The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$29.80
Said $2.98· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“if he says several then yeah anticipate more on the high end of $293 or 98 to be kind of the target”@ 4:34 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Dec 18, 2024
- Extracted deadline
- Dec 18, 2024
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: condition
- Notes
- The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
The speaker sees bullish signals in Lucid: shorts returned 589K shares before FOMC, Shaquille O'Neal customized a Lucid Air with a Superman emblem (positive celebrity marketing), and Lucid is above the super trend and 50-day moving average with algorithmic trading on its side. After the expected 25bps rate cut, the speaker sees Lucid targeting $2.81-$2.98.
Key arguments
- Shorts returning 589K shares before major event signals bulls gaining ground
- Shaquille O'Neal custom Lucid Air — celebrity endorsement helps visibility
- Lucid above 50-day moving average and super trend — algorithmic buying support
- Low volatility makes call options very cheap for bullish positioning
- 25bps rate cut already priced in — what Powell says about future cuts will be the real catalyst
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Shorts increased 1.4M first thing in the morning — aggressive early suppression
- Stock considered 'very overbought' — first sign of weakness could cause volatility
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Dec 18, 2024, 7:08 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:41 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_condition
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified condition
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before0
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before25.3
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2024-12-18
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $29.8. Price: $25.30.
AfterThe claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
- Outcome price
Before25.3
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified condition
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $2.98
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Dec 18, 2024
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.