The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$50
Said $5· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“new analyst rating I guess I should say it but um ultimately you do see right here a $5 rating initiated coverage Benchmark Michael”@ 1:10 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Feb 12, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- expired
- Notes
- No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
A new $5 price target from Benchmark Michael (buy rating) and large dark pool transactions (14.4M+ shares) drove Lucid up 6.7%. The speaker views the dark pool activity as potentially the PIF buying. Options bulls are targeting $3.50 this week and above $4.50 for earnings week. The submitted Q4 earnings questions are described as the best-ever retail questions focusing on Partnerships, Gravity demand, and the 80/20 revenue strategy.
Key arguments
- $5 price target from Benchmark Michael represents the first near-double signal in years
- Dark pool transactions of 14.4M+ shares suggest institutional/insider accumulation
- Q4 earnings questions on Partnerships, Gravity demand, 80/20 revenue split are substantive and difficult to evade
- Options bulls targeting $4.50+ for earnings week; bulls increasingly active
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Benchmark Michael only has 44% success rating
- Shorts increasing 2.95M shares — doubling down despite the move
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Feb 12, 2025, 9:50 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:33 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- expired_without_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
expired without stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-65.44
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before28.7
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-02-12
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeHorizon window passed. Only 0% progress toward target $50. Price: $9.92.
AfterNo stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
- Outcome price
Before9.92
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterExpired without stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterexpired
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $5
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.