The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$26.10
Said $2.61· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“I think in my opinion this week it might be uh not breaking below this 261 but it might kind of get pulled down uh close to that”@ 8:46 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Feb 10, 2025
- Extracted deadline
- Feb 14, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored
- Notes
- The claim refers to a closing price, but its exact session or settlement semantics are not supported. Intraday quotes cannot establish its outcome.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
MixedStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
The speaker previews a busy week where Lucid retail Q4 earnings questions open February 11. Multiple major macro data points (CPI, PPI, PCE, Fed speakers) will drive volatility. Shorts have been returning for four consecutive days, and options are targeting the $3 range for the week. The speaker expects some consolidation and possibly a test of the $2.61 support before the February 25 earnings which remain the critical catalyst.
Key arguments
- Q4 retail earnings questions open February 11 — day one questions get asked almost 100% of the time
- Four consecutive days of short returns is unusual — possibly anticipating positive news
- Multiple macro data points (CPI, PPI, PCE) will drive broader volatility
- Gravity flyovers showing no Gravity vehicles in production — a negative near-term signal
- Future guidance remains the make-or-break factor
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Lucid missing short-term Gravity production catalysts
- Speaker personally expects some consolidation this week toward $2.61 support
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Feb 10, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:34 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unsupported_close_semantics
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unsupported close semantics
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-19.49
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before27.7
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-02-14
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $26.1. Price: $33.10.
AfterThe claim refers to a closing price, but its exact session or settlement semantics are not supported. Intraday quotes cannot establish its outcome.
- Outcome price
Before33.1
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnsupported close semantics
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $2.61
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Feb 14, 2025
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The claim refers to a closing price, but its exact session or settlement semantics are not supported. Intraday quotes cannot establish its outcome.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.