The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$26.30
Said $2.63· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“263 is going to be the next strong Target resistance hopefully like I said that'll be touched tomorrow”@ 6:15 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Mar 19, 2025
- Extracted deadline
- Mar 20, 2025
- Stored reference price
- $23.50
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- miss
- Resolution price
- $22.80
- Direction-adjusted price move
- -3.0%
- Notes
- The full target was not reached in 2 completed regular-session high/low bars. No edge-day threshold crossing was present. Final close: $22.80; 0% of the distance toward $26.299999999999997. Extended-hours trades are outside this evidence.
A comparison of price observations, not a trading return. Excludes fees, dividends, spread and execution costs.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Morgan Stanley raised its bull case to $10 and changed its rating from sell to hold (equal weight), which the speaker attributes to Morgan Stanley becoming a market maker on the Saudi exchange. Shorts returned 1.32M shares on a big up day, which is unusually bullish behavior. The speaker sees the next strong resistance at $2.63 and highlights a gap to fill near $2.60.
Key arguments
- Morgan Stanley bull case of $10 – a level not seen from them in a long time – drove the stock +8.8%
- Shorts returned 1.32M shares on the up day, abnormal behavior suggesting partial capitulation
- Morgan Stanley's motivation is likely tied to becoming a market maker on the Saudi exchange, creating incentive to be friendly toward PIF-owned Lucid
- Big institutional buying visible via dark pool and secondary market transactions
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Stock still below all key pivotal moving averages
- Stochastic RSI slightly overbought after the move
- NVIDIA GTC keynote did not mention Lucid for autonomous driving, causing a mid-day pullback
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Mar 19, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:32 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 19, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-18.1
- Outcome reason code
- deadline_missed_ohlc
Recent record changes 7 shown
Oct 19, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC
deadline missed ohlc
- Evaluation kind
BeforeNot recorded
Aftertouch
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-15.1
After2026-10-18.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
BeforeNot recorded
After-2.98
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-10-16
After2025-03-20
- Outcome explanation
BeforeThe deadline passed without an observed crossing. Daily closes cannot exclude an intraday touch or prove a boundary held; complete intraday/high-low evidence is required for this claim.
AfterThe full target was not reached in 2 completed regular-session high/low bars. No edge-day threshold crossing was present. Final close: $22.80; 0% of the distance toward $26.299999999999997. Extended-hours trades are outside this evidence.
- Outcome observation time
BeforeNot recorded
After2025-03-20T00:00:00+00:00
- Outcome price
BeforeNot recorded
After22.8
- Outcome price source
BeforeNot recorded
Afteryahoo_daily_ohlc
- Outcome reason
BeforeInsufficient price coverage
AfterDeadline missed ohlc
- Outcome status
Beforeunverifiable
Aftermiss
Oct 16, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.5
After2026-10-15.1
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-10-06
After2026-10-16
Oct 6, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:01 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:45 AM UTC
insufficient price coverage
- Reference price
BeforeNot recorded
After23.5
- Reference observation time
BeforeNot recorded
After2025-03-18T23:59:59.999+00:00
- Reference price source
BeforeNot recorded
Afteryahoo_daily
- Outcome explanation
BeforeNo valid price observation at or before publication is available (daily reference requires the prior completed session); no reference or return is invented.
AfterThe deadline passed without an observed crossing. Daily closes cannot exclude an intraday touch or prove a boundary held; complete intraday/high-low evidence is required for this claim.
- Outcome reason
BeforeMissing reference price
AfterInsufficient price coverage
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
missing reference price
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-2.98
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before23.5
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-03-20
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $26.3. Price: $22.80.
AfterNo valid price observation at or before publication is available (daily reference requires the prior completed session); no reference or return is invented.
- Outcome price
Before22.8
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterMissing reference price
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 8 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- $23.50
- Mar 18, 2025, 11:59 PM UTC · yahoo_daily
- Target as extracted
- $2.63
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Mar 20, 2025
- Recorded outcome date
- Mar 20, 2025
- Outcome price observation
- $22.80
- Mar 20, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC · yahoo_daily_ohlc
Stored explanation
The full target was not reached in 2 completed regular-session high/low bars. No edge-day threshold crossing was present. Final close: $22.80; 0% of the distance toward $26.299999999999997. Extended-hours trades are outside this evidence.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.