the super trend and 50-day MA at $2.62 as the last defense. Q4 earnings on February 25 with -$0.27 EPS consensus and $206M revenue estimate is the critical upcoming catalyst. The speaker emphasizes asking management quality questions about 2025 production targets and Gravity guidance rather than profitability.

The speaker expects Lucid to move higher this week, contingent on favorable CPI data, noting strong options open interest pointing to a gamma squeeze. Faisal Sultan's upcoming speech at the Future Minerals Forum on Jan 14-16 is seen as a bullish catalyst. The speaker sets $3.50 as a realistic near-term target, with $4 achievable only on very strong CPI.

The speaker discusses what 2025 production targets will be considered a success. He argues 25,000 units (with at least 2/3 from Gravity) would be a market-pleasing result, but realistically expects Lucid to start with 15,000 guidance, which would cause a negative market reaction. The speaker also notes concerns about a Q4 2024 production surplus signaling potential demand issues.

Lucid beat its 2024 production target (9,029 produced, 10,241 delivered) and announced Q4 earnings for February 25. The speaker is bullish long-term, viewing the current 'sell the news' reaction as institutional profit-taking rather than fundamental concern. The key question going forward is 2025 guidance — at least 20,000 is needed to satisfy the market.

The speaker expects Lucid's Q4 production/delivery numbers to come out this week (historically January 11th, now likely shifted one day), anticipating Lucid will hit its 9,000 target given Q3 deliveries already at 7,142. A beat could drive the stock toward $3.49-$4.14, while shorts would likely pounce on any miss. The speaker sees Lucid as generally ready to move higher based on technicals.

Lucid is up 7.59% driven by Rivian's strong Q4 beat and bullish manufacturing PMI data. The speaker views technicals as pointing higher — Lucid is above all key moving averages with the stochastic RSI resetting from oversold. Q4 delivery numbers expected late next week or the following week are anticipated to be a further bullish catalyst.

The speaker is cautiously bullish going into the short holiday week, seeing Friday's pullback as more psychological than fundamental. Lucid's technicals remain intact and big money has been speculating on partnerships and Gravity demand. Q4 production numbers when released could be a key test — if they miss or guidance disappoints, the rally could reverse.

Lucid Middle East announced a partnership with the Saudi Authority for Accredited Valuers to improve vehicle damage assessments. Saudi Arabia's massive lithium reserve discovery is seen as indirectly strengthening Lucid's AMP2 supply chain. The stock is above all key moving averages and very near overbought on the stochastic RSI. Options show bulls targeting above $4 for January.

The speaker previews a holiday-shortened bullish week, noting the government shutdown resolution as a minor positive tailwind. Shorts are expected to try to bring Lucid below the 100/200-day moving average ($2.91-$2.97) but are unlikely to succeed given the current positive momentum. A gamma squeeze is possible from the large open interest at the $3 strike as market makers must cover in-the-money call options. The speaker sees Lucid working through $3.44 as the near-term target.

Shorts increased 8.4 million shares yet Lucid is still up 5.14%, demonstrating the power of algorithmic trading support after the stock crossed above the super trend indicator. The speaker argues tomorrow's PCE will be the deciding factor — if favorable, shorts will be forced to return and Lucid will push to its 100/200-day moving averages in the high $2.50s-$2.98. GDP came in at 3.1% vs 2.8% forecast, a strong macro tailwind.

The speaker sees bullish signals in Lucid: shorts returned 589K shares before FOMC, Shaquille O'Neal customized a Lucid Air with a Superman emblem (positive celebrity marketing), and Lucid is above the super trend and 50-day moving average with algorithmic trading on its side. After the expected 25bps rate cut, the speaker sees Lucid targeting $2.81-$2.98.

The speaker highlights unconfirmed inside information about Lucid selling 150 vehicles to Enterprise rental and Lucid participating in the Brussels Motor Show. Despite 1.17M new short shares, Lucid remains flat-to-green because algorithmic trading above the super trend indicator is supporting the stock. The key near-term target is to break through the 100/200-day moving average resistance at $2.91-$2.98.

Lucid is gaining momentum from record delivery data for Q4, a new $3.50 buy rating from Stifel, and exploration of solid-state battery technology that aligns with the Trump administration's battery focus. Big-money options activity shows consensus for $3+ and even $4 price levels while the technical setup above the 50-day moving average points to a 30-40% historical run.

For the first time in its trading history since 2021, Lucid has closed four consecutive weeks in the green. When combined with closing above the 50-day moving average for two consecutive days — a historically rare event with only five prior occurrences — the stock has typically rallied 25-60% (averaging ~40%). Institutional buying across two quarters and bullish options reinforce the case.

Lucid has entered its sixth market with UAE deliveries commencing, supported by a new 10-year battery supply contract with Korean firm Greenergy, and the stock is in technical breakout mode above the 50-day moving average. Algorithmic trading is propelling the stock higher and big-money call options consensus targets $3+ near-term.

Lucid rose 4.53% driven primarily by algorithmic trading after breaking above the key $2.47 super-trend level. Peter Rawlinson's Bloomberg interview gave multiple Easter eggs hinting at upcoming OEM partnerships and potential solid-state battery development. Options consensus has expanded from $3 to $3.50 and $4 targets, with February-March options showing $5+ expectations.

In this Bloomberg interview repost, CEO Peter Rawlinson reveals the Gravity SUV achieves 450 miles of EPA range with only a 123 kWh battery pack, demonstrating superior efficiency over competitors. He confirms the midsize EV for the mass market is on track for late 2026 production in Saudi Arabia at 150K capacity, and discloses that Lucid is in active talks with multiple OEMs for technology licensing partnerships. With $5.16B liquidity and PIF backing, Lucid has runway well into 2026.

Lucid rose 2.97% largely on algorithmic trading following Gagan Dhingra's NASDAQ investor conference fireside chat, where he hinted at European partnerships (likely a German OEM), solid-state battery development, and additional licensing deals. CPI came in line with expectations, solidifying a December rate cut at 98.6% probability, which should benefit the rate-sensitive EV sector. Near-term consensus is $3 with medium-term $3.50 by Q1.

Gravity production began but was announced only via a social media retweet rather than an official press release or SEC filing, preventing algorithmic pickup of the news. Shorts increased by 3.85 million shares to suppress the move, and Lucid was down 0.48%. However, after-hours buying is strong and options show growing $3 consensus, suggesting the missed marketing opportunity may still eventually resolve bullishly.

The speaker's 2025 year-end prediction is bimodal: either $5-6 (bull case, if Gravity ramps to 22K+, a DOE loan alleviates dilution, and possible partnerships materialize) or $1 (bear case, if production targets disappoint and further dilution accelerates). There is no expected middle ground at $2.50-$4. Analyst consensus for 2025 production is ~22K vehicles implying $1.74B revenue, but real outcome could be 12-30K range.

Lucid surged 5% on large institutional buys ($434K, $930K transactions) as value investors identified it as one of the few stocks that missed the broader market rally (S&P up 31% YoY vs Lucid down 49%). The stock is now clearly above the Alma indicator for the first time in weeks, with MACD turning bullish and a significant gap to the next resistance at $2.80. Options show growing $3 consensus for December.

Lucid is piggybacking on a positive broader market, with shorts returning 1.5M shares and options showing some bullish consensus around $2.50–$3. Without a Gravity production confirmation or improved marketing, the stock risks remaining stuck in a trading range.

The 'Lucid Ocean' trademark may signal a new vehicle line, and a possible Jaguar technology partnership could bring revenue. Options show an unusual $5.50 strike bet for February 2025, while shorts increasing 2M shares and technical resistance at the ALMA remain bearish headwinds.

The speaker predicts a further pullback toward $1.83 in the first half of the week driven by Nvidia earnings uncertainty and weak retail momentum, followed by a bounce as value investors step in. A 59.9% likelihood of a December Fed rate cut would benefit Lucid given the EV sector's rate sensitivity.

Lucid reached a new all-time low of $2.01 amid the recall of 1,539 Air sedans (requiring physical rewiring) and no marketing VP in place at the critical Gravity pre-launch window. Elliott Wave technicals point to a mid-to-high $1 target. Only the Gravity launch can prevent a reverse stock split spiral.

The departure of Lucid's VP of Marketing — the eighth executive to leave in 2024 — at a critical pre-Gravity launch window is a major red flag. The speaker argues Peter Rawlinson should be moved to CTO-only and a business-oriented CEO brought in, analogous to the Starbucks CEO change that drove a 15% stock gain. Options flow is 59% bearish with consensus for sub-$2 and even sub-$1.50 by June.

With the broader market in FOMO mode but Lucid stuck at 52-week lows, Elliott Wave analysis projects a move to $1.67-$1.81. The CEO repeatedly avoids tough analyst questions and frames the stock as a 'long-term play' — a pattern the speaker associates with continued downside. Post-earnings analyst ratings came in subpar despite operational improvements.

PIF bought 374M shares plus 21.4M additional to maintain their 58.8% stake, which is algorithmically positive and driving a 3% gain. However, big money is selling ($1.45M and $500K transactions), shorts are increasing 3.76M shares, and CEO Peter Rawlinson has never purchased Lucid shares with his own money — a major red flag per the speaker.

With the election, Fed rate decision, and Q3 earnings all in the same week, Lucid faces 14.1% implied move volatility. Elliott Wave projects a decline to $1.80-$1.97 target range unless earnings provide strong forward guidance. Historically, Lucid has always missed on forward guidance, and retail's questions at earnings appear to be softball questions planted by management.

The speaker previews a huge macro week that could drive volatility and sees Lucid's Q3 earnings as the real stock mover. Technically, Lucid is pointing to lower lows with Elliott Wave targets in the high $1s, but the speaker is cautiously optimistic that good macro data and a 25bp cut will bring Lucid to around the $2.80 pivot range by end of week. A move back into the $3s likely requires a strong earnings catalyst similar to Tesla's.

Shorts are increasing to 19.75% of float and unusually a broker has a negative cost-to-borrow minimum — meaning they are paying people to short Lucid. Options flow is heavily bearish with big money betting sub-$2.50 through January 2026. Technicals look "absolutely horrific" per the speaker. The only near-term hope is Q3 earnings where if Lucid provides strong guidance like Tesla did (which drove a 25%+ move), there could be a recovery.

Lucid is trading up on Tesla's strong earnings but the speaker notes that Tesla's key catalysts (energy storage beat, concrete future numbers, lower-price vehicle guidance) are not transferable to Lucid. Analysts have raised Q3 revenue estimates to $205M despite Lucid guiding ~$200M, setting them up for a potential miss. Options flow signals sub-$2.00 for January 2026, but the speaker believes Q3 earnings — if Lucid provides concrete Gravity guidance — could be a significant turning point.

The speaker analyzes production projections (135K in 2025, 183K in 2026, ramping to 98K by 2030) against Lucid's ~$2.4-2.9B annual cash burn rate and concludes that ~60,000 units minimum are needed just to break even on operations. Given the ramp timeline, profitability is more likely 2029 than the 2027-2028 Peter has suggested. All technicals are bearish and institutions are not buying the dip. Only catalyst is Tesla earnings Wednesday and then Lucid's own Q3 earnings November 7.

The speaker previews the week as technically driven, with Tesla earnings being the primary catalyst that could carry Lucid higher or lower. After all the dilution and bad news, the speaker believes the market has now priced in all of Lucid's negatives and bought more shares personally. They don't see a new 52-week low this week, and are cautiously targeting $2.84 by Friday's close. Q3 earnings on November 7 is the next big event for a potential sustained move.

A new 8K filing shows the PIF affiliate added another 21M shares to the dilution package on top of the 374M already announced. Bank of America's John Murphy — historically one of Lucid's biggest bulls with targets as high as $40-45 in earlier years — issued a $3.40 price target. Separately, CF Garrett put out a $2 target. Short are returning 2.31M shares but this isn't moving the stock significantly. Technicals are 'fully broken' per the speaker. Everything now hinges on Q3 earnings November 7.

A quiet macro week means Lucid's near-term direction depends primarily on technicals and earnings from select companies. Riyadh Season extended their Lucid partnership for another year — positive marketing exposure. The $3.50 mark is both the 50-day moving average and a strong options wall, making it the key pivot. Speaker anticipates an initial failed run at $3.50 early in the week, but thinks Lucid can break above it toward week end (possibly on retail sales data or Netflix earnings). Q3 earnings are 2-3 weeks out.

Lucid announced partnership with Dubai Police HQ with ~18-20 vehicles visible in photos — helping explain strong Q3 delivery numbers and validating Middle East demand. However, shorts are increasing 2.84M shares, pushing short interest to 30.9% of float — approaching the April all-time high of 32%. Tesla's robotaxi unveil today is a key market event; good news for Tesla could lift Lucid via sector sympathy, and Lucid's own Nvidia-chip autonomous driving plans may benefit from positive robotaxi sentiment. Profitability likely around 2027.

Lucid's Q3 deliveries of 2,781 vehicles were described as 'amazing' and well above consensus expectations, with inventory nearly depleted suggesting genuine demand. The speaker views this as Lucid saying 'F you to the Bears' and expects Q4 to be even stronger. European expansion via a new French subsidiary and upcoming Gravity SUV launch add additional catalysts.

The speaker is cautiously optimistic about the upcoming Q3 numbers, expecting around 2,100 deliveries and 2,000 produced, which would be seen as bullish. He anticipates macro rate-cut momentum could trigger a large rotation from money markets into equities similar to 2020-2021, benefiting Lucid. Short sellers remain very active but the speaker views them as manipulators who are overextended.

The speaker highlights anomalous bullish options activity: 71-91% of options flow has been bullish in recent days, with a single $1.67M premium block in January 2025 calls and a $600K block in June 2025 puts being sold - all signaling that large sophisticated money is positioning for significant upside. Combined with the stochastic at 13 (very oversold), the speaker expects Q3 numbers around 2,100 deliveries to be seen as very bullish. The Sid Philar interview is also shared covering Lucid's supply chain strategy.

The speaker presents a bull case based on estimated Q3 numbers (587 US sales in September plus Peter Rawlinson's prior disclosure implying ~2,100 total deliveries) that would far exceed expectations. However, shorts are increasing by 4.17M shares in a single day - an extraordinary level the speaker attributes to insider knowledge or a specific vendetta, pushing toward all-time high short interest of 32.5%.

The speaker presents a partially bearish view, noting the selloff has some justification. Key concern: an individual who claims a private Gravity showing says pre-orders and deliveries start next year under $100K - contradicting Peter Rawlinson's guidance on timing and pricing. This may explain why shorts keep increasing. Technically, Lucid broke below the 50-day moving average and Elliott Wave targets mid-$2s to $2.72.

The speaker is generally optimistic for the upcoming week, expecting macro data (unemployment, CPI, PPI) to confirm rate cuts and potentially trigger a large rotation from money markets ($6.42T) into equities. He expects Q3 numbers in early October, predicts a Gravity reveal around October 21-25, and believes if data is positive LCID could reach the $4 range. He identifies October as historically significant for Lucid product launches.

Lucid closed up 1.41% with strong options momentum (61% bullish) and is now above the 50-day moving average for the first time in a while. PCE data came in better than anticipated, boosting rate-cut probabilities to 54.8% for a 50 basis point cut. Frankfurt Studio grand opening adds European demand potential. The speaker expects Q3 deliveries of ~2,000 to be positive and notes Q4 is historically Lucid's best quarter.

The speaker views shorts returning 680K shares on a green day as a validating signal that the rally is real and shorts are beginning to admit defeat. With 60% bullish options flow, GDP and jobless claims both beating expectations, and PCE data expected to confirm rate cuts tomorrow, the speaker draws an analogy to Neo's 200-day MA breakout and believes Lucid needs just one more catalyst to break above the 50-day MA for a significant run.

The speaker presents a cautiously mixed outlook: Friday was day one below the 50-day MA (needs two consecutive days to confirm downtrend), Elliott Wave targeting ~$3 if breakdown is confirmed, but a Gravity announcement could reverse everything. Quarter-end rebalancing could add abnormal buying/selling. Shorts have been relentless (3.45M added Friday) with a clear agenda, but with oversold conditions, any good news could attract value investors.

Recent reporting confirms Lucid VP stated the company is in licensing talks with 'many automakers' - a shift from earlier production partnership speculation to a cleaner licensing model. The Michigan office opening near major OEM HQs (Ford, GM, etc.) and hiring 262 engineers signals active deal-making. The speaker's biggest takeaway from the Tech/Manufacturing Day was that no major OEMs had yet lined up for licensing - now that appears to be changing. The speaker sees this as a potential major 2024/2025 catalyst.

Lucid broke below the 50-day MA on high short volume and the Elliott Wave analysis targets $2.50-$2.86 if the stock stays below $3.35. The speaker believes Lucid will continue to trend down until the Gravity is officially unveiled because too many unknowns remain (true price, production capacity, demand). The Michigan office opening is bullish for OEM partnerships but the market won't price that in until there's an announcement.

The speaker highlights that Q2 13F filings showed hedge funds still held 4.6M Lucid call options (down 30% but still significant). A Chinese Lotus SUV priced at $229K USD puts the Gravity's ~$80K starting price in compelling context. Shorts at 29.66% (increasing 1.19M today) are trying to push LCID below the $3.79 pivot. The speaker sees upcoming earnings as the major make-or-break catalyst - could push to $4.40+ or break below $3.

The speaker constructs a detailed bull case: a 50bp Fed rate cut is 50% likely and would benefit growth stocks significantly; short interest at 28.43% is elevated but declining from recent highs; a monthly options chain with 15K calls at $4, $4.50, and $5 could create a gamma squeeze if the stock rallies; technical breakout above $4.40 resistance would be significant. Gravity showcase at studios continues and an October reveal remains likely based on historical pattern.

FUD articles cite August's estimated 660 US sales as bearish but the speaker notes Lucid guided for seasonal softness and previously surprised positively in the same situation. Speaker projects best case ~2,000 Q3 production/deliveries. Long-term bullish on the planned new model variants by 2030 and Lucid technology's appeal as a licensing play for struggling OEMs.

Labor Day week preview with two major Lucid catalysts: Tech & Manufacturing Day (Sept 10) where speaker expects Gravity reservation unveiling, and Morgan Stanley Laguna Conference (Sept 12). Shorts are extremely overextended at 249.99M shares with only 350K shares available to borrow (briefly 150K), suggesting a 15%+ pop is possible if a catalyst hits. Elliott Wave technicals point toward higher highs.

Lucid has rallied 33% week-over-week driven purely by speculation and macro tailwinds (Powell rate cut signals, Jackson Hole). The coming week has major catalysts—Tech & Manufacturing Day on Sept 10 (speaker expects Gravity reservation opening) and Morgan Stanley conference Sept 12. Shorts are overextended with only 350K shares left to borrow, and the speaker projects Gravity production/deliveries beginning November.

The speaker views Lucid's expanded Canadian leasing as a missed opportunity due to uncompetitive pricing (10% FX markup above US rates). Shorts are aggressively doubling down (adding 4.21M shares intraday), signaling bearish pressure. However, upcoming FOMC minutes, jobless claims, and Fed commentary could be the catalyst to propel Lucid higher if they confirm rate cuts. The stock is stuck in limbo between $3.12 and $3.27 pending confirmation of rate cut trajectory.

The speaker dismisses the insider sale of 89,000 shares by SVP Eric Bach as insignificant (4% of his position, all prior transactions were tax-related). The focus is on the upcoming SEC transparency rule requiring quarterly disclosure of short positions, which the speaker believes will prompt entities to close short positions rather than be publicly identified as shorting heavily - potentially cutting Lucid's short interest from ~28% back toward the 7% seen in 2021.

Better-than-expected jobless claims (227K vs 236K forecast) and especially retail sales (+1% vs +0.4% forecast) quash recession fears and support rate cut expectations. The speaker had previously predicted that anticipated rate cuts would trigger a rotation from money markets back into equities similar to 2020-2021, which would significantly boost growth stocks like Lucid. Shorts at 28.22% are seen as overextended with a likely return toward 25% providing natural buying pressure.

Better-than-expected jobless claims (233K vs 241K forecast) sparked broad market recovery after last week's panic selloff. The speaker rewarded buyers who bought sub-$3 as technicals recovered above the 50-day moving average. With 75% of options bullish and September 10th flagged as a likely Gravity reservation opening date (per Lucid's Technology and Manufacturing Day announcement), the speaker sees continued upside potential despite shorts increasing 1.99M shares.

Lucid is down nearly 6% and has broken below the 50-day moving average - a historically significant breakdown signal. A sell-rated analyst note with a $3 target (from Adam Jonas with 50% success rate) adds to the bearish backdrop. The speaker notes that without near-term catalysts and with fear dominating the market, Lucid's technology story gets overshadowed. However, a 66.5% probability of a 50bps September rate cut and extreme oversold stochastic (12) means any positive catalyst could trigger a sharp reversal.

The speaker provides a comprehensive Good/Bad/Ugly Q2 earnings breakdown. Positives: beat revenue ($200M vs $193M forecast), technology progress toward 6kWh efficiency, mentions of pickup truck plans. Negatives: PIF's $1.5B commitment (750M preferred shares = dilution, 750M loan facility), no Gravity release date, no ESS plans, weaker-than-expected future guidance, and weak Q3 seasonal slowdown warning. The speaker believes profitability is pushed out to 2027-2028 via the midsize SUV pathway, with September 10th likely being the Gravity reservation launch date.

The speaker describes this as the worst-timed earnings environment in his years of covering Lucid. Bitcoin -11%, NASDAQ futures -2.25%, Taiwan halting sell orders, and Lucid already down ~6% overnight combine for a very hostile backdrop. The market is the pickiest it has been in 2024: any hint of dilution, missed guidance, or vague Gravity timeline will punish the stock severely. The speaker fears Lucid could hit new 52-week lows leading into or after earnings. He suggests buying warrants (LCIDW) if bullish for more leverage.

Shorts aggressively doubled down with 4.57M shares added net (approximately 80% of volume was short-related), dropping the stock 2.46% on no news. The speaker attributes this to possible PCE data reaction or unconfirmed insider information. Morningstar's fair value of $4.39 suggests meaningful upside, and Lucid's graphite supply agreement for battery supply chains shows forward planning. Options call consensus is above $4 next week while puts signal sub-$3 - a wide divergence reflecting high uncertainty.

The speaker believes Lucid's Q2 earnings (slated for August 5) will be a home run based on CEO Faisal's interview indicating investors will be 'extremely happy' with year-end deliveries. With 2,100 produced and 2,300 delivered in H1 alone, Lucid is on track to significantly beat the 9,000 delivery target. A guidance raise would surprise the market and potentially trigger a short squeeze given that 27.83% of the float is short — the most heavily shorted EV in the market.

Lucid is up 19% intraday with no official news catalyst, driven by rate cut optimism, CEO conference hints at a partnership, and growing FOMO. The speaker explains that while this is not yet a squeeze (shorts are still increasing), the ~$250M single-day loss for shorts and heavy margin requirements create a fragile dynamic where continued momentum could force short covering. Heavy bullish options flow ($4.25M calls vs. $538K puts) with consensus above $4.50 supports the bullish case.

The speaker previews Q2 earnings (expected around August 6), setting a benchmark of 2,100 deliveries and 1,900 produced as the minimum needed to be positive. Analysts forecast -$0.24 EPS and $169M revenue, but the market is expected to focus more heavily on the Gravity launch timeline than EPS metrics. Lucid has been marketing themselves aggressively at Deutsche Bank, Evercore Summit, and podcasts — with 80 gravity prototypes already in testing.

Lucid rose 7.27% today piggybacking Tesla's momentum, with no Lucid-specific news, and has broken above both the 50-day and 100-day moving averages — a rare technical milestone. The short score of 95.64 indicates extreme squeeze potential, and shorts returned 2.86M shares on the day. Q2 numbers expected mid-next-week (Tuesday-Thursday) could serve as the catalyst to push Lucid above $3, potentially triggering a gamma squeeze via 15,000 contracts in open interest at that strike.

The speaker expects Lucid Q2 production and delivery numbers around July 9-10 (Tuesday-Wednesday), with a minimum bar of 2,100 deliveries needed to impress the market. With 28.9% of the float shorted, Lucid regularly ranks as one of the top 5 most heavily shorted stocks in the entire market — not just EVs. The EV sector appears to be bottoming (exemplified by Rivian's Volkswagen deal), and a delivery beat could ignite a short squeeze.

Lucid is up 3.45% on no company-specific news, with BlackRock having recently increased its position. The stock is testing the 50-day moving average — a historically significant level where breaking through typically results in a 20% run. Shorts returned 55,000 shares today, validating the green day. The speaker sees technicals and the gravity launch timeline as the near-term catalysts.

Lucid and Gravity Inc. reached an agreement on the trademark dispute, effectively giving the Gravity SUV 'free and clear' status to proceed. The speaker views this as very positive news that may have been the hidden reason reservations hadn't opened yet. With homologation crash tests expected in August, Gravity reservations could open as early as September or October, serving as its own distinct catalyst separate from delivery.

The speaker provides explicit year-end 2024 bull and bear scenarios for LCID. The bull case of ~$4.50 requires rate cuts, 9,000 deliveries met, and a successful Gravity launch. The bear case of $1.60-$1.80 reflects continued dilution, demand weakness, and a broader market pullback. The speaker notes the market is currently valuing Lucid more like Ferrari (low-volume, high-margin PS ratio) than Tesla, meaning production ramp-ups won't necessarily increase the stock price as expected.

Lucid is down 2.36% with very low volume and institutional selling. The speaker explains that market makers are actively suppressing Lucid below $2.50 because there is 177,000 in open interest at that strike — closing above it would force market makers to buy 1.7 million shares in the open market. The speaker predicts shorts will light up during power hour to ensure a close below $2.50. The chart is technically broken and trending downward without a clear catalyst.

The speaker makes the speculative case that Lucid and Hyundai are likely in advanced partnership talks, as the rumor pattern mirrors the Aston Martin deal (rumored February 2023, announced August 2023). Lucid has the technology but not the production capacity — Hyundai has massive production capacity. A deal could involve Hyundai building vehicles using Lucid tech (potentially in Saudi Arabia), similar to how the Ceará-Hyundai tech deal totaled $2.18B. This would radically change Lucid's production trajectory.

Lucid outperformed the EV sector (Tesla -8%, Rivian -1.5%, Polestar -7%) by closing up 0.71% on the day. Peter Rawlinson confirmed at the shareholder meeting that Lucid is in talks with 'several' OEMs — not just Hyundai — which the speaker sees as a significant expansion of the potential partnership pipeline. Shorts returned 1.18 million shares on a green day, which the speaker views as validation that the upside move was justified.

An article (translated from Korean) reports Hyundai's Genesis sports car division is in discussions with Lucid for motor/technology cooperation. The speaker believes a deal could involve both cash (likely more than the $300M Aston Martin deal) and a production partnership. Lucid's South Korea hiring (now filled) and Ford's repeated testing of the Lucid Air suggest multiple OEM interest points. Based on the historical 6-8 month lag from rumor to announcement, a deal could come September-October 2024.

Lucid achieved a meaningful technical milestone by breaking above its 50-day moving average for the first time in a long period, but the speaker is concerned that retail's Q&A questions for earnings (focused on profitability, stock performance, and affordable models) will yield vague non-answers from Peter. Short utilization is at 100% with 270.63M shares short, meaning the position is extremely expensive to maintain at 199% cost to borrow, creating pressure. The market is pricing in some positive surprises (calls above $3.50 for May 10 expiry) but puts anticipate sub-$2.00 in a downside scenario.

Lucid will continue to dilute shareholders for years, and even after a >30% drop YTD the shares remain overvalued versus a $1.30 DCF-based fair value.