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Lucid (LCID)

The call, on record

LCID bullish call

Recorded from Lucid City’s public commentary. Review the evidence behind the call and its outcome.
LCIDBullNot scored: deadline
Lucid CityLucid City

Target Price(split-adjusted)

$35

Said $3.50· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)

Submitted record · moderator reviewed. The quote is source evidence; the structured call and thesis are TubeRank’s interpretation.
Quoted text as recorded“based on this the call options are being done there's a consensus for it to be above 350 for this week”@ 5:03 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗

Our interpretation

Source published
Mar 24, 2025
Extracted deadline
Mar 28, 2025
Interpreted confidence
low
Specificity
specific

Why this call is unscored

Status
Not scored: deadline
Notes
The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.

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Our summary of the thesis

Bullish

Structured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.

The speaker notes that 81% of all options by premium are bullish today, with a large multi-leg transaction from a single entity buying $2.50 calls expiring August 15, 2025. The broader market rallied on news that April 2 tariffs would be targeted rather than blanket, but Lucid lagged peers because shorts increased 2.24M shares with negative cost-to-borrow. Call options consensus points to $3.50+ for this week. The speaker views the Caner Fitzgerald neutral $3 rating as potentially suppressive given the setup.

Key arguments

  • 81% of options premiums are bullish — particularly large multi-leg transaction buying $2.50 August 2025 calls
  • Options consensus shows price targets clustering above $3.50 for the near term
  • Targeted tariff approach (vs blanket) triggered a broad market rally; Lucid lagged only due to short manipulation
  • Negative cost-to-borrow confirms ongoing short manipulation — brokers paying people to short LCID

Counter-arguments acknowledged

  • Lucid underperformed Rivian (+4.83%) and Tesla (+9.45%) on the day despite the broad rally

About this record

Reviewed by a moderator

Submitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.

Source published
Mar 24, 2025, 3:16 PM UTC
First recorded by TubeRank
Apr 20, 2026, 5:32 PM UTC
Record last updated
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
Moderator review recorded
Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
Transcript provenance
YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
Recorded analysis processor/source label
manual_claude_session
This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
Submission path version
manual_v1
Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
Outcome methodology version
2026-10-06.5
Outcome reason code
unverified_stated_deadline
Publication is when the video was released; recording is when TubeRank added this call. They are not interchangeable. Legacy records can lack version and observation metadata. Dates are shown in UTC.
Recent record changes 4 shown
  1. Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.4

    After2026-10-06.5

  2. Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.2

    After2026-10-06.4

  3. Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.1

    After2026-10-06.2

  4. Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC

    unverified stated deadline

    Outcome methodology version

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2026-10-06.1

    Direction-adjusted price movement (%)

    Before-6.07

    AfterNot recorded

    Reference price

    Before24.7

    AfterNot recorded

    Recorded outcome date

    Before2025-03-28

    After2026-10-06

    Outcome explanation

    BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $35. Price: $23.20.

    AfterThe stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.

    Outcome price

    Before23.2

    AfterNot recorded

    Outcome reason

    BeforeNot recorded

    AfterUnverified stated deadline

    Outcome status

    Beforemiss

    Afterunverifiable

Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.

Stored outcome evidence
Stored reference price
Not recorded
Not recorded · provider not recorded
Target as extracted
$3.50
Stated deadline as extracted
Mar 28, 2025
Recorded outcome date
Oct 6, 2026
Outcome price observation
Not recorded
Not recorded · provider not recorded

Stored explanation

The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.

Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.