
The call, on record
TSLA bearish call
Target Price
$224.55
Quoted text as recorded“if we close the week Friday at 33487 or lower, we enter another significant sell signal that should within 3 to 5 months, possibly sooner, yield the 220s”@ 1:29 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Apr 13, 2026
- Timeframe
- within 3 to 5 months
- Extracted deadline
- Sep 14, 2026
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: condition
- Notes
- The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
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Our summary of the thesis
MixedStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Tesla is at a critical technical juncture around the 33827 support level, with potential for significant moves in either direction. The analyst sees upside potential to the 380s-450s over the next few months if support holds, but warns of downside to the 220s if key levels break.
Key arguments
- 33827 channel bottom reached as anticipated and can contain selling through Q2-Q3
- Upside targets of 430s-450s achievable over next few months if support holds
- Technical setup suggests 2-3 week likelihood of reaching upper 380s above current support
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Weekly close below 33487 would trigger significant sell signal to 220s within 3-5 months
- Intraday break below 34966 could retest support levels
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- Analysis is conditional on support level holds at $338.27
- Bearish scenario ($220s target) only triggered if weekly close below $334.87
- Multiple timeframe scenarios presented (intraday, swing, longer-term)
- Technical analysis based on Fibonacci levels and channel support/resistance
- Promotion of premium service with paid trading recommendations
- Specific price targets are conditional on technical levels being tested
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorAI-extracted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Apr 13, 2026, 9:27 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 16, 2026, 7:46 PM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- claude-sonnet-4-20250514
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Extraction pipeline version
- v1.0.0
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_condition
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:01 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified condition
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-1.86
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before352.42
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-09-14
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $224.55. Price: $358.97.
AfterThe claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
- Outcome price
Before358.97
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified condition
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $224.55
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Sep 14, 2026
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.
Why we interpreted the confidence this way
Uses 'should' with specific condition and timeframe