The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price
$12.34
Quoted text as recorded“1234 is going to be the next strong support and that's kind of where Elliot Wave Technicals is somewhat projecting for it to go”
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Nov 14, 2025
- Latest provider quote
- $3.11As of Nov 2, 2026, 6:52 PM UTC. May be delayed; does not resolve this call.
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Tracking the outcome
- Status
- pending
- Notes
- No stated deadline is available. This call remains open without a scored outcome; its horizon label is not a deadline.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BearishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid hit a new all-time low of $14.41 as big money is not buying the dip and algorithmic trading dominates volume. With 28.59% of the free float shorted and rate cut probability fading, near-term macro tailwinds are disappearing. The speaker warns that the technicals look like a falling knife and the next strong support is $12.34.
Key arguments
- Big money not buying the dip — secondary market shows near zero institutional buying
- Rate cut probability dropped from 95.5% to 45.9% in one month, removing key macro catalyst
- Short interest at 28.59% of free float (41.18M shares), still overextended with DTC at 4.14
- Gravity giveaway on The View is skeptically received — speaker worried it may be at Lucid's expense
- Bears in options market targeting sub-$4 (pre-split), with $15.50 expected into next week
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- 13Fs showed institutions bought Lucid dip in Q3
- Short score at 80.24 signals shorts overextended, potential for squeeze
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Nov 14, 2025, 7:20 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:22 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- awaiting_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
awaiting stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before17.46
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before14.2
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-11-20
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≤$12.34 reached on 2025-11-20. Price: $11.72. Return: +17.5%.
AfterNo stated deadline is available. This call remains open without a scored outcome; its horizon label is not a deadline.
- Outcome price
Before11.72
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterAwaiting stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterpending
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