TubeRank
The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price
$3.78
Quoted text as recorded“Uh 378 is uh going to be the following I guess support level if for whatever reason we do have negative PCE tomorrow.”@ 7:02 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Sep 29, 2026
- Timeframe
- If negative PCE data arrive tomorrow
- Extracted deadline
- Sep 30, 2026
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: condition
- Notes
- The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Email me when LCID calls resolve
When a tracked LCID call is scored — hit, miss or partial — we’ll email you the result. No account needed.
Used only for these updates. Privacy
Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
MixedStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid's near-term price action benefits from weaker economic data, but rising yields and substantial short interest leave the host cautious. He identifies conditional downside support and upside technical targets, expects volatility over the next few trading days, and anticipates higher deliveries alongside flat or lower production in the next quarterly figures.
Key arguments
- Weaker job-openings and consumer-confidence data are supporting the market and Lucid's share price.
- The host attributes much of the session's volume to algorithmic trading.
- Rising Treasury yields could undermine optimism and pressure speculative growth stocks.
- Reported short interest is 58.37% of the free float and continues to increase.
- Management's emphasis on reducing excess inventory could support deliveries while restraining production.
- The host identifies support near $4.01 and $3.93 and upside targets at $4.16 and $4.31.
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Lucid is gaining despite weakness in some other growth and speculative stocks.
- Options net premium suggests some bullishness.
- The large January 2028 put transaction could represent a bullish position if the puts were sold.
- There are no new company filings or press releases establishing a company-specific catalyst.
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- The host describes his concern as primarily macroeconomic rather than outright bearishness on Lucid.
- The large put transaction cannot reliably be classified as bullish or bearish without knowing whether it was bought or sold.
- The expected quarterly reporting date is an estimate.
- The delivery and production outlook is described as premature.
- A green trading session does not necessarily establish that institutional investors are buying.
About this record
Not yet reviewed by a moderatorImported analysis · scheduled AI source. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Sep 29, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Oct 3, 2026, 2:35 AM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Not recorded
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- codex-cli-scheduled
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_condition
Recent record changes 5 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:27 AM UTC
corrected
- Source moment (seconds)
BeforeNot recorded
After422
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:01 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified condition
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-4.36
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before3.9
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-09-30
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $3.78. Price: $4.07.
AfterThe claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
- Outcome price
Before4.07
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified condition
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 6 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $3.78
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Sep 30, 2026
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.
Why we interpreted the confidence this way
The baseline score of 5 gains 2 for 'going to' and loses 2 for 'if', yielding 5. The level is conditional technical support rather than an unconditional prediction that the stock will reach it.