NVDABearunverifiable
Michael Tyler“I have like $400 worth of Nvidia puts from last week.”
Thesis at the time
BearishThe host holds a very small bearish position in Nvidia via puts, reflecting caution around the AI hardware trade slowing down, though he emphasizes it is a minimal part of his portfolio.
Key arguments
- He believes the AI hardware trade is cooling off and personally avoids owning hardware stocks.
- His Nvidia puts represent less than one-tenth of one percent of his portfolio, showing this is a minor tactical position rather than a major conviction.
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- INVEST AT YOUR OWN RISK AND NEVER LISTEN TO ANYTHING SAID IN THESE VIDEOS AS FINANCIAL ADVICE
- Speculation about unknown information beyond public statements
- Acknowledges uncertainty about exact market outcomes
- Predictions contingent on 'assuming nothing else gets changes all too much'
- No insider information claimed
The call
- Date said
- Sep 13, 2026
- Price at prediction
- $218.29
- Confidence
- low
- Specificity
- vague
How it resolved
- Status
- unverifiable
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.
Confidence Reasoning
The position is described as extremely small ('less than one tenth of 1% of my entire portfolio'), indicating low conviction despite a directional bearish bet.
Source
Tesla Stock is Going to Move Big This Week.. (My Thoughts)
Said on Sep 13, 2026Open on YouTube ↗