The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$40
Said $4· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“I feel uh that it will actually be able to push it to around that $4 range uh at the very least again uh depending on the data if the data is negative then yeah you could see a full breakdown below that 50-day moving average”@ 9:30 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Sep 29, 2024
- Extracted deadline
- Oct 4, 2024
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: condition
- Notes
- The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
The speaker is generally optimistic for the upcoming week, expecting macro data (unemployment, CPI, PPI) to confirm rate cuts and potentially trigger a large rotation from money markets ($6.42T) into equities. He expects Q3 numbers in early October, predicts a Gravity reveal around October 21-25, and believes if data is positive LCID could reach the $4 range. He identifies October as historically significant for Lucid product launches.
Key arguments
- 53.3% likelihood of 50 basis point cut at November meeting, positive for growth stocks
- $6.42 trillion in money markets ready for rotation into equities
- Gravity reveal expected week of October 21-25 based on historical October pattern
- Q3 numbers expected early October with ~2,100 deliveries anticipated as bullish
- Stocks at 20%+ run historically when LCID breaks above 50-day MA
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Shorts at 30.9% free float are very active and could suppress gains
- Analysts have given 6 negative earnings revisions in past 90 days
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Sep 29, 2024, 1:00 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:44 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_condition
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified condition
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-5.38
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before35.3
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2024-10-04
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $40. Price: $33.40.
AfterThe claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
- Outcome price
Before33.4
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified condition
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $4
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Oct 4, 2024
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.