The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$30
Said $3· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“you're starting to see that 350 and also $4 expected and oddly enough for February and March so most likely that's going to be uh in cuming their Q4 earnings once they do announce that probably in February this is where you see $5 anticipated”@ 5:19 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Dec 13, 2024
- Extracted deadline
- Feb 28, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: deadline
- Notes
- The stored deadline disagrees with the deadline supported by the source quote and publication date. The extraction needs review before scoring.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid rose 4.53% driven primarily by algorithmic trading after breaking above the key $2.47 super-trend level. Peter Rawlinson's Bloomberg interview gave multiple Easter eggs hinting at upcoming OEM partnerships and potential solid-state battery development. Options consensus has expanded from $3 to $3.50 and $4 targets, with February-March options showing $5+ expectations.
Key arguments
- Stock broke above $2.47 super-trend level, triggering algorithmic buying programs
- Peter Rawlinson's Bloomberg interview hinted at European OEM partnerships with economies-of-scale licensing
- Options premiums growing daily ($1.2M, $2.7M, $2.1M in consecutive days) showing increasing institutional conviction
- Bears anticipate sub-$2.50 short-term but even that implies more upside than downside
- Q4 earnings options show $5+ consensus for February, implying strong delivery expectations
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Shorts returned 559K shares — abnormal vs. other heavily-shorted stocks on a green market day
- Lucid has faked out breakout attempts before; needs two consecutive days above 50-day MA to confirm
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Dec 13, 2024, 4:13 AM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:43 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- deadline_source_mismatch
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
deadline source mismatch
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before17.05
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before25.8
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2024-12-20
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≥$30 reached on 2024-12-20. Price: $30.20. Return: +17.1%.
AfterThe stored deadline disagrees with the deadline supported by the source quote and publication date. The extraction needs review before scoring.
- Outcome price
Before30.2
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterDeadline source mismatch
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $3
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Feb 28, 2025
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The stored deadline disagrees with the deadline supported by the source quote and publication date. The extraction needs review before scoring.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.