The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$250
Said $25· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“if it's able to successfully close above that, then yeah, 250 in the short term could very much come to fruition”@ 5:20 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Aug 13, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: condition
- Notes
- The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
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Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid up 1.1% and breaking above the ALMA for three consecutive days on institutional buying (multiple large darkpool buys including $1.01M) and rate cut optimism (95.9% probability of 25 bps Sept 17). Tomorrow's Gravity variant unveil is a near-term catalyst. The key next level is the 50-day MA at $2.35—if cleared, the speaker sees $2.50 as achievable in the short term. Stochastic RSI is very oversold providing additional upside potential.
Key arguments
- ALMA broken to the upside for three consecutive days—consolidation may be over
- Institutional buying confirmed: multiple darkpool transactions including $1.01M buy
- Shorts returning 3.9M shares (from peak of 8M earlier) adding buy pressure
- Gravity variant unveil tomorrow—could provide concrete catalyst (price, availability)
- 95.9% probability of 25 bps cut on Sept 17; some chance of 50 bps
- Key level: $2.35 (50-day MA)—shorts 'willing to die on' that line
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Short interest still at 32.14% (403M shares) remains a headwind
- Unveil needs concrete specs/pricing to be truly impactful
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Aug 13, 2025, 7:53 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:22 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_condition
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified condition
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-27.39
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before23.4
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-11-11
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeHorizon window passed. Only 0% progress toward target $250. Price: $16.99.
AfterThe claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
- Outcome price
Before16.99
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified condition
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $25
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.