30-day window
Direction matched: 60%
62 matched
of 104 observed calls
57 waiting for the window
0 missing price evidence
Inspect the calls
- Matched
- 62
- Moved opposite
- 42
- Flat
- 0
- Waiting for the window
- 57
- Missing price evidence
- 0
- Average direction-adjusted move
- +2.0%
- Published calls on file
- 544
- Excluded from this measurement
- 256
- Additional calls grouped
- 127
One observation per creator, asset and UTC publication day. Conflicting directions on the same day are excluded. Flat observations stay in the denominator. Waiting windows and missing evidence are unknown outcomes.
Example measured calls
- Michael Tyler · SPXMoved opposite
Bullish call · published Oct 6, 2026
- Entry close · Oct 7, 2026
- 7,801.77 pts
- End close · Nov 6, 2026
- 7,376.86 pts
Price change -5.4% · Direction-adjusted -5.4%
- Michael Tyler · TSLAMoved opposite
Bullish call · published Oct 6, 2026
- Entry close · Oct 7, 2026
- $377.81
- End close · Nov 6, 2026
- $358.22
Price change -5.2% · Direction-adjusted -5.2%
- Michael Tyler · TSLAMoved opposite
Bullish call · published Oct 5, 2026
- Entry close · Oct 6, 2026
- $380.68
- End close · Nov 5, 2026
- $343.69
Price change -9.7% · Direction-adjusted -9.7%









































