The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$40
Said $4· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“then May the 9th, you do have a consensus for it to be roughly around that $4 range so far”@ 6:55 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Apr 28, 2025
- Extracted deadline
- May 9, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: deadline
- Notes
- The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Speaker highlights that shorts added roughly 75-80M shares via dark pool between March 31 and April 15 specifically to prevent Lucid from closing above the 50-day MA, which the speaker views as a sign of fear rather than fundamental weakness. A new 2x leveraged long ETF (LCDL) for Lucid was launched, which is characterized as a positive signal of growing market interest. Options consensus points to ~$3 this week and ~$4 around the May 6 earnings.
Key arguments
- Shorts increased ~75-80M shares via dark pool during March 31 – April 15, suppressing Lucid artificially
- Lucid successfully closed above 50-day MA, typically signaling 30-40% upside run historically
- Launch of Granite Shares 2x long Lucid ETF shows increasing institutional/retail interest
- Speaker notes no 2x leveraged-long ETF stock has ever gone bankrupt, implicitly countering bankruptcy risk argument
- Options consensus around ~$3 this week and ~$4 around earnings (May 9)
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Dallas Fed manufacturing index came in at -35.8 vs -15 forecast, causing broader market drag
- Supply-chain issues still constraining Gravity ramp-up
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Apr 28, 2025, 5:28 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:33 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-0.79
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before25.3
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-05-09
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $40. Price: $25.10.
AfterThe stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
- Outcome price
Before25.1
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $4
- Stated deadline as extracted
- May 9, 2025
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.