The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$35
Said $3.50· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“in my opinion I think Lucid initially early on is going to have a run at that 350 really fail consolidate but near the tail end of the week possibly... might be that kind of push higher and break above that 350 mark so I am rather optimistic on Lucid at least in the short term”@ 7:39 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Oct 13, 2024
- Extracted deadline
- Oct 18, 2024
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: deadline
- Notes
- The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
MixedStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
A quiet macro week means Lucid's near-term direction depends primarily on technicals and earnings from select companies. Riyadh Season extended their Lucid partnership for another year — positive marketing exposure. The $3.50 mark is both the 50-day moving average and a strong options wall, making it the key pivot. Speaker anticipates an initial failed run at $3.50 early in the week, but thinks Lucid can break above it toward week end (possibly on retail sales data or Netflix earnings). Q3 earnings are 2-3 weeks out.
Key arguments
- Riyadh Season extended Lucid partnership another year — strong Saudi market marketing exposure
- Elliot Wave: if Lucid breaks above $3.76, target is $4.29-$4.49; if below, $2.60-$2.79 range
- Fear and greed index in greed territory — people's appetite for risk supports a breakout
- Retail investors increased position 8.21% in Q3 per 13F; institutions down 3.26%
- One analyst removed their very bearish estimate — raised consensus revenue estimate to $182M
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Shorts have been increasing almost every day for the past 6-7 days
- Options wall at $3.50 with 14K+ open interest — shorts and market makers have financial interest in keeping Lucid below $3.50
- Friday showed a lot of selling by big money — no strong buying pressure
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Oct 13, 2024, 2:15 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:44 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-21.02
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before33.3
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2024-10-18
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $35. Price: $26.30.
AfterThe stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
- Outcome price
Before26.3
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $3.50
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Oct 18, 2024
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.