The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$24.50
Said $2.45· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“the next real point to watch for is that 245. And that is that 50-day moving average. historically a very big deal for Lucid.”@ 5:09 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Jun 9, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- expired
- Notes
- No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Large institutional money woke up to buy Lucid aggressively in the last 30 minutes of trading, pushing it up 3.95% with 85M shares traded. Shorts returning 1.28M shares and a short score of 75.55 signal growing squeeze potential. The speaker believes if Lucid releases surprise news, a 15–20% pop is possible, with the 50-day MA at $2.45 as the key target.
Key arguments
- Big institutional buying on the secondary market (two buys visible) signals genuine demand
- Shorts returning 1.28M shares shows they anticipate further upside
- Short score of 75.55 (via IBKR) indicates elevated squeeze potential
- Multiple influencers discussing Lucid squeeze — last time this happened it went up 15–20%
- Stochastic RSI oversold; momentum could carry to 50-day MA at $2.45
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Most volume remains algorithmic trading, not pure organic buying
- Shorts hold positions for ~69 days on average, meaning they won't exit quickly
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Jun 9, 2025, 5:55 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:32 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- expired_without_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
expired without stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before39.91
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before22.3
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-07-17
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≥$24.5 reached on 2025-07-17. Price: $31.20. Return: +39.9%.
AfterNo stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
- Outcome price
Before31.2
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterExpired without stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterexpired
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $2.45
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.