The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$34.20
Said $3.42· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“most likely touching that 342 this week and then dependent on companies unveiling the earnings maybe news specific to Lucid this is where you could see maybe it above that”@ 6:46 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Jan 19, 2025
- Extracted deadline
- Jan 24, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: deadline
- Notes
- The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
79,000 ITM options (at the $2.50-$3.00 strikes) require market makers to cover approximately 7.9 million shares on Tuesday's market open, providing a mechanical upside catalyst. The speaker also notes abnormal after-hours buying on Friday as likely additional market maker coverage. A pre-earnings FOMO run to ~$3.42 is anticipated, with potentially higher if guidance is strong. The key Trump executive orders at inauguration could create EV-related volatility. Short interest at 18.99% with room to double-down if data turns negative.
Key arguments
- 79K ITM options at $2.50-$3.00 strikes require ~7.9M shares of market maker coverage on Tuesday — mechanical pop
- Abnormal after-hours buying Friday likely from market makers pre-covering those options
- Shorter week (MLK Monday off) compresses volatility into fewer trading days
- Pre-earnings FOMO run historically drives LCID to a local peak before the actual print
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Trump executive orders at inauguration could create negative EV sector volatility
- Removal of $7,500 EV credit rumored to be among first executive orders
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Jan 19, 2025, 3:01 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:35 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-2.45
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before28.6
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-01-24
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $34.2. Price: $27.90.
AfterThe stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
- Outcome price
Before27.9
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $3.42
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Jan 24, 2025
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.