The call, on record
LCID neutral call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$37.90
Said $3.79· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“335 kind of the bare case 379 somewhat the bull case”@ 9:44 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Sep 22, 2024
- Extracted deadline
- Sep 27, 2024
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored
- Notes
- Neutral direction does not establish a ceiling or floor. Explicit containment semantics and supporting evidence are required before scoring.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
MixedStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
The speaker presents a cautiously mixed outlook: Friday was day one below the 50-day MA (needs two consecutive days to confirm downtrend), Elliott Wave targeting ~$3 if breakdown is confirmed, but a Gravity announcement could reverse everything. Quarter-end rebalancing could add abnormal buying/selling. Shorts have been relentless (3.45M added Friday) with a clear agenda, but with oversold conditions, any good news could attract value investors.
Key arguments
- Friday was day one below 50-day MA - Monday confirmation critical
- If 50-day MA breaks: could see sub-$3 or ~$3 range
- Quarter-end rebalancing (end of Q3) could force institutional purchases
- Lucid outperformed S&P over 1 month (up 8.17% vs 1.8%) - may need selling to rebalance
- Gravity announcement is the only catalyst that could push to $4+ range
- 51.4% likelihood of 50bp November cut supports broader equity rotation
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Large entities have been consistently selling Lucid
- Retail investors also selling out
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Sep 22, 2024, 2:00 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:44 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unsupported_neutral_claim
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unsupported neutral claim
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before3.76
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before34.6
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2024-09-27
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeCeiling $37.9 held through deadline. Final price: $35.90 (+3.8% vs ref).
AfterNeutral direction does not establish a ceiling or floor. Explicit containment semantics and supporting evidence are required before scoring.
- Outcome price
Before35.9
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnsupported neutral claim
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $3.79
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Sep 27, 2024
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
Neutral direction does not establish a ceiling or floor. Explicit containment semantics and supporting evidence are required before scoring.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.