The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$17.40
Said $1.74· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“going into this upcoming week it does have a pivot point of 257 so for as long as it is below that then it is anticipated to get to that 167 to 181 range”@ 7:56 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Nov 11, 2024
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: condition
- Notes
- The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BearishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
With the broader market in FOMO mode but Lucid stuck at 52-week lows, Elliott Wave analysis projects a move to $1.67-$1.81. The CEO repeatedly avoids tough analyst questions and frames the stock as a 'long-term play' — a pattern the speaker associates with continued downside. Post-earnings analyst ratings came in subpar despite operational improvements.
Key arguments
- Elliott Wave pivot at $2.57 — below this level targets $1.67-$1.81 range
- CEO failed to guide on Gravity ramp or Air production targets for 2025
- Analysts frustrated with Peter's non-answers; Tobias grilled on cost savings timeline
- 20.64% of float shorted; shorts returned 2.91M shares on Friday to reload ammunition
- Post-earnings analyst ratings: BofA $3.40, Stifel $4, Cantor Fitzgerald $3, RBC $3
- Lucid compared to a child's lemonade stand — no demand forecasting capability
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Market in full FOMO mode — risk appetite could trickle to Lucid
- Strong buy signals from some analysts (Stifel $4)
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Nov 11, 2024, 1:35 AM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:41 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_condition
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified condition
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-18.38
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before23.4
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-02-09
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeHorizon window passed. Only 0% progress toward target $17.4. Price: $27.70.
AfterThe claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
- Outcome price
Before27.7
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified condition
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $1.74
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.