
The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$35
Said $3.50· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“based on this the call options are being done there's a consensus for it to be above 350 for this week”@ 5:03 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Mar 24, 2025
- Extracted deadline
- Mar 28, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: deadline
- Notes
- The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
The speaker notes that 81% of all options by premium are bullish today, with a large multi-leg transaction from a single entity buying $2.50 calls expiring August 15, 2025. The broader market rallied on news that April 2 tariffs would be targeted rather than blanket, but Lucid lagged peers because shorts increased 2.24M shares with negative cost-to-borrow. Call options consensus points to $3.50+ for this week. The speaker views the Caner Fitzgerald neutral $3 rating as potentially suppressive given the setup.
Key arguments
- 81% of options premiums are bullish — particularly large multi-leg transaction buying $2.50 August 2025 calls
- Options consensus shows price targets clustering above $3.50 for the near term
- Targeted tariff approach (vs blanket) triggered a broad market rally; Lucid lagged only due to short manipulation
- Negative cost-to-borrow confirms ongoing short manipulation — brokers paying people to short LCID
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Lucid underperformed Rivian (+4.83%) and Tesla (+9.45%) on the day despite the broad rally
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Mar 24, 2025, 3:16 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:32 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-6.07
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before24.7
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-03-28
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $35. Price: $23.20.
AfterThe stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
- Outcome price
Before23.2
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $3.50
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Mar 28, 2025
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.