The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price
$9.26
Quoted text as recorded“based on Amazon's earnings, which it looks like they kind of did flop a little bit... this 926 most likely it's going to be hit tomorrow.”
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Feb 5, 2026
- Extracted deadline
- Feb 6, 2026
- Stored reference price
- $10.38
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- miss
- Resolution price
- $10.86
- Direction-adjusted price move
- -4.6%
- Notes
- The full target was not reached in 2 completed regular-session high/low bars. No edge-day threshold crossing was present. Final close: $10.86; 0% of the distance toward $9.26. Extended-hours trades are outside this evidence.
A comparison of price observations, not a trading return. Excludes fees, dividends, spread and execution costs.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BearishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid fell 8.19% to within $0.03 of its all-time low of $9.50, driven by macro fears including weak labor data, AI bubble concerns from Google, and Fed uncertainty. Amazon's after-hours miss suggests tomorrow will see a new all-time low with the $9.26 support level targeted. Eric Bach sold 273K shares — likely related to defamation lawsuit settlement. The speaker identifies multiple converging negative catalysts (5-6 simultaneous market stressors) as snowballing into real fear.
Key arguments
- Stock touched $9.51, within $0.03 of all-time low ($9.50) set Jan 20
- Multiple macro fear factors converging — labor data, AI bubble, Fed uncertainty, geopolitics
- Amazon's AH earnings miss signals another red day Friday
- Bear targets: $9.26 next strong support, then $8.24 if that fails
- Eric Bach insider sale of 273K shares likely tied to defamation lawsuit conclusion
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Shorts only increased 12K shares — not aggressively doubling down
- Stochastic RSI at 53 (neutral) gives room for recovery
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Feb 5, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:20 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 19, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-18.1
- Outcome reason code
- deadline_missed_ohlc
Recent record changes 7 shown
Oct 19, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC
deadline missed ohlc
- Evaluation kind
BeforeNot recorded
Aftertouch
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-15.1
After2026-10-18.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
BeforeNot recorded
After-4.62
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-10-16
After2026-02-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeThe deadline passed without an observed crossing. Daily closes cannot exclude an intraday touch or prove a boundary held; complete intraday/high-low evidence is required for this claim.
AfterThe full target was not reached in 2 completed regular-session high/low bars. No edge-day threshold crossing was present. Final close: $10.86; 0% of the distance toward $9.26. Extended-hours trades are outside this evidence.
- Outcome observation time
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-02-06T00:00:00+00:00
- Outcome price
BeforeNot recorded
After10.86
- Outcome price source
BeforeNot recorded
Afteryahoo_daily_ohlc
- Outcome reason
BeforeInsufficient price coverage
AfterDeadline missed ohlc
- Outcome status
Beforeunverifiable
Aftermiss
Oct 16, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.5
After2026-10-15.1
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-10-06
After2026-10-16
Oct 6, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:01 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:45 AM UTC
insufficient price coverage
- Reference price
BeforeNot recorded
After10.38
- Reference observation time
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-02-04T23:59:59.999+00:00
- Reference price source
BeforeNot recorded
Afteryahoo_daily
- Outcome explanation
BeforeNo valid price observation at or before publication is available (daily reference requires the prior completed session); no reference or return is invented.
AfterThe deadline passed without an observed crossing. Daily closes cannot exclude an intraday touch or prove a boundary held; complete intraday/high-low evidence is required for this claim.
- Outcome reason
BeforeMissing reference price
AfterInsufficient price coverage
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
missing reference price
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-13.96
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before9.53
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-02-06
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $9.26. Price: $10.86.
AfterNo valid price observation at or before publication is available (daily reference requires the prior completed session); no reference or return is invented.
- Outcome price
Before10.86
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterMissing reference price
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 8 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- $10.38
- Feb 4, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC · yahoo_daily
- Target as extracted
- $9.26
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Feb 6, 2026
- Recorded outcome date
- Feb 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- $10.86
- Feb 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC · yahoo_daily_ohlc
Stored explanation
The full target was not reached in 2 completed regular-session high/low bars. No edge-day threshold crossing was present. Final close: $10.86; 0% of the distance toward $9.26. Extended-hours trades are outside this evidence.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.