The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$19.00
Said $1.90· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“Elliot Wave Technicals is projecting for it to hit that $1.90 range. So I think things have to get a little bit worse before they get better.”@ 6:23 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Jun 15, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- expired
- Notes
- No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BearishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid is below all key moving averages and Elliott Wave technicals project a $1.90 target. With the Fed decision on Wednesday, potential Middle East escalation, and no specific Lucid catalysts this week, the speaker expects a close between $1.99 and $2.05 and believes things need to get worse before they get better.
Key arguments
- Lucid is below all key moving averages — technically a vicious downtrend
- Elliott Wave technicals project a target of ~$1.90
- Fed rate decision on Wednesday likely to be a hold; Powell commentary could add volatility
- Middle East tensions between Israel and Iran are escalating, suppressing risk appetite
- Short interest at 30.57% of float; shorts recently doubling down
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- If China deal or Middle East resolution materializes, Lucid could snap back quickly given oversold status
- Bulls in options market anticipating a recovery toward $2.50
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Jun 15, 2025, 4:59 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:32 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- expired_without_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
expired without stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before17.86
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before21.5
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-09-02
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≤$19 reached on 2025-09-02. Price: $17.66. Return: +17.9%.
AfterNo stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
- Outcome price
Before17.66
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterExpired without stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterexpired
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $1.90
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.