The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price
$8.76
Quoted text as recorded“Bears are anticipating for it to be sub $9 this upcoming week. So, that would be a new 52-week and all-time low for Lucid. So again, not necessarily the best based on where it landed on Friday at 9:40, it is right above this S1. So, 9:30 is going to be that key level... If not, you should be seeing that 876 as the following support.”@ 4:22 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Mar 29, 2026
- Extracted deadline
- Apr 3, 2026
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: condition
- Notes
- The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BearishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
LCID is at $9.40 and testing key support at $9.30. If that fails, $8.76 is next — a new all-time low. Bears are targeting sub-$9 for the week. A breakthrough in Iran peace negotiations could push to $10.18-$11.59 on the upside. The speaker sees the week as potentially being 'the bottom' if macro clarity comes, but uncertainty is very high.
Key arguments
- 32.19% of free float shorted (43.08M shares); DTC 6.16 days — shorts overextended
- Bears targeting sub-$9 this week — would be new 52-week all-time low
- If $7 breached, reverse stock split chatter will intensify
- No institutional buyers evident in secondary market
- Stochastic RSI moving toward oversold — reactive to positive Iran news
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- DTC of 6.16 days suggests potential for short squeeze on positive news
- New York Auto Show (Apr 3-12) could generate positive PR
- If Iran peace deal comes together, bulls target $10.18-$11.59
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Mar 29, 2026, 1:55 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:21 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_condition
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified condition
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-8.85
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before9.15
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-04-03
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $8.76. Price: $9.96.
AfterThe claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
- Outcome price
Before9.96
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified condition
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $8.76
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Apr 3, 2026
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.