The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$35
Said $3.50· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“for next week which would encumber their earnings roughly around 350”@ 5:56 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Apr 29, 2025
- Extracted deadline
- May 9, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: deadline
- Notes
- The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
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Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Video covers the emerging Lucid-Blacklane partnership for luxury ride services in Saudi Arabia, which the speaker expects will lead to a significant vehicle order potentially announced around the May 6 earnings. Auto-tariff relief for US-manufactured vehicles with high domestic content further favors Lucid. Shorts returning 1.88M shares and Lucid trading above the 50-day MA are positive technical signals.
Key arguments
- Lucid-Blacklane signing video was published, strongly implying an imminent formal partnership announcement
- Speaker speculates Blacklane could order 2,000+ Lucid vehicles
- Auto-tariff rules (85% domestic content) effectively exempt Lucid, giving it an edge over most rivals
- AMP 2 factory insulates Lucid from international tariff exposure better than AMP 1
- Shorts returning 1.88M shares on a down day is a contrarian bullish signal
- Lucid trading above 50-day MA ($242) with earnings next week as a catalyst
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Temporary supply-chain issue still affecting Gravity deliveries
- Consumer confidence and job-openings data came in weak, weighing on the broader market
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Apr 29, 2025, 4:50 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:33 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-1.95
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before25.6
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-05-09
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $35. Price: $25.10.
AfterThe stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
- Outcome price
Before25.1
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $3.50
- Stated deadline as extracted
- May 9, 2025
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.