The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$28.00
Said $2.80· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“I do feel that it can actually get between this S1 and the pivot probably closer to the pivot by the close of Friday most likely”@ 7:01 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Oct 27, 2024
- Extracted deadline
- Nov 1, 2024
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored
- Notes
- The claim refers to a closing price, but its exact session or settlement semantics are not supported. Intraday quotes cannot establish its outcome.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
MixedStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
The speaker previews a huge macro week that could drive volatility and sees Lucid's Q3 earnings as the real stock mover. Technically, Lucid is pointing to lower lows with Elliott Wave targets in the high $1s, but the speaker is cautiously optimistic that good macro data and a 25bp cut will bring Lucid to around the $2.80 pivot range by end of week. A move back into the $3s likely requires a strong earnings catalyst similar to Tesla's.
Key arguments
- Massive macro week: job openings, GDP, PCE, NFP — all capable of shaking Lucid via broad market moves
- Faisal Sultan speaking at Sustainable Transport in Saudi Arabia on Oct 28 — potential positive catalyst
- Lucid Q3 earnings (upcoming week after) is the key catalyst to push stock back toward $3+
- Shorts have been increasing and cost-to-borrow minimum is negative — broker paying people to short Lucid
- Fear and greed index at 59 (greed), appetite for risk supports growth stocks like Lucid
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Elliott Wave technicals point to lower lows, potentially hitting high $1 range
- Retail has been slowly selling since August 23rd peak
- Some individuals predicting Lucid at $33 by 2026 — dismissed as unrealistic
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Oct 27, 2024, 12:45 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:42 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:34 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unsupported_close_semantics
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unsupported close semantics
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-12.7
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before25.2
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2024-11-01
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $28. Price: $22.00.
AfterThe claim refers to a closing price, but its exact session or settlement semantics are not supported. Intraday quotes cannot establish its outcome.
- Outcome price
Before22
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnsupported close semantics
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $2.80
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Nov 1, 2024
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The claim refers to a closing price, but its exact session or settlement semantics are not supported. Intraday quotes cannot establish its outcome.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.