LCIDBullhit
Lucid CityTarget Price(split-adjusted)
$26
Said $2.60· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
“if you do believe in that whole Gap needs to be filled mentality then it could you could see a nice push higher to roughly around that 260 Mark”@ 8:04 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Thesis at the time
MixedLCID enters a critical macro-data week (JOLTS, CPI, PPI, Michigan sentiment) that will determine near-term direction. Shorts have been relentless, adding ~50M shares over the past week and a half. The speaker sees a potential gap-fill to $2.60 if macro data is positive, but warns of further downside if $2.06 breaks. Gravity showroom expansion across studios should build demand gradually.
Key arguments
- Multiple high-impact macro data releases this week (JOLTS, CPI, PPI, Michigan sentiment) could be strong catalysts
- Shorts added ~50M shares in ~10 days – extreme overextension that may eventually reverse
- Lucid expanding Gravity test drives to virtually all studios should drive demand
- SEC transparency rule (delayed to H2 2025) may eventually deter naked shorting
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Stock below all key pivotal moving averages with deeply broken technicals
- Analyst ratings mostly bearish: $1, $2.30, $5 in recent days
- Elliott Wave technical analysis projects further downside to $1.50-$1.70
The call
- Date said
- Mar 9, 2025
- Price at prediction
- $20.80
- Confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- hit
- Resolution price
- $26.20
- Return
- +26.0%
- Notes
- Target ≥$26 reached on 2025-05-12. Price: $26.20. Return: +26.0%.
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Rule that fired
Target ≥$26 reached on 2025-05-12. Price: $26.20. Return: +26.0%.
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.