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Tesla (TSLA)

The call, on record

TSLA bullish call

Recorded from Jo Bhakdi’s public commentary. Review the evidence behind the call and its outcome.
TSLABullexpired
Jo BhakdiJo Bhakdi

Target Price

$680

Submitted record · moderator reviewed. The quote is source evidence; the structured call and thesis are TubeRank’s interpretation.
Quoted text as recorded“Whereas I believe it's worth something like 680 right now.”@ 1:41 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗

Our interpretation

Source published
Sep 9, 2025
Timeframe
current fair value
Interpreted confidence
medium
Specificity
specific

Why this call is unscored

Status
expired
Notes
No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.

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Evidence and source

Why Tesla Stock's TRUE Value Is Much Higher Than The Market Thinks
Published on Sep 9, 2025@ 1:41Open on YouTube

Our summary of the thesis

Strongly Bullish

Structured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.

Tesla DCF-based fair value is roughly 680 today and 850 by December 2025, far above Wall Street targets which are anchored by career-incentive ranges rather than first principles.

Key arguments

  • DCF model gives fair value roughly 850 by December 2025 and 680 today.
  • Current stock around 338 implies roughly a 50% discount to fair value.
  • Wall Street analysts are constrained to keep targets within 50-100 of current price.
  • Gary Black's 1M humanoid TAM is roughly 10x too small; correct number closer to 10M.
  • Institutional analysts have career incentives to stay near consensus, not first-principles.

Counter-arguments acknowledged

  • Gary Black sees 200 fair value based on his own DCF.
  • 50% chance of short-term lower prices due to market correction risk.
  • Host still buys at current levels despite near-term downside risk.

About this record

Reviewed by a moderator

Submitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.

Source published
Sep 9, 2025, 11:01 AM UTC
First recorded by TubeRank
Apr 20, 2026, 1:20 PM UTC
Record last updated
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
Moderator review recorded
Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
Transcript provenance
YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
Recorded analysis processor/source label
manual_claude_session
This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
Submission path version
manual_v1
Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
Outcome methodology version
2026-10-06.5
Outcome reason code
expired_without_stated_deadline
Publication is when the video was released; recording is when TubeRank added this call. They are not interchangeable. Legacy records can lack version and observation metadata. Dates are shown in UTC.
Recent record changes 4 shown

  1. Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.4

    After2026-10-06.5

  2. Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.2

    After2026-10-06.4

  3. Oct 6, 2026, 4:01 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.1

    After2026-10-06.2

  4. Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC

    expired without stated deadline

    Outcome methodology version

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2026-10-06.1

    Direction-adjusted price movement (%)

    Before6.01

    AfterNot recorded

    Reference price

    Before346.97

    AfterNot recorded

    Recorded outcome date

    Before2026-09-10

    After2026-10-06

    Outcome explanation

    BeforeMissing deadline. Prediction over 12 months old. Price: $367.81.

    AfterNo stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.

    Outcome price

    Before367.81

    AfterNot recorded

    Outcome reason

    BeforeNot recorded

    AfterExpired without stated deadline

Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.

Methodology and limitationsReport a correction
Stored outcome evidence
Stored reference price
Not recorded
Not recorded · provider not recorded
Target as extracted
$680
Stated deadline as extracted
None recorded
Recorded outcome date
Oct 6, 2026
Outcome price observation
Not recorded
Not recorded · provider not recorded

Stored explanation

No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.

Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.

Why we interpreted the confidence this way

Present-day DCF-derived fair-value estimate.

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