The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$180
Said $18· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“based on the LA wave technicals, as I've brought up like a week ago, it is insinuating for it to hit roughly around that $180 range”@ 8:35 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Aug 24, 2025
- Extracted deadline
- Aug 29, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: deadline
- Notes
- The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BearishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
The speaker previews the final week before the reverse split goes live. The 8K confirms PIF voted for the split (2.4B votes for vs 35M against)—meaning retail had no chance of blocking it. Short interest at 33.17% of float (416M shares) is near all-time highs and expected to hit a new record on Monday. The LA wave technicals point to ~$1.80 range, and the speaker lowers his buy target to the $16 post-split equivalent. He sees no credible catalyst this week.
Key arguments
- PIF voted for reverse split overwhelmingly (2.4B vs 35M against)—retail votes were irrelevant
- Short interest at 33.17% near all-time high of 33.5%; expected to hit new record Monday
- LA wave technicals pointing to ~$1.80 range (pre-split); consolidation to continue
- No specific Lucid catalyst visible for the week; macro data (Nvidia earnings, GDP, PCE) could help
- Speaker lowered personal buy target to ~$16 post-split equivalent
- Investment fund speculation (Gulf Investment Fund) called out as inconsistent with their investment history
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Powell alluded to rate cuts—positive for EV stocks
- If Lucid makes a surprise positive announcement, stock could reverse strongly
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Aug 24, 2025, 2:30 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:22 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before0
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before20.8
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-08-25
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≤$180 reached on 2025-08-25. Price: $20.80. Return: 0.0%.
AfterThe stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
- Outcome price
Before20.8
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $18
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Aug 29, 2025
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.