The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$44
Said $4.40· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“where do you guys see things going do you think it is going to potentially break above that key 440 mark because that seems to be a very big struggle for Lucid so definitely watch for this R2 to be kind of that Make It or Break It point because if it does and is able to get above this R2 then yeah in theory Lucid should really move up significantly from here”@ 10:20 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Sep 14, 2024
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: condition
- Notes
- The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Email me when LCID calls resolve
When a tracked LCID call is scored — hit, miss or partial — we’ll email you the result. No account needed.
Used only for these updates. Privacy
Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
The speaker constructs a detailed bull case: a 50bp Fed rate cut is 50% likely and would benefit growth stocks significantly; short interest at 28.43% is elevated but declining from recent highs; a monthly options chain with 15K calls at $4, $4.50, and $5 could create a gamma squeeze if the stock rallies; technical breakout above $4.40 resistance would be significant. Gravity showcase at studios continues and an October reveal remains likely based on historical pattern.
Key arguments
- 50% likelihood of 50bp Fed rate cut on September 18th - major catalyst for growth stocks
- Short interest at 28.43% - elevated but below recent highs, potential squeeze candidate
- Monthly options chain: 15K calls at $4, 14K at $4.50, 15K at $5 = gamma squeeze potential
- Each strike level = ~1.5M shares market makers would need to cover
- Gravity being showcased at studios signals October reveal likely
- Technical: stock above 50-day MA with bullish stochastic deviation
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- If only 25bp cut comes, market likely disappointed and LCID could pull back
- Retail investors inexplicably selling despite positive macro backdrop
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Sep 14, 2024, 2:10 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:45 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_condition
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified condition
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-34.52
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before39.4
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2024-12-13
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeHorizon window passed. Only 0% progress toward target $44. Price: $25.80.
AfterThe claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
- Outcome price
Before25.8
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified condition
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $4.40
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.