TSLABullpending
Jo BhakdiTarget Price
$488
“We are firmly on our path back to alltime highs 488 this year if everything gets goes even roughly according to the new plan.”
Thesis at the time
Strongly BullishThe host views Tesla's sell-off around the Chinese recall as an overreaction ahead of the September 3rd Cyber Cab launch, which he calls a potentially transformational catalyst. He also highlights a new German pilot program (Brandenburg autonomous shuttles) as evidence that robotaxi total addressable market is being massively underestimated by the market.
Key arguments
- Cyber Cab launch on September 3rd is seen as a potentially transformational catalyst for the stock
- Brandenburg, Germany is in talks with Tesla about deploying autonomous shuttles in rural areas, which the host says unlocks a 2 million robotaxi TAM across US and European rural populations
- The stock's ~3.8% drop is attributed mostly to market overreaction/manipulation rather than fundamentals, since the China recall's earnings impact is estimated at only about 1%
- Robotaxi economics (low-cost, subsidized rural transport) could create an entirely new market segment between public transit and rideshare
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- A 3 million vehicle recall in China requiring physical dealer visits
- Possible local government revolt in liberal US cities against rapid Cyber Cab rollout due to Uber/Lyft reliance
- Risk of continued short-term stock weakness or further squeezes before the launch
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- Market currently selling off Tesla near 50-week lows despite positive news
- Regulatory approvals and permits still required before deployment
- Cyber Truck launch on September 3rd outcome uncertain
- Recall of 3 million Teslas in China today creating near-term headwinds
- Speculative thesis on rural market expansion potential
The call
- Date said
- Aug 24, 2026
- Timeframe
- this year
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2026
- Current price (live)
- $378.90$109.10 below target
- Confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- pending
Confidence Reasoning
The phrase 'firmly on our path' signals conviction, but it is qualified by 'if everything goes even roughly according to the new plan,' which is a hedge/conditional that reduces certainty.
Source
SURPRISE News For Tesla Robotaxi From Germany
Said on Aug 24, 2026Open on YouTube ↗