The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$28.60
Said $2.86· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“it does have a pivot point of $335 cents so for as long as it is below that then this is where it is anticipated to get between that kind of 286 and 250 range”@ 2:27 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Sep 20, 2024
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: condition
- Notes
- The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BearishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid broke below the 50-day MA on high short volume and the Elliott Wave analysis targets $2.50-$2.86 if the stock stays below $3.35. The speaker believes Lucid will continue to trend down until the Gravity is officially unveiled because too many unknowns remain (true price, production capacity, demand). The Michigan office opening is bullish for OEM partnerships but the market won't price that in until there's an announcement.
Key arguments
- Stock broke below 50-day MA - typically results in 10-15% further pullback historically
- Elliott Wave: if below $3.35, targets $2.50-$2.86 range
- Shorts at 873K increase today, cost to borrow at 7.04%
- Market viewing Lucid primarily as cash-burning company without near-term catalyst
- Gravity is the next catalyst - too many question marks on pricing/capacity/demand
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Michigan office opening could signal OEM licensing deals coming
- Stock oversold at stochastic 32, potential for bounce on any good news
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Sep 20, 2024, 3:12 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:45 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_condition
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified condition
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before22.92
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before34.9
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2024-10-17
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≤$28.6 reached on 2024-10-17. Price: $26.90. Return: +22.9%.
AfterThe claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
- Outcome price
Before26.9
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified condition
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $2.86
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.