The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$17.50
Said $1.75· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“ellite wave technicals are kind of pointing for it to hit roughly the mid to kind of high ones”@ 3:58 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Nov 15, 2024
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- vague
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- expired
- Notes
- No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
Strongly BearishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid reached a new all-time low of $2.01 amid the recall of 1,539 Air sedans (requiring physical rewiring) and no marketing VP in place at the critical Gravity pre-launch window. Elliott Wave technicals point to a mid-to-high $1 target. Only the Gravity launch can prevent a reverse stock split spiral.
Key arguments
- New all-time low of $2.01 with no official Lucid news to break the fall
- Recall of 1,539 Lucid Air sedans requiring physical rewiring — not fixable OTA
- No VP of Marketing in place; CEO openly admits marketing is horrible
- 53% of options flow is bearish; consensus for sub-$2
- Elliott Wave technicals pointing to mid-to-high $1 range
- If Gravity fails, reverse stock split almost certain given no other major catalyst until midsize in late 2026
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Short score at 81.2 indicates elevated squeeze potential
- Strong support at $1.83 — institutional buying may emerge at that level
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Nov 15, 2024, 3:43 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:34 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- expired_without_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
expired without stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-62.19
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before20.1
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-02-13
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeHorizon window passed. Only 0% progress toward target $17.5. Price: $32.60.
AfterNo stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
- Outcome price
Before32.6
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterExpired without stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterexpired
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $1.75
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.